DraftKings Thanksgiving Slate for Week 13 - Wide Receiver (WR)

Like their production to QBs, the #Bears were effective to start the season, but since Week 6, they've allowed 20+ points in four of six weeks, including 22 and 33 points in the last two weeks. In four of those weeks, secondary WRs scored 16+ points. While Noah Brown's 16 points were due to a Hail Mary, Gabe Davis, Christian Watson, and Jordan Addison found 20, 22, and 33 points, respectively. This supports Jameson WIlliams or, with his 50% snap count, Tim Patrick to pop. This doesn't put Amon-Ra St. Brown off the radar, but his pricey climb arrives with splitting his last four matchups between two duds (5, 10) and two fair games (21, 25). #Lions

Assuming Drew Lock goes, the squeaky-wheel syndrome and the better quarterback should push to get Malik Nabers going early against the #Cowboys. He's priced a little high for his 14 points or fewer over the last five weeks, but we all know what that is due to. Dallas allowed the one splash play to Terry McLaurin and his 24 points last week but limited WRs to 19 or fewer points since Week 5. That trend started due to Nabers's 26 points the week before. It's a solid play, but obviously, it comes with risk due to the offense. Wan'Dale is a fair dart at this 4.7k price tag, scoring 8-10 points in four of the last five weeks. Slayton is a sneaky dart, as he finds splashes that could materialize with better QB play. Jalin Hyatt has snapped 40% over the last three weeks, so he's extremely hard to trust but he did find 7 points two weeks ago, which isn't a huge leap toward his 12-point mark. #Giants

By the numbers, the #Bears' WRs have the best matchup on the slate against the #Lions, who haven't allowed much (which makes the rest of the slate concerning). WRs have scored 19 points or fewer since Week 9. DJ Moore was quiet across the last five weeks, scoring 13 points or fewer, but exploded last week for 29 points. While it will put him on the radar, his inconsistency may allow for some low ownership, as his history against the #Lions is highly appealing, scoring 20+ points since 2018, including 22 and 26 points last year. Similarly, while on the #Chargers, Keen Allen scored 43 points against Detroit last season. They are all priced for a shot, with DJ Moore favored. #Bears

The #Packers have kept WRs to 18 points or fewer since Week 5, including 13 points or fewer in the last two weeks. Tyreek Hill hasn't scored more than 19 points over the previous five weeks, including 13 points or fewer in four games. Jaylen Waddle was in a worse conversation, scoring 8 points or fewer, until smashing for 31 points last week. Tough to chase. OBJ (25%), Malik Washington (33%), and River Cracraft (23%) snapped similarly last week. #Dolphins

The #Packers' WRs will always be a coin toss, as their snap counts last week ranged from 20% (Malik Heath) to 65% (Christian Watson). While that headache is present, so is the limited production against the #Dolphins, which has been 18 points or fewer in the last four weeks, including 14 points or fewer in four games. While I hate deciphering this madness, these WRs can make the difference on the slate. It can always land elsewhere, but finding the needle in this haystack may arrive with a windfall. Despite the low production against the #Dolphins, there is no pattern toward primary, secondary, or slot WRs. With Dobbs in concussion protocol, I assumed he wouldn't go, as he hasn't practiced as of Tuesday's report. It bumps Jayden Reed and Christian Watson to the forefront and lands Dontayvion Wicks as a solid dart. Malk Heath and Bo Melton are the pieces you use to build a stronger core. #Packers

CeeDee Lamb isn't finding the ceiling you'd want, but scoring 16 and 18 points with a backup QB in the last two weeks is better than most expected. He's a little pricey with that floor and the numbers against the #Giants, who limited WRs to 15 points or fewer in the last three weeks. Fortunately, the volume is there to chase on a smaller slate. While likely with Dak, his history is solid, scoring 20+ points in four of his last five games against the #Giants, including 23 points this season. Brandin Cooks may return this week, which muddles him with the other darts and their three-week snap count of Jalen Tolbert (89%), Jonathan Mingo (26%), and KaVontae Turpin (20%). #Cowboys