DraftKings Thanksgiving Slate for Week 13 - Running Back (RB)

Detroit Lions vs CHI:

Jahmyr Gibbs - $7500
David Montgomery - $6500

David Montgomery practiced in full today (FP). Both backs are in play against the #Bears, who have allowed 17+ points in three of the last four weeks, including 23 points in the last two weeks. Last season, Gibbs scored 17 and 21 points against his former team, while Montgomery scored 11 and 17 points. It's always a coin toss with these two, but the recent production, snap share, and history point toward Gibbs if you can fit his higher price tag, but settling for the lower price of Montgomery isn't a bad pivot. On a slate like this, a double stack is worth a shot. #Lions
$7500 Jahmyr Gibbs pts needed: 30
+200
$7300 24.90 pts wk12(IND)
0
$7300 19.30 pts wk11(JAX)
0
$7300 12.80 pts wk10(HOU)
-300
$7600 14.60 pts wk9(GB)
+200
$7400 23.30 pts wk8(TEN)
SEASON
snp%:
52.22
util%:
50.85
ppg:
19.37
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
56.17
util%:
47.6
ppg:
19
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
11.40 vs CHI -7.6 -7.97
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
45.70 -10.47 -6.52
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
40.60 -7 -10.25
HISTORY vs CHI
2024
11.40 points in Week13
2023
17.20 points in Week14
21.50 points in Week11
$6500 David Montgomery pts needed: 26
-200
$6700 16.30 pts wk12(IND)
+200
$6500 24.50 pts wk11(JAX)
-100
$6600 12.60 pts wk10(HOU)
+100
$6500 12.60 pts wk9(GB)
+100
$6400 14.92 pts wk8(TEN)
SEASON
snp%:
41.59
util%:
58.35
ppg:
16.67
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
36.13
util%:
54.77
ppg:
17.8
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
15.40 vs CHI -2.4 -1.27
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
54.30 +18.17 +12.71
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
63.20 +8.43 +4.85
HISTORY vs CHI
2024
15.40 points in Week13
2023
11.50 points in Week14
17.80 points in Week11

OPPONENTS vs. CHI

SEASON AVG vs CHI Rank
24.31 ppg 19th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CHI Rank
23.5 ppg 21st
DIFF
-0.81
WK PLAYERS vs. CHI POINTS
12 Aaron Jones 23.90
12 Cam Akers 3.50
11 Josh Jacobs 23.40
11 Chris Brooks 3.30
11 Emanuel Wilson 1.70
10 Rhamondre Stevenson 8.70
10 JaMycal Hasty 3.40
10 Antonio Gibson 2.60
9 James Conner 17.90
9 Emari Demercado 16.00
9 Trey Benson 12.50
9 DeeJay Dallas 0.20
8 Brian Robinson Jr. 8.60
8 Austin Ekeler 7.80
6 DErnest Johnson 6.40
6 Tank Bigsby 2.40
5 Chuba Hubbard 18.50
5 Miles Sanders 5.30
4 Kyren Williams 20.40
4 Ronnie Rivers 2.60
3 Jonathan Taylor 29.50
3 Trey Sermon 7.60
2 Joe Mixon 8.00
2 Dare Ogunbowale 4.30
2 Cam Akers 3.50
1 Tony Pollard 18.40
1 Tyjae Spears 7.20
New York Giants vs DAL:

Tyrone Tracy Jr. - $5800
Devin Singletary - $4800

By the numbers, the #Giants' RBs have the best matchup against the #Cowboys. Tyrone Tracy snapped 64% in the last three weeks, but that fell back to 40% last week. Devin Singletary snatched a goal-line TD with 35% of the snaps. Oddly, I expect Singletary's snap to equal the balance left by Tracy, but Eric Gray found 25% of the snaps last week, too. It's likely an anomaly, but if it continues, this is a catastrophic mess (which is expected from the #Giants at this point). It may help to limit exposure toward Tracy, but I'd still expect a high roster percentage against the #Cowboys. As shared in previous write-ups, Dallas is inconsistent with the production against them, specifically in the running game. The challenge is the extreme disparity, as RBs have scored 33+ points three times, 19-21 points three times, and 9 points or fewer four times across the season. The lower-tiered group includes the #Giants when Singletary scored 4 points on 68% of the snaps, and Tracy scored 3 points on 25%.
$5800 Tyrone Tracy Jr. pts needed: 23.2
-200
$6000 10.00 pts wk12(TB)
0
$6000 19.40 pts wk10(CAR)
+500
$5500 7.90 pts wk9(WAS)
-200
$5700 26.00 pts wk8(PIT)
-500
$6200 6.20 pts wk7(PHI)
SEASON
snp%:
50.39
util%:
32.88
ppg:
9.42
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
64.33
util%:
41.23
ppg:
12.43
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
14.50 vs DAL +2.07 +5.08
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
73.00 +8.67 +22.61
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
26.10 -15.13 -6.78
HISTORY vs DAL
2024
14.50 points in Week13
3.10 points in Week 4
$4800 Devin Singletary pts needed: 19.2
-100
$4900 9.00 pts wk12(TB)
-700
$5600 5.50 pts wk10(CAR)
-500
$6100 3.30 pts wk9(WAS)
+200
$5900 4.30 pts wk8(PIT)
-300
$6200 3.10 pts wk7(PHI)
SEASON
snp%:
48.99
util%:
37.76
ppg:
8.78
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
28.67
util%:
36.93
ppg:
5.93
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
2.30 vs DAL -3.63 -6.48
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
20.60 -8.07 -28.39
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
61.50 +24.57 +23.74
HISTORY vs DAL
2024
2.30 points in Week13
4.80 points in Week 4
2019
19.10 points in Week13

OPPONENTS vs. DAL

SEASON AVG vs DAL Rank
26.54 ppg 29th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DAL Rank
22.57 ppg 17th
DIFF
-3.97
WK PLAYERS vs. DAL POINTS
12 Austin Ekeler 4.40
12 Brian Robinson Jr. 3.40
12 Jeremy McNichols 2.20
11 Joe Mixon 38.30
11 Dare Ogunbowale 2.10
11 Dameon Pierce 0.20
10 Saquon Barkley 8.80
10 Kenneth Gainwell 4.90
10 Will Shipley 3.40
9 Bijan Robinson 21.50
9 Tyler Allgeier 7.80
8 Isaac Guerendo 19.20
8 Jordan Mason 1.80
8 Kyle Juszczyk 1.70
8 Patrick Taylor Jr. 0.90
6 David Montgomery 21.00
6 Jahmyr Gibbs 12.10
6 Craig Reynolds 2.10
6 Sione Vaki 0.50
5 Najee Harris 9.70
5 Aaron Shampklin 1.40
5 Jonathan Ward 0.90
4 Devin Singletary 4.80
4 Tyrone Tracy Jr. 3.10
4 Eric Gray 0.10
3 Derrick Henry 33.40
3 Justice Hill 7.40
2 Alvin Kamara 47.00
2 Jamaal Williams 3.90
1 Jerome Ford 18.90
1 Pierre Strong Jr. 5.00
Chicago Bears vs DET:

DAndre Swift - $6000
Roschon Johnson - $4500

D'Andre Swift's snap count is down to 59%, while Roschon Johnson's is up to 37% over the last three weeks. Swift used to have a larger share, so while he's lead back against the #Lions, Johnson has gained more time each week. Swift has scored 16 points once in the last four weeks and 14 points or fewer in the remaining weeks. Johnson found a floor of 8 points in the previous two weeks, including 11 points two weeks ago. The #Lions have limited RBs to 17 points or fewer in the last five weeks, 14 points or fewer in four games, and 6 points or fewer in the last two games. While Swift should see the most usage, I like Johnson's salary relief and current uptick when it comes to pricing and matchup. #Bears
$6000 DAndre Swift pts needed: 24
-100
$6100 9.50 pts wk12(MIN)
-500
$6600 16.40 pts wk11(GB)
+100
$6500 7.50 pts wk10(NE)
+100
$6400 14.20 pts wk9(ARI)
+200
$6200 21.90 pts wk8(WAS)
SEASON
snp%:
63.72
util%:
42.45
ppg:
14.57
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
59.63
util%:
40.67
ppg:
11.13
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
9.40 vs DET -1.73 -5.17
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
68.70 +9.07 +4.98
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
30.40 -10.27 -12.05
HISTORY vs DET
2024
9.40 points in Week13
$4500 Roschon Johnson pts needed: 18
-100
$4600 8.20 pts wk12(MIN)
0
$4600 11.10 pts wk11(GB)
0
$4600 1.10 pts wk10(NE)
-300
$4900 4.10 pts wk9(ARI)
-100
$5000 6.60 pts wk8(WAS)
SEASON
snp%:
34.38
util%:
28.26
ppg:
7.74
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
37.73
util%:
20.67
ppg:
6.8
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
0.00 vs DET -6.8 -7.74
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
3.00 -34.73 -31.38
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
0.00 -20.67 -28.26
HISTORY vs DET
2024
0.00 points in Week13
2023
0.60 points in Week14
3.00 points in Week11

OPPONENTS vs. DET

SEASON AVG vs DET Rank
16.33 ppg 2nd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DET Rank
9.4 ppg 1st
DIFF
-6.93
WK PLAYERS vs. DET POINTS
12 Jonathan Taylor 3.50
11 Travis Etienne Jr. 6.30
11 DErnest Johnson 0.30
10 Joe Mixon 17.00
10 Dare Ogunbowale 1.10
9 Josh Jacobs 12.80
9 Emanuel Wilson 9.90
9 Chris Brooks 7.10
8 Tony Pollard 14.70
8 Julius Chestnut 3.20
7 Aaron Jones 20.60
7 Ty Chandler 0.40
6 Rico Dowdle 10.50
6 Ezekiel Elliott 1.70
4 Kenneth Walker III 33.60
4 Zach Charbonnet 10.40
3 James Conner 3.50
3 Trey Benson 0.80
3 Emari Demercado 0.70
2 Rachaad White 3.30
2 Bucky Irving 2.20
1 Kyren Williams 14.40
1 Ronnie Rivers 1.60
Miami Dolphins vs GB:

DeVon Achane - $7700
Raheem Mostert - $4700
Jaylen Wright - $4200

De'Von Achane has cemented himself atop the Dolphins' timeshare, snapping 61% in the last three weeks and scoring 20+ points in four of the last five weeks. He's priced for a 30-point mark against the Packers, who have limited RBs to 16 points or fewer in the last four weeks, including CMC, D'Andre Swift, and the Lions' backfield. Achane's utilization is through the roof, so while I wouldn't pursue it on a Main Slate, he'll have enough opportunities to impact your lineup. Raheem Mostert has been quiet, scoring only 5 points or fewer and snapping 20% in the last three weeks, and Jaylen Wright scored 1 point or fewer with the same snap share. #Dolphins
$7700 DeVon Achane pts needed: 30.8
+200
$7500 20.60 pts wk12(NE)
+300
$7200 20.50 pts wk11(LV)
+100
$7100 10.20 pts wk10(LAR)
+400
$6700 32.10 pts wk9(BUF)
+500
$6200 26.70 pts wk8(ARI)
SEASON
snp%:
58.64
util%:
43.99
ppg:
17.32
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
61.5
util%:
44.93
ppg:
17.1
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
21.00 vs GB +3.9 +3.68
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
69.00 +7.5 +10.36
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
32.70 -12.23 -11.29
HISTORY vs GB
2024
21.00 points in Week13
$4700 Raheem Mostert pts needed: 18.8
-300
$5000 1.20 pts wk12(NE)
-800
$5800 -0.20 pts wk11(LV)
-100
$5900 5.40 pts wk10(LAR)
-100
$6000 9.80 pts wk9(BUF)
+100
$5900 16.00 pts wk8(ARI)
SEASON
snp%:
32.91
util%:
41.09
ppg:
6.49
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
20.23
util%:
27.27
ppg:
2.13
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
5.40 vs GB +3.27 -1.09
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
35.20 +14.97 +2.29
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
32.00 +4.73 -9.09
HISTORY vs GB
2024
5.40 points in Week13
2022
5.90 points in Week16
2019
13.70 points in Week12
2018
8.70 points in Week 6
$4200 Jaylen Wright pts needed: 16.8
-300
$4500 1.80 pts wk12(NE)
-400
$4900 1.60 pts wk11(LV)
+900
$4000 0.30 pts wk10(LAR)
-500
$4500 1.80 pts wk9(BUF)
-400
$4900 1.80 pts wk8(ARI)
SEASON
snp%:
21.45
util%:
49.8
ppg:
2.45
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
20.87
util%:
50.13
ppg:
1.23
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
0.00 vs GB -1.23 -2.45
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
1.40 -19.47 -20.05
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
0.00 -50.13 -49.8
HISTORY vs GB
2024
0.00 points in Week13

OPPONENTS vs. GB

SEASON AVG vs GB Rank
23.06 ppg 16th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs GB Rank
22.73 ppg 18th
DIFF
-0.33
WK PLAYERS vs. GB POINTS
12 Christian McCaffrey 8.80
12 Kyle Juszczyk 2.40
12 Jordan Mason 2.30
11 DAndre Swift 16.40
11 Roschon Johnson 11.10
9 Jahmyr Gibbs 14.60
9 David Montgomery 12.60
8 Tank Bigsby 10.60
8 DErnest Johnson 3.30
7 Joe Mixon 29.40
7 Dare Ogunbowale 0.60
7 Dameon Pierce 0.20
6 Emari Demercado 11.40
6 James Conner 7.60
6 Trey Benson 2.60
5 Kyren Williams 19.50
5 Blake Corum 4.30
4 Aaron Jones 17.90
4 Ty Chandler 2.30
3 Tyjae Spears 10.10
3 Tony Pollard 5.90
2 Jonathan Taylor 18.50
2 Trey Sermon 1.70
2 Tyler Goodson 1.20
1 Saquon Barkley 36.20
1 Kenneth Gainwell 2.20
Green Bay Packers vs MIA:

Josh Jacobs - $7000
Emanuel Wilson - $4300
Chris Brooks - $4000

Josh Jacobs has been a bell-cow cow, scoring 20+ points in four of the last five weeks, including 31 points last week. Oddly, he's done it with 62% in the previous three weeks and 52% last week. The #Dolphins allowed 19 points or fewer since Week 4, 14 points or fewer in five games, and 12 points or fewer in the last three weeks. Jacobs has a climb, but the usage should give you a shot if you want to go here. Similarly to Achane, I wouldn't chase him on a Main Slate, but volume can be king here. Chris Brooks snapped 27% and scored 3-7 points in the last three weeks, while Emanuel Wilson snapped 20%, scoring 1-9 points. #Packers
$7000 Josh Jacobs pts needed: 28
+200
$6800 31.60 pts wk12(SF)
-300
$7100 23.40 pts wk11(CHI)
+200
$6900 12.80 pts wk9(DET)
+300
$6600 28.50 pts wk8(JAX)
+200
$6400 20.20 pts wk7(HOU)
SEASON
snp%:
64.62
util%:
50.68
ppg:
17.45
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
62.87
util%:
59.23
ppg:
22.6
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
21.70 vs MIA -0.9 +4.25
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
77.80 +14.93 +13.18
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
54.80 -4.43 +4.12
HISTORY vs MIA
2024
21.70 points in Week13
2023
6.10 points in Week11
2020
6.90 points in Week16
$4300 Emanuel Wilson pts needed: 17.2
-100
$4400 4.10 pts wk12(SF)
-100
$4500 1.70 pts wk11(CHI)
+200
$4300 9.90 pts wk9(DET)
-100
$4400 2.30 pts wk8(JAX)
-100
$4500 1.10 pts wk7(HOU)
SEASON
snp%:
24.12
util%:
46.25
ppg:
5.16
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
15.77
util%:
55.07
ppg:
5.23
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
2.00 vs MIA -3.23 -3.16
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
7.40 -8.37 -16.72
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
50.00 -5.07 +3.75
HISTORY vs MIA
2024
2.00 points in Week13
$4000 Chris Brooks pts needed: 16
0
$4000 3.60 pts wk12(SF)
0
$4000 3.30 pts wk11(CHI)
0
$4000 7.10 pts wk9(DET)
0
$4000 2.70 pts wk8(JAX)
0
$4000 0.00 pts wk7(HOU)
SEASON
snp%:
20.1
util%:
31.39
ppg:
2.73
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
27.53
util%:
25.1
ppg:
4.67
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
4.90 vs MIA +0.23 +2.17
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
27.80 +0.27 +7.7
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
33.30 +8.2 +1.91
HISTORY vs MIA
2024
4.90 points in Week13

OPPONENTS vs. MIA

SEASON AVG vs MIA Rank
22.96 ppg 15th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs MIA Rank
16.17 ppg 7th
DIFF
-6.79
WK PLAYERS vs. MIA POINTS
12 Antonio Gibson 5.50
12 JaMycal Hasty 3.50
12 Rhamondre Stevenson 3.30
11 Ameer Abdullah 10.70
11 Alexander Mattison 9.90
11 Zamir White 0.90
10 Kyren Williams 12.20
10 Blake Corum 2.50
9 Ray Davis 17.00
9 James Cook 11.90
9 Ty Johnson 2.30
8 James Conner 14.90
8 Trey Benson 1.00
7 Tyler Goodson 11.10
7 Trey Sermon 5.90
5 Rhamondre Stevenson 19.20
5 Antonio Gibson 6.60
4 Tony Pollard 18.80
4 Tyjae Spears 11.90
3 Zach Charbonnet 25.70
3 Kenny McIntosh 1.10
2 James Cook 28.50
2 Ty Johnson 4.20
2 Ray Davis 3.80
1 Travis Etienne Jr. 12.90
1 Tank Bigsby 7.30
Dallas Cowboys vs NYG:

Rico Dowdle - $5500
Ezekiel Elliott - $4400
Deuce Vaughn - $4000

Rico Dowdle snapped 53% of the snaps over the last three weeks and 60% last week. Expect that to continue, where he's found a fair floor of 5 points in the last five weeks, including 10+ points in three games. The #Giants have allowed 17+ points in the last five weeks, including 27+ in three games. While it's hard to trust, Dowdle is a solid play. Of course, Zeke could make his annual appearance for the Salvation Army with his 24% snap share...or Deuce Vaughn, who is snapping 10% across that time and 19% last week. #Cowboys
$5500 Rico Dowdle pts needed: 22
0
$5500 11.80 pts wk12(WAS)
-500
$6000 5.40 pts wk11(HOU)
-100
$6100 8.60 pts wk10(PHI)
+100
$6000 21.70 pts wk9(ATL)
+100
$5900 10.50 pts wk6(DET)
SEASON
snp%:
48.87
util%:
44.37
ppg:
11.32
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
53.9
util%:
46.67
ppg:
8.6
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
24.30 vs NYG +15.7 +12.98
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
69.70 +15.8 +20.83
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
47.20 +0.53 +2.83
HISTORY vs NYG
2024
24.30 points in Week13
13.10 points in Week 4
2023
13.90 points in Week10
2.40 points in Week 1
2022
0.00 points in Week 3
2020
0.00 points in Week17
0.00 points in Week 5
$4400 Ezekiel Elliott pts needed: 17.6
-200
$4600 0.60 pts wk12(WAS)
0
$4600 5.40 pts wk11(HOU)
-500
$5100 1.20 pts wk10(PHI)
+900
$4200 10.80 pts wk8(SF)
-200
$4400 1.70 pts wk6(DET)
SEASON
snp%:
31.63
util%:
34.59
ppg:
4.51
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
24.23
util%:
28.23
ppg:
2.4
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
0.40 vs NYG -2 -4.11
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
11.80 -12.43 -19.83
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
11.10 -17.13 -23.49
HISTORY vs NYG
2024
0.40 points in Week13
3.40 points in Week 4
2023
7.20 points in Week12
2022
16.50 points in Week12
14.50 points in Week 3
2021
16.20 points in Week15
28.20 points in Week 5
2020
15.10 points in Week17
23.50 points in Week 5
2019
16.90 points in Week 9
13.30 points in Week 1
2018
19.70 points in Week 2
2017
22.00 points in Week 1
$4000 Deuce Vaughn pts needed: 16
0
$4000 2.70 pts wk11(HOU)
0
$4000 0.00 pts wk9(ATL)
0
$4000 0.00 pts wk4(NYG)
0
$4000 2.30 pts wk3(BAL)
0
$4000 2.70 pts wk2(NO)
SEASON
snp%:
10.02
util%:
43.5
ppg:
1.62
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
10.87
util%:
39.17
ppg:
1.67
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
2.70 vs HOU +1.03 +1.08
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
19.30 +8.43 +9.28
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
37.50 -1.67 -6
HISTORY vs NYG
2024
0.00 points in Week 4
2023
1.90 points in Week10
0.80 points in Week 1

OPPONENTS vs. NYG

SEASON AVG vs NYG Rank
26.48 ppg 28th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs NYG Rank
33.57 ppg 31st
DIFF
+7.09
WK PLAYERS vs. NYG POINTS
12 Bucky Irving 27.10
12 Rachaad White 11.70
12 Sean Tucker 8.00
10 Chuba Hubbard 28.90
10 Miles Sanders 0.50
9 Austin Ekeler 17.30
9 Chris Rodriguez Jr. 5.20
9 Jeremy McNichols 2.00
8 Najee Harris 19.10
8 Jaylen Warren 7.90
7 Saquon Barkley 29.70
7 Kenneth Gainwell 7.70
7 Will Shipley 1.50
6 Chase Brown 14.40
6 Zack Moss 1.50
5 Kenneth Walker III 14.60
5 Zach Charbonnet 6.00
4 Rico Dowdle 13.10
4 Hunter Luepke 4.20
4 Ezekiel Elliott 3.40
3 Jerome Ford 10.00
3 DOnta Foreman 0.50
2 Brian Robinson Jr. 17.60
2 Austin Ekeler 11.50
1 Aaron Jones 18.90
1 Ty Chandler 7.20
1 C.J. Ham 2.10