DraftKings Thanksgiving Slate for Week 13 - Quarterback (QB)

Detroit Lions vs CHI:

Jared Goff - $6500

The #Bears, ranked 3rd against QBs on the season, are 21st ranked in the last three weeks, allowing 21 and 24 points to Jordan Love and Sam Darnold in the previous two weeks (Drake Maye (12)). While this should assist Jared Goff toward his 26-point mark, he's scored 15 points or less in the last five weeks outside his 37-point thrashing against the #Jaguars. The current three-game trend against the #Bears is the most appealing, as his history against Chicago is 22 points or fewer in his career, 18 points or fewer in every game but one, and 16 points or fewer last season. With the rest of the options being a challenge, he's worthy of play, but keep in mind that he's the highest-priced QB on the board, which will lessen your build. #Lions
$6500 Jared Goff pts needed: 26
-100
$6600 10.76 pts wk12(IND)
+300
$6300 37.58 pts wk11(JAX)
+100
$6200 12.80 pts wk10(HOU)
-300
$6500 9.60 pts wk9(GB)
-100
$6600 15.50 pts wk8(TEN)
SEASON
snp%:
95.55
util%:
47.62
ppg:
18.37
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
93.23
util%:
50.97
ppg:
20.38
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
16.94 vs CHI -3.44 -1.43
HISTORY vs CHI
2024
16.94 points in Week13
2023
7.44 points in Week14
16.74 points in Week11
2022
22.40 points in Week17
14.84 points in Week10
2021
13.84 points in Week12
18.76 points in Week 4
2020
16.90 points in Week 7
2019
6.22 points in Week11
2018
3.70 points in Week14

OPPONENTS vs. CHI

SEASON AVG vs CHI Rank
13.98 ppg 3rd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CHI Rank
19.55 ppg 21st
DIFF
+5.57
WK PLAYERS vs. CHI POINTS
12 Sam Darnold 24.10
12 Nick Mullens 0.56
11 Jordan Love 21.24
10 Drake Maye 12.76
9 Kyler Murray 5.76
8 Jayden Daniels 25.24
6 Trevor Lawrence 18.06
6 Mac Jones 0.24
5 Andy Dalton 4.74
5 Bryce Young 3.12
4 Matthew Stafford 6.86
3 Anthony Richardson 7.08
2 C.J. Stroud 14.30
1 Will Levis 9.68
New York Giants vs DAL:

Tommy Devito - $4500
Drew Lock - $4500

By the numbers, the #Giants' QBs have the best matchup on the slate against the #Cowboys, who allowed 31 and 32 points in the last two weeks. Since Week 2, Dallas has allowed 15+ points, except in Week 4 to the #Giants, where Daniel Jones scored 10 points. Tommy DeVito did not participate in practice today, so expect Drew Lock to go. Both quarterbacks have a mark of 18 points, where if DeVito goes, he lands likely low-owned compared to Lock, who should become a fairly popular play. I like the sneaky appeal of DeVito, where he could surprise, but assuming Lock goes, I like him to hit his mark with high ownership. #Giants
$4500 Tommy Devito pts needed: 18
+500
$4000 10.76 pts wk12(TB)
SEASON
snp%:
98.3
util%:
65.5
ppg:
10.76
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
98.3
util%:
65.5
ppg:
10.76
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
10.76 vs TB 0 0
HISTORY vs DAL
2023
14.54 points in Week10
$4500 Drew Lock pts needed: 18
-200
$4700 0.12 pts wk12(TB)
+300
$4400 1.54 pts wk7(PHI)
-400
$4800 0.00 pts wk2(WAS)
SEASON
snp%:
11.2
util%:
87.5
ppg:
0.83
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
11.2
util%:
87.5
ppg:
0.83
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
16.82 vs DAL +15.99 +15.99
HISTORY vs DAL
2024
16.82 points in Week13

OPPONENTS vs. DAL

SEASON AVG vs DAL Rank
21.65 ppg 28th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DAL Rank
25.42 ppg 31st
DIFF
+3.77
WK PLAYERS vs. DAL POINTS
12 Jayden Daniels 32.40
11 C.J. Stroud 11.88
10 Jalen Hurts 31.68
10 Kenny Pickett 0.30
9 Kirk Cousins 18.78
8 Brock Purdy 26.00
6 Jared Goff 28.10
6 Hendon Hooker 0.66
5 Justin Fields 15.94
5 Kyle Allen 0.76
4 Daniel Jones 10.54
3 Lamar Jackson 25.98
2 Derek Carr 22.82
1 Deshaun Watson 12.66
Chicago Bears vs DET:

Caleb Williams - $5300

The #Lions haven't allowed a QB to score more than 12 points since Week 8. Caleb Williams has scored 16 and 29 points since seeing an abysmal 10 or fewer in the previous three weeks. Maybe the division game, as the last two upticks were against the #Packers and #Vikings, or garbage time can prevent Williams from reverting to his less production, but it presents like a climb to his 21-point mark. Fortunately, he's cheap enough to build around if you want to take your shot. #Bears
$5300 Caleb Williams pts needed: 21.2
+200
$5100 29.90 pts wk12(MIN)
-300
$5400 16.24 pts wk11(GB)
-200
$5600 6.30 pts wk10(NE)
-500
$6100 9.18 pts wk9(ARI)
+100
$6000 10.34 pts wk8(WAS)
SEASON
snp%:
99.23
util%:
56.3
ppg:
16.32
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
59.53
ppg:
17.48
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
26.14 vs DET +8.66 +9.82
HISTORY vs DET
2024
26.14 points in Week13

OPPONENTS vs. DET

SEASON AVG vs DET Rank
15.17 ppg 6th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DET Rank
9.99 ppg 2nd
DIFF
-5.18
WK PLAYERS vs. DET POINTS
12 Anthony Richardson 12.98
11 Mac Jones 5.22
10 C.J. Stroud 11.78
9 Jordan Love 11.92
8 Mason Rudolph 21.54
7 Sam Darnold 17.26
6 Dak Prescott 5.22
6 Cooper Rush 1.04
4 Geno Smith 25.60
3 Kyler Murray 15.78
2 Baker Mayfield 19.80
1 Matthew Stafford 18.68
Miami Dolphins vs GB:

Tua Tagovailoa - $6000

Tua is returning to form after injury, scoring 23 and 31 points in the last two weeks. The #Packers have kept the passing game quiet, only allowing 28 points once since Week 5, limiting QBs to 16 points or fewer. While Tua has hit for the last two weeks, those opponents were the #Raiders and #Patriots, which could return him to his 17 points or fewer in the three weeks before those improvements. It's a climb to his 24-point mark, but he has the weapons to find those splash plays. I'd like it better if it was at home. #Dolphins
$6000 Tua Tagovailoa pts needed: 24
+200
$5800 31.48 pts wk12(NE)
-200
$6000 23.52 pts wk11(LV)
-300
$6300 10.18 pts wk10(LAR)
+100
$6200 17.54 pts wk9(BUF)
+100
$6100 14.66 pts wk8(ARI)
SEASON
snp%:
95.64
util%:
55.39
ppg:
18.21
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
99.03
util%:
57.6
ppg:
21.73
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
28.20 vs GB +6.47 +9.99
HISTORY vs GB
2024
28.20 points in Week13
2022
16.40 points in Week16

OPPONENTS vs. GB

SEASON AVG vs GB Rank
15.25 ppg 7th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs GB Rank
12.1 ppg 4th
DIFF
-3.15
WK PLAYERS vs. GB POINTS
12 Brandon Allen 10.46
11 Caleb Williams 16.24
9 Jared Goff 9.60
8 Trevor Lawrence 28.32
7 C.J. Stroud 5.34
6 Kyler Murray 12.96
5 Matthew Stafford 13.40
4 Sam Darnold 22.50
3 Will Levis 16.60
2 Anthony Richardson 12.86
1 Jalen Hurts 19.42
Green Bay Packers vs MIA:

Jordan Love - $6300

Jordan Love has been quiet, only producing 21 points once over the last five weeks, 18 or fewer points in four games, and 14 or fewer points in three games. His mark of 25 points presents challenges with his low production and the #Dolphins allowing 18 points or fewer in the last three weeks. The positive spin in the last three weeks was against Drake Maye, Gardner Minshew, and Matthew Stafford. Oddly, Stafford only produced 10 points and Minshew and Maye scored 18 and 15, which I'd lean as favorably for the latter's outputs. Before that production, Josh Allen and Kyler Murray scored 23 and 25 points, but the remaining opponents scored 13 points or less from Week 1 to 7. It's going to be a climb. #Packers
$6300 Jordan Love pts needed: 25.2
-400
$6700 14.72 pts wk12(SF)
-300
$7000 21.24 pts wk11(CHI)
0
$7000 11.92 pts wk9(DET)
-100
$7100 6.74 pts wk8(JAX)
+200
$6900 18.80 pts wk7(HOU)
SEASON
snp%:
94.92
util%:
53.27
ppg:
18.73
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
98.13
util%:
48.53
ppg:
15.96
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
18.96 vs MIA +3 +0.23
HISTORY vs MIA
2024
18.96 points in Week13

OPPONENTS vs. MIA

SEASON AVG vs MIA Rank
13.52 ppg 2nd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs MIA Rank
15.06 ppg 9th
DIFF
+1.54
WK PLAYERS vs. MIA POINTS
12 Drake Maye 15.48
11 Gardner Minshew II 18.98
10 Matthew Stafford 10.72
9 Josh Allen 23.10
8 Kyler Murray 25.18
7 Anthony Richardson 9.76
5 Jacoby Brissett 7.40
4 Mason Rudolph 3.40
4 Will Levis 0.50
3 Geno Smith 13.36
2 Josh Allen 9.76
1 Trevor Lawrence 11.28
Dallas Cowboys vs NYG:

Cooper Rush - $4800
Trey Lance - $4300

Cooper Rush was limited on Monday and Tuesday's practice as of writing this, and I'd expect a full go today (Wednesday). He's scored 17 and 19 points in the last two weeks, so he's playable toward his 19-point mark against the #Giants. New York has allowed that mark in two of the last three games (Bryce Young (12)). The appeal is the discount and if you want to step away from Lock's ownership. Rush has enough weapons to surprise, and Brandin Cooks may return, which can help. He's played decent enough that he shouldn't destroy your lineup, but it doesn't point to a ceiling game, as the #Giants' defense is respectable. #Cowboys
$4800 Cooper Rush pts needed: 19.2
-200
$5000 17.98 pts wk12(WAS)
0
$5000 19.36 pts wk11(HOU)
-100
$5100 0.00 pts wk10(PHI)
+800
$4300 11.00 pts wk9(ATL)
0
$4300 1.04 pts wk6(DET)
SEASON
snp%:
49
util%:
76.27
ppg:
7.07
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
90.67
util%:
60.17
ppg:
12.45
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
11.80 vs NYG -0.65 +4.73
HISTORY vs NYG
2024
11.80 points in Week13
2023
2.22 points in Week10
0.00 points in Week 1
2022
12.40 points in Week 3
2019
0.00 points in Week 1
$4300 Trey Lance pts needed: 17.2
-200
$4500 -0.30 pts wk12(WAS)
+500
$4000 1.54 pts wk10(PHI)
SEASON
snp%:
14
util%:
55
ppg:
0.62
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
14
util%:
55
ppg:
0.62
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
-0.30 vs WAS -0.92 -0.92

OPPONENTS vs. NYG

SEASON AVG vs NYG Rank
17.81 ppg 21st
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs NYG Rank
17.19 ppg 14th
DIFF
-0.62
WK PLAYERS vs. NYG POINTS
12 Baker Mayfield 19.66
10 Bryce Young 12.04
9 Jayden Daniels 19.86
8 Russell Wilson 14.82
7 Jalen Hurts 22.76
6 Joe Burrow 19.82
5 Geno Smith 22.56
4 Dak Prescott 16.74
3 Deshaun Watson 18.44
3 Jameis Winston 0.10
2 Jayden Daniels 13.44
1 Sam Darnold 15.62