DraftKings Main Slate for Week 9 - Quarterback (QB)

Dallas Cowboys vs ATL:

Dak Prescott - $6300

Dak has gone down in price by $200 each of the last three weeks since scoring 22 points and trending accordingly with 5 & 15 points. He lands affordably at 6.3k against the #Falcons, who allowed 16+ points in the last four weeks, including 23+ in half of the games. That floor presents reasonable, with his 25-point mark not too far out of reach. Solid play. #Cowboys
$6300 Dak Prescott pts needed: 25.2
-200
$6500 15.62 pts wk8(SF)
-200
$6700 5.22 pts wk6(DET)
-200
$6900 22.38 pts wk5(PIT)
0
$6900 16.74 pts wk4(NYG)
+300
$6600 32.86 pts wk3(BAL)
SEASON
snp%:
95.43
util%:
59.8
ppg:
17.03
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
91.3
util%:
62.07
ppg:
14.41
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
15.62 vs SF +1.21 -1.41
HISTORY vs ATL
2021
26.34 points in Week10
2020
43.80 points in Week 2
2018
14.82 points in Week11
2017
15.24 points in Week10

OPPONENTS vs. ATL

SEASON AVG vs ATL Rank
18.58 ppg 23rd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs ATL Rank
20.67 ppg 24th
DIFF
+2.09
WK PLAYERS vs. ATL POINTS
8 Baker Mayfield 27.30
7 Geno Smith 17.78
6 Andy Dalton 16.94
5 Baker Mayfield 23.40
4 Derek Carr 9.06
3 Patrick Mahomes 17.38
2 Jalen Hurts 24.82
1 Justin Fields 11.94
Denver Broncos vs BAL:

Bo Nix - $5900

Box Nix is coming along this season, scoring 21+ in three of the last four weeks. The #Ravens have hemorrhaged production to the QB, allowing 20+ during the previous four weeks and 32+ in three of the last five weeks. Baltimore is 30th overall and 32nd in the last three weeks, allowing +3.14 above the 23.7 average against QBs. Nix's price is slowly growing, but he's still below 6k and has a fair mark of 23 points. The catalyst to this production is if the #Broncos' Defense can limit the #Ravens to an average game, but the reality is that it's hard to run against the #Ravens, so Peyton should lean toward the pass—solid play to build around. #Broncos
$5900 Bo Nix pts needed: 23.6
+300
$5600 29.76 pts wk8(CAR)
+200
$5400 14.06 pts wk7(NO)
0
$5400 21.74 pts wk6(LAC)
+400
$5000 23.14 pts wk5(LV)
-100
$5100 6.70 pts wk4(NYJ)
SEASON
snp%:
99.61
util%:
61.06
ppg:
17.26
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
98.97
util%:
61.83
ppg:
21.85
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
29.76 vs CAR +7.91 +12.5

OPPONENTS vs. BAL

SEASON AVG vs BAL Rank
23.7 ppg 30th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs BAL Rank
26.84 ppg 32nd
DIFF
+3.14
WK PLAYERS vs. BAL POINTS
8 Jameis Winston 27.56
7 Baker Mayfield 32.00
6 Jayden Daniels 20.96
5 Joe Burrow 37.78
4 Josh Allen 8.30
4 Mitchell Trubisky 0.08
3 Dak Prescott 32.86
2 Gardner Minshew II 13.94
1 Patrick Mahomes 16.14
New Orleans Saints vs CAR:

Derek Carr - $5600

Derek Carr was limited on Wednesday and Thursday, trending toward his return vs. the #Panthers, who allowed 17+ in four of the last five weeks. Carr's mark of 22 is where he started the season, scoring 21 & 22 points, but followed it up with 13 or fewer points in three weeks straight. It may temper his upside without Shaheed, but a floor of 17 presents a reality, assuming Bryce Young can keep this game competitive. I'd prefer Andy Dalton to align here, but with Dalton healthy, the #Panthers will have that option if Young struggles. Carr's a fair play, but nothing to cement in your lineup. #Saints
$5600 Derek Carr pts needed: 22.4
-100
$5700 13.60 pts wk5(KC)
-200
$5900 9.06 pts wk4(ATL)
+100
$5800 8.98 pts wk3(PHI)
+500
$5300 22.82 pts wk2(DAL)
0
$5300 21.30 pts wk1(CAR)
SEASON
snp%:
92.46
util%:
47.8
ppg:
15.15
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
93.87
util%:
55.07
ppg:
10.55
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
13.60 vs KC +3.05 -1.55
HISTORY vs CAR
2024
21.30 points in Week 1
2023
11.76 points in Week14
7.72 points in Week 2
2020
13.56 points in Week 1

OPPONENTS vs. CAR

SEASON AVG vs CAR Rank
20.89 ppg 28th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CAR Rank
22.37 ppg 26th
DIFF
+1.48
WK PLAYERS vs. CAR POINTS
8 Bo Nix 29.76
7 Marcus Mariota 19.60
7 Jayden Daniels 5.24
6 Kirk Cousins 12.50
5 Caleb Williams 26.56
4 Joe Burrow 17.28
3 Gardner Minshew II 14.96
3 Aidan OConnell 7.28
2 Justin Herbert 13.00
1 Derek Carr 21.30
Los Angeles Chargers vs CLE:

Justin Herbert - $5300

Justin Herbert is showing a semblance of his previous work, producing 17 & 24 in the last two weeks after scoring a measly 13 or fewer in the previous three weeks. Do we expect this offense to take off against the #Browns? No, that's not highly likely, but the #Browns allowed 20+ to QBs in three of the last four weeks. With the passing game improving, Ladd McConkey coming along, Quentin Johnston's potential return, and even DJ Chark's potential debut, there is some momentum to enjoy the fair price of 5.3k and fair mark of 21 points. Solid play. #Chargers
$5300 Justin Herbert pts needed: 21.2
-100
$5400 24.06 pts wk8(NO)
-100
$5500 17.76 pts wk7(ARI)
0
$5500 13.68 pts wk6(DEN)
0
$5500 11.16 pts wk4(KC)
-200
$5700 9.00 pts wk3(PIT)
SEASON
snp%:
96.9
util%:
51.71
ppg:
14.15
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
55.1
ppg:
18.5
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
24.06 vs NO +5.56 +9.91
HISTORY vs CLE
2022
14.42 points in Week 5
2021
45.82 points in Week 5

OPPONENTS vs. CLE

SEASON AVG vs CLE Rank
16.36 ppg 11th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CLE Rank
20.32 ppg 23rd
DIFF
+3.96
WK PLAYERS vs. CLE POINTS
8 Lamar Jackson 24.16
7 Joe Burrow 14.94
6 Jalen Hurts 21.86
5 Jayden Daniels 20.72
5 Marcus Mariota 0.12
4 Gardner Minshew II 5.00
3 Daniel Jones 19.44
2 Trevor Lawrence 13.30
1 Dak Prescott 11.46
Atlanta Falcons vs DAL:

Kirk Cousins - $6400

Kirky is hard to trust this season, scoring 28+ points in two of the last five games while landing 12 points or fewer in the three outliers. The #Cowboys are beatable against the run, so while they allowed 26+ to QBs in the last two weeks, it can arrive in multiple scenarios. Cousins has a mark of 25 points, which can come, but a better price point would appeal more to build around him. The game should translate with production, which makes him a fair mid-priced option. #Falcons
$6400 Kirk Cousins pts needed: 25.6
+200
$6200 28.64 pts wk8(TB)
-100
$6300 10.18 pts wk7(SEA)
+100
$6200 12.50 pts wk6(CAR)
+600
$5600 38.36 pts wk5(TB)
-200
$5800 8.52 pts wk4(NO)
SEASON
snp%:
98.8
util%:
54.43
ppg:
17.01
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
96.8
util%:
51.57
ppg:
17.11
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
28.64 vs TB +11.53 +11.63
HISTORY vs DAL
2022
3.20 points in Week11
2021
13.16 points in Week 8
2020
26.96 points in Week11
2019
19.30 points in Week10
2017
15.64 points in Week13
12.52 points in Week 8

OPPONENTS vs. DAL

SEASON AVG vs DAL Rank
20.45 ppg 27th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DAL Rank
23.82 ppg 30th
DIFF
+3.37
WK PLAYERS vs. DAL POINTS
8 Brock Purdy 26.00
6 Jared Goff 28.10
6 Hendon Hooker 0.66
5 Justin Fields 15.94
5 Kyle Allen 0.76
4 Daniel Jones 10.54
3 Lamar Jackson 25.98
2 Derek Carr 22.82
1 Deshaun Watson 12.66
Green Bay Packers vs DET:

Jordan Love - $7000

Outside of his injury last week, Jordan Love has scored 16+ in the previous four games, including 26 and 34 points against the #Cardinals and #Vikings. He produced 26 and 19 points last season against the #Lions, who have limited ceilings against opponents, with Geno Smith scoring a high of 25 in Week 4. While Mason Rudolph found 21 last week, they've kept production between 15 and 19 in four games this season. A healthier Love makes this play more manageable, but the price is searching for a 28-point mark, so he'll land as a contrarian play if we don't see him go full or get removed from the injury report. Assuming we don't gain clarity until kickoff, he's a high-risk play for a single entry, but I love the approach for a multi-entry. #Packers
$7000 Jordan Love pts needed: 28
-100
$7100 6.74 pts wk8(JAX)
+200
$6900 18.80 pts wk7(HOU)
+300
$6600 26.62 pts wk6(ARI)
+100
$6500 16.96 pts wk5(LAR)
+500
$6000 34.16 pts wk4(MIN)
SEASON
snp%:
93.32
util%:
55.63
ppg:
20.11
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
87.63
util%:
53.3
ppg:
17.39
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
6.74 vs JAX -10.65 -13.37
HISTORY vs DET
2023
26.62 points in Week12
19.64 points in Week 4
2021
9.26 points in Week18
-0.30 points in Week 2

OPPONENTS vs. DET

SEASON AVG vs DET Rank
17.85 ppg 20th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DET Rank
15.02 ppg 9th
DIFF
-2.83
WK PLAYERS vs. DET POINTS
8 Mason Rudolph 21.54
7 Sam Darnold 17.26
6 Dak Prescott 5.22
6 Cooper Rush 1.04
4 Geno Smith 25.60
3 Kyler Murray 15.78
2 Baker Mayfield 19.80
1 Matthew Stafford 18.68
Philadelphia Eagles vs JAX:

Jalen Hurts - $7800

By the numbers, Jalen Hurts lands the best matchup vs. the #Jaguars. The #Jags allowed 20+ points outside of last week (injury to Jordan Love) and Week 2 (Watson (15)), including 26+ in four weeks. While they haven't allowed Jalen Hurts's mark of 31, Flacco & Josh Allen hit 30 points. With the #Eagles playing better against the pass and the injuries to Thomas and Kirk, it provides some pause toward the high price tag and mark with Hurts. Those variables are a shame to absorb, as the offense is producing, with Hurts landing 21+ in the last three weeks, including 35 last week. Without those variables, I'd strongly recommend the chase to land him. With those variables, I still align him as a 20+ point play, but the ceiling will be problematic if the #Jaguars fall flat. He's worth a build, but if I can't build it right, he may be the downgraded piece. #Eagles
$7800 Jalen Hurts pts needed: 31.2
+300
$7500 35.14 pts wk8(CIN)
+200
$7300 22.76 pts wk7(NYG)
+100
$7200 21.86 pts wk6(CLE)
0
$7200 17.32 pts wk4(TB)
-100
$7300 15.94 pts wk3(NO)
SEASON
snp%:
97.4
util%:
57.71
ppg:
22.47
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
93.93
util%:
50.33
ppg:
26.59
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
35.14 vs CIN +8.55 +12.67
HISTORY vs JAX
2022
16.96 points in Week 4

OPPONENTS vs. JAX

SEASON AVG vs JAX Rank
23.87 ppg 31st
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs JAX Rank
21.82 ppg 25th
DIFF
-2.05
WK PLAYERS vs. JAX POINTS
8 Malik Willis 8.54
8 Jordan Love 6.74
7 Drake Maye 20.84
6 Caleb Williams 29.64
5 Joe Flacco 30.56
4 C.J. Stroud 26.50
3 Josh Allen 30.92
3 Mitchell Trubisky 0.02
2 Deshaun Watson 15.44
2 Jameis Winston 0.40
1 Tua Tagovailoa 21.62
Cleveland Browns vs LAC:

Jameis Winston - $5400

Famous Jameis never gets old. He landed 27 points against the #Ravens in his first start last week. The game script isn't as similar against the #Chargers, who are better against the pass, limiting QBs to 14 or fewer points in four of 7 games this season, but on the plus side, have allowed 21 to Bo Nix & Kyler Murray in two of the last three weeks. He's priced reasonably for a 21-point mark. Fair play, but we'll likely need some late-game heroics. #Browns
$5400 Jameis Winston pts needed: 21.6
+200
$5200 27.56 pts wk8(BAL)
+300
$4900 8.68 pts wk7(CIN)
-200
$5100 0.00 pts wk6(PHI)
+100
$5000 0.34 pts wk5(WAS)
0
$5000 0.10 pts wk3(NYG)
SEASON
snp%:
22.1
util%:
58.93
ppg:
6.18
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
39.1
util%:
48.97
ppg:
12.08
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
27.56 vs BAL +15.48 +21.38

OPPONENTS vs. LAC

SEASON AVG vs LAC Rank
14.91 ppg 6th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs LAC Rank
18.42 ppg 18th
DIFF
+3.51
WK PLAYERS vs. LAC POINTS
8 Spencer Rattler 6.24
8 Jake Haener 5.88
7 Kyler Murray 21.20
7 Clayton Tune 0.20
6 Bo Nix 21.74
4 Patrick Mahomes 14.00
3 Justin Fields 19.40
2 Bryce Young 2.96
1 Gardner Minshew II 12.78
Buffalo Bills vs MIA:

Josh Allen - $7700

There's some confusion with the QB production against the #Dolphins, as they've allowed 13 points or fewer all season, except last week to Kyler Murray. One of those weeks includes Josh Allen producing an output of 9 points, even though he's erupted for 29+ points in the five previous games against Miami. Is the 9 points an anomaly or the start of a new trend? It would lean toward the former based on Allen's recent production of 20+ in the last three weeks. His price asks for 30 points, so it comes with an unlikely climb. The 20-point floor is in range, but you'll need to help the rest of the way. #Bills
$7700 Josh Allen pts needed: 30.8
-100
$7800 20.82 pts wk8(SEA)
+300
$7500 24.02 pts wk7(TEN)
0
$7500 24.40 pts wk6(NYJ)
-200
$7700 14.64 pts wk5(HOU)
-100
$7800 8.30 pts wk4(BAL)
SEASON
snp%:
94.28
util%:
58.09
ppg:
20.63
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
96.93
util%:
58.07
ppg:
23.08
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
20.82 vs SEA -2.26 +0.19
HISTORY vs MIA
2024
9.76 points in Week 2
2023
29.06 points in Week18
39.50 points in Week 4
2022
39.86 points in Week15
30.70 points in Week 3
2021
29.46 points in Week 8
17.66 points in Week 2
2020
20.26 points in Week17
37.50 points in Week 2
2019
33.84 points in Week11
21.28 points in Week 7
2018
41.46 points in Week17
33.74 points in Week13

OPPONENTS vs. MIA

SEASON AVG vs MIA Rank
11.49 ppg 1st
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs MIA Rank
14.11 ppg 7th
DIFF
+2.62
WK PLAYERS vs. MIA POINTS
8 Kyler Murray 25.18
7 Anthony Richardson 9.76
5 Jacoby Brissett 7.40
4 Mason Rudolph 3.40
4 Will Levis 0.50
3 Geno Smith 13.36
2 Josh Allen 9.76
1 Trevor Lawrence 11.28
Carolina Panthers vs NO:

Bryce Young - $4400

I never thought I'd promote Bryce Young again, but he didn't look too bad last week and landed 15 points against a top defense (#Broncos). At 4.4k and a lowly mark of 17 points, he's in consideration. Is it a high consideration?...No. With that, the data supports a shot, with the #Saints allowing a 14-point floor in five of the last six weeks. Adam Theilen was limited on Thursday, so if he makes his way back, I'd strongly consider taking this leap. If you proceed with Young, then the rest of the build better land immaculate. I like the multi-entry approach and will have some risk tolerance for landing him in my single entry (It's a hard reach, but TBD). #Panthers
$4400 Bryce Young pts needed: 17.6
-500
$4900 15.56 pts wk8(DEN)
+200
$4700 -0.16 pts wk7(WAS)
-200
$4900 3.12 pts wk5(CHI)
-200
$5100 2.96 pts wk2(LAC)
-100
$5200 11.64 pts wk1(NO)
SEASON
snp%:
62.7
util%:
68.08
ppg:
6.62
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
40.67
util%:
73.73
ppg:
6.17
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
15.56 vs DEN +9.39 +8.94
HISTORY vs NO
2024
11.64 points in Week 1
2023
8.48 points in Week14
14.52 points in Week 2

OPPONENTS vs. NO

SEASON AVG vs NO Rank
17.32 ppg 17th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs NO Rank
23.27 ppg 29th
DIFF
+5.95
WK PLAYERS vs. NO POINTS
8 Justin Herbert 24.06
7 Bo Nix 14.06
6 Baker Mayfield 31.90
5 Patrick Mahomes 17.44
4 Kirk Cousins 8.52
3 Jalen Hurts 15.94
2 Dak Prescott 14.92
2 Cooper Rush 0.24
1 Bryce Young 11.64
Los Angeles Rams vs SEA:

Matthew Stafford - $5700

Stafford is a different monster with Puka and Kupp healthy. Oddly, so is Demarcus Robinson. From recently putting along with 13 or less in the previous four weeks, Stafford with company lands 25 points. His history last season was limited to 17 & 10 points against the #Seahawks, who allowed 20+ in four of the previous five weeks, with Kirk Cousins being the anomaly at 10 points. The price is solid to build around, and the 22-point mark is highly likely. He should land as a popular play. #Rams
$5700 Matthew Stafford pts needed: 22.8
+200
$5500 25.76 pts wk8(MIN)
-100
$5600 4.96 pts wk7(LV)
+100
$5500 13.40 pts wk5(GB)
-100
$5600 6.86 pts wk4(CHI)
-100
$5700 12.84 pts wk3(SF)
SEASON
snp%:
100
util%:
51.66
ppg:
12.88
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
51.53
ppg:
14.71
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
25.76 vs MIN +11.05 +12.88
HISTORY vs SEA
2023
10.70 points in Week11
17.46 points in Week 1
2021
16.46 points in Week15
20.50 points in Week 5
2018
22.00 points in Week 8

OPPONENTS vs. SEA

SEASON AVG vs SEA Rank
17.03 ppg 16th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs SEA Rank
18.45 ppg 19th
DIFF
+1.42
WK PLAYERS vs. SEA POINTS
8 Josh Allen 20.82
7 Kirk Cousins 10.18
7 Michael Penix Jr. 0.56
6 Brock Purdy 24.10
5 Daniel Jones 22.08
4 Jared Goff 27.18
3 Skylar Thompson 4.28
3 Tim Boyle 3.76
2 Jacoby Brissett 10.56
1 Bo Nix 13.02