DraftKings Main Slate for Week 8 - Running Back (RB)

Seattle Seahawks vs BUF:

Kenneth Walker III - $7800
Zach Charbonnet - $5400

Tony Pollard disappointed the trend last vs. the #Bills, who allowed 14+ to RBs in the three weeks prior, including 24 and 38 points to Breece Hall and Derrick Henry. Kenneth Walker scored 14+ over the last five weeks and 20+ in four games. He's still slightly banged up but finished the week with a Full Practice (FP). Oddly, his production still hit with a low snap count of 46% last week, where Zach Charbonnet outsnapped him at 55%. A 50-50 timeshare presents reasonably, with Charbonnet as sneaky play with the lower mark of 21 points. Obviously, Walker is the likely benefactor of this matchup, but his price tag is searching for 31 points, so it's hard to pull that trigger. With Metcalf down, some more opportunities should arrive in the backfield, whether through the running or passing game. #Seahawks
$7800 Kenneth Walker III pts needed: 31.2
+500
$7300 23.30 pts wk7(ATL)
+200
$7100 20.90 pts wk6(SF)
+300
$6800 14.60 pts wk5(NYG)
+500
$6300 33.60 pts wk4(DET)
+200
$6100 21.90 pts wk1(DEN)
SEASON
snp%:
61.54
util%:
43.1
ppg:
22.86
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
61.03
util%:
43.7
ppg:
19.6
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
13.90 vs MIN -5.7 -8.96
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
59.40 -1.63 -2.14
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
42.10 -1.6 -1
HISTORY vs BUF
2024
8.50 points in Week 8
$5400 Zach Charbonnet pts needed: 21.6
+100
$5300 1.90 pts wk7(ATL)
-200
$5500 4.50 pts wk6(SF)
-900
$6400 6.00 pts wk5(NYG)
+200
$6200 10.40 pts wk4(DET)
+200
$6000 25.70 pts wk3(MIA)
SEASON
snp%:
54.09
util%:
31.11
ppg:
11.21
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
40.67
util%:
27.5
ppg:
4.13
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
10.60 vs CHI +6.47 -0.61
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
75.00 +34.33 +20.91
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
46.20 +18.7 +15.09
HISTORY vs BUF
2024
11.40 points in Week 8

OPPONENTS vs. BUF

SEASON AVG vs BUF Rank
30.3 ppg 31st
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs BUF Rank
21.67 ppg 13th
DIFF
-8.63
WK PLAYERS vs. BUF POINTS
7 Tony Pollard 8.50
7 Julius Chestnut 3.40
6 Breece Hall 24.90
6 Braelon Allen 0.80
5 Dare Ogunbowale 14.70
5 Cam Akers 12.70
4 Derrick Henry 38.90
4 Justice Hill 21.60
4 Patrick Ricard 6.00
3 Travis Etienne Jr. 12.50
3 DErnest Johnson 1.20
3 Tank Bigsby 0.90
2 DeVon Achane 29.50
2 Jeff Wilson Jr. 3.20
2 Jaylen Wright 0.40
2 Alec Ingold 0.20
1 James Conner 19.30
1 DeeJay Dallas 6.00
1 Emari Demercado 4.60
1 Trey Benson 2.80
Denver Broncos vs CAR:

Javonte Williams - $6000
Jaleel McLaughlin - $4600

Javonte Williams lands the best matchup by the numbers against the #Panthers. He came back to life last week vs. the #Saints with 26 points since hitting 16 or fewer in the previous four games, including 10 or fewer for three. He snapped 63% last week, which aligns with his 60% on the season and 64% during the previous three games, so it was only a bump in his production. His inconsistency makes this a challenging play for his 24-point mark, but the script with Dalton, Thielen, and Johnson out should align with the opportunity. I'd lean toward him landing a safe floor, as Carolina has allowed 13+ all season and 20+ to RBs in three of the last four games. McLaughlin is a nice dart for the price to make a splash. #Broncos
$6000 Javonte Williams pts needed: 24
+500
$5500 26.10 pts wk7(NO)
0
$5500 5.60 pts wk6(LAC)
+300
$5200 16.10 pts wk5(LV)
0
$5200 10.00 pts wk4(NYJ)
-200
$5400 7.10 pts wk3(TB)
SEASON
snp%:
60.09
util%:
38.46
ppg:
11.39
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
64.63
util%:
40.47
ppg:
15.93
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
2.00 vs CIN -13.93 -9.39
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
36.70 -27.93 -23.39
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
9.10 -31.37 -29.36
HISTORY vs CAR
2024
9.20 points in Week 8
$4600 Jaleel McLaughlin pts needed: 18.4
+300
$4300 3.50 pts wk7(NO)
-100
$4400 4.50 pts wk6(LAC)
+100
$4300 11.50 pts wk5(LV)
-200
$4500 5.60 pts wk4(NYJ)
+100
$4400 8.40 pts wk3(TB)
SEASON
snp%:
29.59
util%:
38.4
ppg:
5.84
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
27.83
util%:
35.93
ppg:
6.5
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
9.60 vs CIN +3.1 +3.76
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
23.30 -4.53 -6.29
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
85.70 +49.77 +47.3
HISTORY vs CAR
2024
12.60 points in Week 8

OPPONENTS vs. CAR

SEASON AVG vs CAR Rank
32.93 ppg 32nd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CAR Rank
34.7 ppg 30th
DIFF
+1.77
WK PLAYERS vs. CAR POINTS
7 Brian Robinson Jr. 13.10
7 Jeremy McNichols 4.20
7 Austin Ekeler 4.00
6 Bijan Robinson 25.50
6 Tyler Allgeier 22.80
5 DAndre Swift 20.00
5 Roschon Johnson 14.50
4 Chase Brown 23.20
4 Zack Moss 17.80
3 Alexander Mattison 13.40
3 Zamir White 3.40
3 Ameer Abdullah 3.30
2 J.K. Dobbins 23.10
2 Gus Edwards 5.90
2 Hassan Haskins 1.10
1 Alvin Kamara 22.00
1 Jamaal Williams 12.10
1 Jordan Mims 1.10
Washington Commanders vs CHI:

Brian Robinson Jr. - $6400
Austin Ekeler - $5600

Whether Jayden Daniels plays or not, Washington's running game should be heavily relied on against the #Bears. While they limited the #Jaguars to 6 points last week, they allowed 18+ points to Chuba Hubbard, Kyren Williams, & Jonathan Taylor in the previous three weeks. Austin Ekeler has been too quiet, only scoring 13 or fewer over the last five weeks, which includes 4 & 10 points in the last two games. Brian Robinson, while injured, produced 13 points during the previous two weeks and is off the injury report. His snap share and production should increase toward his very fair 25-point mark. While Ekeler & McNichols can play spoiler, Robinson presents as a very solid play to build around. #Commanders
$6400 Brian Robinson Jr. pts needed: 25.6
0
$6400 13.10 pts wk7(CAR)
-200
$6600 13.80 pts wk5(CLE)
+500
$6100 23.30 pts wk4(ARI)
+200
$5900 10.70 pts wk3(CIN)
+100
$5800 17.60 pts wk2(NYG)
SEASON
snp%:
54.4
util%:
43.78
ppg:
16.07
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
44.83
util%:
43.3
ppg:
16.73
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
8.90 vs ATL -7.83 -7.17
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
54.20 +9.37 -0.2
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
33.30 -10 -10.48
HISTORY vs CHI
2024
8.60 points in Week 8
2023
8.30 points in Week 5
2022
12.00 points in Week 6
$5600 Austin Ekeler pts needed: 22.4
-300
$5900 4.00 pts wk7(CAR)
+300
$5600 10.80 pts wk6(BAL)
0
$5600 11.70 pts wk5(CLE)
-100
$5700 13.70 pts wk3(CIN)
0
$5700 11.50 pts wk2(NYG)
SEASON
snp%:
47.87
util%:
28.13
ppg:
10.32
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
56.53
util%:
25.13
ppg:
8.83
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
4.40 vs DAL -4.43 -5.92
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
62.90 +6.37 +15.03
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
27.30 +2.17 -0.83
HISTORY vs CHI
2024
7.80 points in Week 8
2023
24.30 points in Week 8
2019
10.20 points in Week 8

OPPONENTS vs. CHI

SEASON AVG vs CHI Rank
22.33 ppg 14th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CHI Rank
18.5 ppg 7th
DIFF
-3.83
WK PLAYERS vs. CHI POINTS
6 DErnest Johnson 6.40
6 Tank Bigsby 2.40
5 Chuba Hubbard 18.50
5 Miles Sanders 5.30
4 Kyren Williams 20.40
4 Ronnie Rivers 2.60
3 Jonathan Taylor 29.50
3 Trey Sermon 7.60
2 Joe Mixon 8.00
2 Dare Ogunbowale 4.30
2 Cam Akers 3.50
1 Tony Pollard 18.40
1 Tyjae Spears 7.20
Tennessee Titans vs DET:

Tony Pollard - $6500
Julius Chestnut - $4100

Tony Pollard snapped 89% last week but only landed 8 points after scoring 15+ in three of the previous five weeks. Tyjae Spears is likely OUT, so the volume should continue vs. the #Lions, who allowed 20+ in two of the last three weeks. The volume SHOULD create a floor toward his 26-point mark, but the #Titans are bad, so he's a piece you accept on a solid build, not one you chase. Julius Chestnut practiced in full to close the week, so he should spell Pollard. He is a bigger back if you don't know him, so he should compliment Pollard well. He's a sneaky play at 4.1k. #Titans
$6500 Tony Pollard pts needed: 26
+200
$6300 8.50 pts wk7(BUF)
+300
$6000 17.80 pts wk6(IND)
0
$6000 18.80 pts wk4(MIA)
0
$6000 5.90 pts wk3(GB)
+100
$5900 15.20 pts wk2(NYJ)
SEASON
snp%:
68.95
util%:
45.8
ppg:
14.1
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
74.37
util%:
47.27
ppg:
15.03
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
8.00 vs IND -7.03 -6.1
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
39.30 -35.07 -29.65
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
50.00 +2.73 +4.2
HISTORY vs DET
2024
14.70 points in Week 8
2023
5.90 points in Week17
2022
12.90 points in Week 7
2019
17.60 points in Week11
$4100 Julius Chestnut pts needed: 16.4
+100
$4000 3.40 pts wk7(BUF)
0
$4000 0.20 pts wk6(IND)
0
$4000 0.00 pts wk4(MIA)
-200
$4200 0.00 pts wk3(GB)
+200
$4000 0.00 pts wk2(NYJ)
SEASON
snp%:
5.9
util%:
27.77
ppg:
1.2
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
5.9
util%:
27.77
ppg:
1.2
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
1.70 vs JAX +0.5 +0.5
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
36.20 +30.3 +30.3
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
16.00 -11.77 -11.77
HISTORY vs DET
2024
3.20 points in Week 8

OPPONENTS vs. DET

SEASON AVG vs DET Rank
17.28 ppg 2nd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DET Rank
25.73 ppg 23rd
DIFF
+8.45
WK PLAYERS vs. DET POINTS
7 Aaron Jones 20.60
7 Ty Chandler 0.40
6 Rico Dowdle 10.50
6 Ezekiel Elliott 1.70
4 Kenneth Walker III 33.60
4 Zach Charbonnet 10.40
3 James Conner 3.50
3 Trey Benson 0.80
3 Emari Demercado 0.70
2 Rachaad White 3.30
2 Bucky Irving 2.20
1 Kyren Williams 14.40
1 Ronnie Rivers 1.60
Jacksonville Jaguars vs GB:

Tank Bigsby - $6300
Travis Etienne Jr. - $5900

Travis Etienne finished the week limited (LP), which aligns with him not playing or likely playing sparingly. Tank Bigsby, who should land as a popular play this week (25+%), has scored 26+ in two of the last three weeks. He has a phenomenal price tag and reachable mark of 25 points. The #Packers allowed 29 points to Mixon last week and 18+ in five out of seven games this season, with the #Titans' RBs (Pollard (5), Spears (10)) and the #Cardinals' RBs (Conner (7), Demercado (10), Benson (2)) being the outliers. This is the frequent decision of the "free square" or fading against the field. Currently, I lean toward the former. #Jaguars
$6300 Tank Bigsby pts needed: 25.2
+500
$5800 26.80 pts wk7(NE)
-200
$6000 2.40 pts wk6(CHI)
+100
$5900 28.90 pts wk5(IND)
+300
$5600 9.00 pts wk4(HOU)
+500
$5100 0.90 pts wk3(BUF)
SEASON
snp%:
34.94
util%:
46.6
ppg:
13.6
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
44.23
util%:
56.53
ppg:
19.37
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
3.30 vs TEN -16.07 -10.3
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
39.70 -4.53 +4.76
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
52.20 -4.33 +5.6
HISTORY vs GB
2024
10.60 points in Week 8
$5900 Travis Etienne Jr. pts needed: 23.6
-500
$6400 -0.10 pts wk6(CHI)
-300
$6700 12.00 pts wk5(IND)
-300
$7000 7.00 pts wk4(HOU)
0
$7000 12.50 pts wk3(BUF)
-200
$7200 14.80 pts wk2(CLE)
SEASON
snp%:
52.97
util%:
42.25
ppg:
9.85
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
35.77
util%:
46.27
ppg:
6.3
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
8.50 vs TEN +2.2 -1.35
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
48.30 +12.53 -4.67
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
60.70 +14.43 +18.45

OPPONENTS vs. GB

SEASON AVG vs GB Rank
24.51 ppg 20th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs GB Rank
25.2 ppg 20th
DIFF
+0.69
WK PLAYERS vs. GB POINTS
7 Joe Mixon 29.40
7 Dare Ogunbowale 0.60
7 Dameon Pierce 0.20
6 Emari Demercado 11.40
6 James Conner 7.60
6 Trey Benson 2.60
5 Kyren Williams 19.50
5 Blake Corum 4.30
4 Aaron Jones 17.90
4 Ty Chandler 2.30
3 Tyjae Spears 10.10
3 Tony Pollard 5.90
2 Jonathan Taylor 18.50
2 Trey Sermon 1.70
2 Tyler Goodson 1.20
1 Saquon Barkley 36.20
1 Kenneth Gainwell 2.20
Indianapolis Colts vs HOU:

Jonathan Taylor - $7500

Jonathan Taylor returns vs. the #Texans, where he's scored 28+ points against in four previous matchups from 21-23. To start this season, he bucked that trend by scoring only 10 points. The #Texans are a better team than in years past, Sermon & Goodson have likely earned some continued snaps, and Taylor likely won't carry the bulk in his first game back. While everything aligns against his 30-point mark, most stay away from these areas until they arrive, which is too late to reap the benefits. I wouldn't go out of my way to chase it, but keep it on the radar as he should land with a low roster percentage and potentially land as the difference-maker this week. #Colts
$7500 Jonathan Taylor pts needed: 30
-200
$7700 19.80 pts wk4(PIT)
+400
$7300 29.50 pts wk3(CHI)
-400
$7700 18.50 pts wk2(GB)
-100
$7800 10.80 pts wk1(HOU)
SEASON
snp%:
76.9
util%:
48.88
ppg:
19.65
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
70.67
util%:
52.77
ppg:
22.6
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
30.60 vs NYG +8 +10.95
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
88.30 +17.63 +11.4
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
52.90 +0.13 +4.02
HISTORY vs HOU
2024
21.70 points in Week 8
10.80 points in Week 1
2023
30.60 points in Week18
2022
30.50 points in Week 1
2021
28.30 points in Week13
31.80 points in Week 6
2020
19.50 points in Week15
22.50 points in Week13

OPPONENTS vs. HOU

SEASON AVG vs HOU Rank
18.31 ppg 3rd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs HOU Rank
17.93 ppg 5th
DIFF
-0.38
WK PLAYERS vs. HOU POINTS
7 Josh Jacobs 20.20
7 Emanuel Wilson 1.10
6 Antonio Gibson 7.30
6 JaMycal Hasty 3.10
6 Terrell Jennings 1.30
5 James Cook 17.90
5 Ty Johnson 1.50
5 Ray Davis 1.40
4 Tank Bigsby 9.00
4 Travis Etienne Jr. 7.00
3 Aaron Jones 28.80
3 Ty Chandler 1.30
2 Khalil Herbert 8.70
2 DAndre Swift 8.20
2 Travis Homer 0.60
1 Jonathan Taylor 10.80
Green Bay Packers vs JAX:

Josh Jacobs - $6600

Josh Jacobs's tenure with the #Packers has been sporadic, with scores of 5, 11, 16, 12, & 20 during the last five weeks. Fortunately, the 20 points were the most recent, so maybe he'll continue that trend vs. the #Jaguars, who allowed 15+ to RBs all season except against the #Browns (not much happening there). That 15-point floor presents likely toward his 26-point mark. While he's a solid play at the mid-price, the likely concern is if the passing game (best m/u of the week) limits the upside...but both can be true. Solid play. #Packers
$6600 Josh Jacobs pts needed: 26.4
+200
$6400 20.20 pts wk7(HOU)
-300
$6700 12.00 pts wk6(ARI)
+300
$6400 16.40 pts wk5(LAR)
-200
$6600 11.80 pts wk4(MIN)
-100
$6700 5.80 pts wk3(TEN)
SEASON
snp%:
65.41
util%:
45.69
ppg:
13.67
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
68.27
util%:
44.93
ppg:
16.2
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
11.90 vs MIN -4.3 -1.77
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
63.50 -4.77 -1.91
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
42.50 -2.43 -3.19
HISTORY vs JAX
2024
28.50 points in Week 8
2022
11.70 points in Week 9
2019
12.90 points in Week15

OPPONENTS vs. JAX

SEASON AVG vs JAX Rank
26.59 ppg 26th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs JAX Rank
25.57 ppg 22nd
DIFF
-1.02
WK PLAYERS vs. JAX POINTS
7 JaMycal Hasty 15.70
7 Rhamondre Stevenson 4.50
7 Antonio Gibson 2.30
6 DAndre Swift 21.90
6 Roschon Johnson 5.30
5 Trey Sermon 18.30
5 Tyler Goodson 8.70
4 Dare Ogunbowale 15.40
4 Cam Akers 5.30
4 J.J. Taylor 1.80
3 James Cook 18.70
3 Ty Johnson 13.60
3 Ray Davis 9.30
2 Jerome Ford 7.40
2 DOnta Foreman 6.10
2 Pierre Strong Jr. 1.50
1 DeVon Achane 23.00
1 Raheem Mostert 3.90
1 Jeff Wilson Jr. 2.60
1 Alec Ingold 0.80
Kansas City Chiefs vs LV:

Kareem Hunt - $6300

Kareem Hunt took the starting role and produced 10 points in a warm-up game and 21 & 22 points during the last two weeks. He snapped 57% over that span and increased to 64% last week. The #Raiders allowed 15+ points to RBs all season and 19 & 23 points (Kyren Wiliams & Najee Harris) in the previous two games. Hunt has a mark of 25 points, with a price tag that isn't keeping up with his production. I'd anticipate a heavy roster percentage of around 20%, so there's nothing wrong with riding the field, but if that's part of your strategy, it's something to consider. #Chiefs
$6300 Kareem Hunt pts needed: 25.2
+300
$6000 22.30 pts wk7(SF)
+500
$5500 21.70 pts wk5(NO)
+300
$5200 10.50 pts wk4(LAC)
SEASON
snp%:
57.53
util%:
55.6
ppg:
18.17
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
57.53
util%:
55.6
ppg:
18.17
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
8.00 vs PIT -10.17 -10.17
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
48.40 -9.13 -9.13
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
30.00 -25.6 -25.6
HISTORY vs LV
2024
3.50 points in Week13
13.30 points in Week 8
2020
9.30 points in Week 8
2017
25.80 points in Week14
15.70 points in Week 7

OPPONENTS vs. LV

SEASON AVG vs LV Rank
27.07 ppg 27th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs LV Rank
26.3 ppg 25th
DIFF
-0.77
WK PLAYERS vs. LV POINTS
7 Kyren Williams 19.60
7 Blake Corum 1.10
6 Najee Harris 23.20
6 Jaylen Warren 4.80
6 Jonathan Ward 1.30
5 Javonte Williams 16.10
5 Jaleel McLaughlin 11.50
5 Michael Burton 1.50
4 Jerome Ford 15.50
4 DOnta Foreman 1.70
3 Chuba Hubbard 30.90
3 Miles Sanders 11.00
2 Derrick Henry 16.60
2 Justice Hill 5.20
1 J.K. Dobbins 25.90
1 Gus Edwards 3.80
Arizona Cardinals vs MIA:

James Conner - $6500

James Conner increased his snap count of 64% on the season to 84% last week. Volume backs are hard to come by, especially at a 6.5k price tag (mark of 26 points). He produced 20, 7, 14, & 21 in the last four weeks. With the #Dolphins getting Tua back, this should land as a good game for Conner, whether rushing or receiving. Miami allowed 19+ in four of the last five games, with the previous week against the #Colts (Goodson - 11 points) being the anomaly. He's a solid play, especially if you're paying up at another position. #Cardinals
$6500 James Conner pts needed: 26
-200
$6700 20.20 pts wk7(LAC)
-100
$6800 7.60 pts wk6(GB)
+300
$6500 14.00 pts wk5(SF)
0
$6500 21.30 pts wk4(WAS)
-100
$6600 3.50 pts wk3(DET)
SEASON
snp%:
64.66
util%:
50.26
ppg:
15.47
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
63.7
util%:
56.9
ppg:
13.93
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
2.80 vs LAR -11.13 -12.67
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
15.20 -48.5 -49.46
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
58.30 +1.4 +8.04
HISTORY vs MIA
2024
14.90 points in Week 8
2019
27.00 points in Week 8

OPPONENTS vs. MIA

SEASON AVG vs MIA Rank
26.17 ppg 24th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs MIA Rank
24.5 ppg 18th
DIFF
-1.67
WK PLAYERS vs. MIA POINTS
7 Tyler Goodson 11.10
7 Trey Sermon 5.90
5 Rhamondre Stevenson 19.20
5 Antonio Gibson 6.60
4 Tony Pollard 18.80
4 Tyjae Spears 11.90
3 Zach Charbonnet 25.70
3 Kenny McIntosh 1.10
2 James Cook 28.50
2 Ty Johnson 4.20
2 Ray Davis 3.80
1 Travis Etienne Jr. 12.90
1 Tank Bigsby 7.30
New York Jets vs NE:

Breece Hall - $7300

Breece Hall is on the threshold of being outpriced with a 29-point mark, but his snap count of 82% last week, 81% in the last three weeks, and 76% on the season warrant consideration. Against the #Patriots, he scored 18 points this year and 32 & 3 last season. New England allowed 26 & 30 points in the last two weeks against Bigsby & Mixon. They allowed 14+ all season except vs. the injured #Dolphins and 17+ besides those two games. 17+ points presents extremely safe unless somehow the #Jets are the #Jets (lol). You'll need some help the rest of the way, but it's in sight. #Jets
$7300 Breece Hall pts needed: 29.2
+500
$6800 29.10 pts wk7(PIT)
0
$6800 24.90 pts wk6(BUF)
-500
$7300 6.70 pts wk5(MIN)
-500
$7800 3.80 pts wk4(DEN)
+400
$7400 18.30 pts wk3(NE)
SEASON
snp%:
76.83
util%:
41.24
ppg:
18.07
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
81.13
util%:
37.6
ppg:
20.23
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
6.30 vs BUF -13.93 -11.77
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
49.20 -31.93 -27.63
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
35.50 -2.1 -5.74
HISTORY vs NE
2024
9.90 points in Week 8
18.30 points in Week 3
2023
32.00 points in Week18
3.70 points in Week 3

OPPONENTS vs. NE

SEASON AVG vs NE Rank
29.43 ppg 30th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs NE Rank
37.27 ppg 31st
DIFF
+7.84
WK PLAYERS vs. NE POINTS
7 Tank Bigsby 26.80
7 DErnest Johnson 10.00
6 Joe Mixon 30.20
6 Dameon Pierce 14.70
6 Dare Ogunbowale 0.80
5 Raheem Mostert 11.80
5 Jaylen Wright 8.60
5 Alec Ingold 6.30
5 DeVon Achane 2.70
4 Jordan Mason 27.00
4 Kyle Juszczyk 2.20
3 Breece Hall 18.30
3 Braelon Allen 9.80
3 Isaiah Davis 0.60
2 Zach Charbonnet 17.90
1 Zack Moss 14.10
1 Chase Brown 5.30
Los Angeles Chargers vs NO:

J.K. Dobbins - $6900

In previous years, I've usually avoided RBs vs. the #Saints, but they've allowed 21+ points in the last three weeks to Javonte Williams, Sean Tucker, Bucky Irving (18), and Kareem Hunt. JK Dobbins is overpriced for his recent production of scoring 9 or fewer points in three of his last four games (18 points vs. DEN). He regularly snaps 63% on the season and maintained 68% last week and 70% over the previous three games. His mark is 27 points, which isn't ideal, as we'd like to see him priced closer to 6k with the recent outputs, but a solid floor SHOULD be there. #Chargers
$6900 J.K. Dobbins pts needed: 27.6
+600
$6300 9.60 pts wk7(ARI)
+100
$6200 18.20 pts wk6(DEN)
-100
$6300 9.20 pts wk4(KC)
-100
$6400 8.40 pts wk3(PIT)
+1000
$5400 23.10 pts wk2(CAR)
SEASON
snp%:
63.7
util%:
47.63
ppg:
15.73
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
70.9
util%:
43.4
ppg:
12.33
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
15.30 vs NE +2.97 -0.43
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
53.20 -17.7 -10.5
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
47.60 +4.2 -0.03
HISTORY vs NO
2024
16.80 points in Week 8

OPPONENTS vs. NO

SEASON AVG vs NO Rank
28.11 ppg 28th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs NO Rank
37.83 ppg 32nd
DIFF
+9.72
WK PLAYERS vs. NO POINTS
7 Javonte Williams 26.10
7 Jaleel McLaughlin 3.50
7 Audric Estime 1.90
6 Sean Tucker 37.20
6 Bucky Irving 18.50
5 Kareem Hunt 21.70
5 Samaje Perine 3.40
5 Carson Steele 1.20
4 Bijan Robinson 11.40
4 Tyler Allgeier 10.00
3 Saquon Barkley 36.60
3 Kenneth Gainwell 3.20
2 Rico Dowdle 9.90
2 Ezekiel Elliott 5.20
2 Deuce Vaughn 2.70
1 Miles Sanders 2.20
1 Chuba Hubbard 1.40
1 Mike Boone 0.70
Buffalo Bills vs SEA:

James Cook - $7000
Ty Johnson - $5500
Ray Davis - $5200

Production will arrive for RBs vs. the #Seahawks, as they've allowed 17+ to RBs except vs. the #Broncos, injured #Dolphins, and injured #49ers. James Cook should benefit, but Ray Davis is likely not staying off the field with his success, and Ty Johnson is always sharing time. Cooks's price tag is asking for 28 points, which he landed in Week 2 (vs. MIA) and scoring 18 or fewer since then. Pulling the trigger for Cook will be challenging with the price tag, but a floor should arrive, along with Ray Davis landing as a sneaky dart. #Bills
$7000 James Cook pts needed: 28
0
$7000 9.20 pts wk7(TEN)
0
$7000 17.90 pts wk5(HOU)
+100
$6900 5.80 pts wk4(BAL)
+100
$6800 18.70 pts wk3(JAX)
+200
$6600 28.50 pts wk2(MIA)
SEASON
snp%:
54.27
util%:
50.1
ppg:
15.57
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
55.87
util%:
45.2
ppg:
10.97
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
11.30 vs NYJ +0.33 -4.27
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
45.70 -10.17 -8.57
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
46.90 +1.7 -3.2
HISTORY vs SEA
2024
31.30 points in Week 8
$5500 Ty Johnson pts needed: 22
-200
$5700 7.40 pts wk7(TEN)
+1500
$4200 3.40 pts wk6(NYJ)
-100
$4300 1.50 pts wk5(HOU)
+200
$4100 6.30 pts wk4(BAL)
-100
$4200 13.60 pts wk3(JAX)
SEASON
snp%:
25.33
util%:
20.76
ppg:
5.3
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
30.8
util%:
12.87
ppg:
4.1
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
3.50 vs NYJ -0.6 -1.8
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
30.00 -0.8 +4.67
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
23.80 +10.93 +3.04
HISTORY vs SEA
2024
0.00 points in Week 8
2022
6.70 points in Week17
2020
1.60 points in Week14
$5200 Ray Davis pts needed: 20.8
0
$5200 11.70 pts wk7(TEN)
+1100
$4100 18.20 pts wk6(NYJ)
-100
$4200 1.40 pts wk5(HOU)
-100
$4300 1.10 pts wk4(BAL)
0
$4300 9.30 pts wk3(JAX)
SEASON
snp%:
23.06
util%:
68.36
ppg:
7.03
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
28.3
util%:
67.9
ppg:
10.43
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
2.30 vs NYJ -8.13 -4.73
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
22.90 -5.4 -0.16
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
43.80 -24.1 -24.56
HISTORY vs SEA
2024
2.90 points in Week 8

OPPONENTS vs. SEA

SEASON AVG vs SEA Rank
26.26 ppg 25th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs SEA Rank
30.47 ppg 29th
DIFF
+4.21
WK PLAYERS vs. SEA POINTS
7 Bijan Robinson 26.30
7 Tyler Allgeier 5.50
7 Jase McClellan 1.70
6 Kyle Juszczyk 10.60
6 Isaac Guerendo 9.90
6 Jordan Mason 9.20
6 Patrick Taylor Jr. 3.80
5 Tyrone Tracy Jr. 17.00
5 Eric Gray 7.40
4 Jahmyr Gibbs 19.80
4 David Montgomery 15.00
3 DeVon Achane 8.80
3 Alec Ingold 4.40
3 Jaylen Wright 1.70
3 Jeff Wilson Jr. 1.40
2 Rhamondre Stevenson 17.00
2 Antonio Gibson 11.30
2 JaMycal Hasty 0.20
1 Jaleel McLaughlin 6.80
1 Javonte Williams 3.30
1 Audric Estime 1.40
1 Michael Burton 1.30