DraftKings Main Slate for Week 8 - Quarterback (QB)

Miami Dolphins vs ARI:

Tua Tagovailoa - $6100

With the return of Tua, every #Dolphins manager of #fantasyfootball is breathing a sigh of relief. He practiced in full to end the week and arrives extremely affordably at 6.1k and a fair mark of 24 points. He hit 21 points vs. the #Jaguars in Week 1 and exited with 8.5 vs. the #Bills in Week 2. The matchup vs. the #Cardinals lands fairly with 15+ points all season except for the injured #Rams in Week 2(Stafford - 7 points). That also included three 25+ outputs from Josh Allen (32), Jayden Daniels (25), and Jordan Love (26). Outside of injury, 15-17 should easily arrive with a hopeful upside to his mark. #Dolphins
$6100 Tua Tagovailoa pts needed: 24.4
-500
$6600 8.50 pts wk2(BUF)
-400
$7000 21.62 pts wk1(JAX)
SEASON
snp%:
86.2
util%:
51.3
ppg:
15.06
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
86.2
util%:
51.3
ppg:
15.06
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
17.54 vs BUF +2.48 +2.48
HISTORY vs ARI
2024
14.66 points in Week 8
2020
21.42 points in Week 9

OPPONENTS vs. ARI

SEASON AVG vs ARI Rank
19.98 ppg 29th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs ARI Rank
19.81 ppg 24th
DIFF
-0.17
WK PLAYERS vs. ARI POINTS
7 Justin Herbert 17.76
6 Jordan Love 26.62
5 Brock Purdy 15.06
4 Jayden Daniels 25.02
3 Jared Goff 15.56
2 Matthew Stafford 7.64
1 Josh Allen 32.18
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs ATL:

Baker Mayfield - $6700

With Mayfield's WRs MIA, it's hard to chase the 26-point mark, but he does have some decent backups to utilize, and he's hit 23+ in the last four weeks, including 31-32 for three of those outings. He's listed here because he's a contrarian play who can still pay his bills, as the #Falcons have allowed 16+ in the last three weeks. That number seems more likely than not, but at a likely low roster percentage, he's not a bad gamble. #Buccaneers
$6700 Baker Mayfield pts needed: 26.8
+100
$6600 32.00 pts wk7(BAL)
+100
$6500 31.90 pts wk6(NO)
-100
$6600 23.40 pts wk5(ATL)
+200
$6400 31.88 pts wk4(PHI)
+100
$6300 9.52 pts wk3(DEN)
SEASON
snp%:
99.56
util%:
56.5
ppg:
25.45
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
56.07
ppg:
29.1
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
18.00 vs KC -11.1 -7.45
HISTORY vs ATL
2024
27.30 points in Week 8
23.40 points in Week 5
2023
20.06 points in Week14
17.20 points in Week 7
2018
22.64 points in Week10

OPPONENTS vs. ATL

SEASON AVG vs ATL Rank
17.33 ppg 20th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs ATL Rank
19.37 ppg 23rd
DIFF
+2.04
WK PLAYERS vs. ATL POINTS
7 Geno Smith 17.78
6 Andy Dalton 16.94
5 Baker Mayfield 23.40
4 Derek Carr 9.06
3 Patrick Mahomes 17.38
2 Jalen Hurts 24.82
1 Justin Fields 11.94
Cleveland Browns vs BAL:

Jameis Winston - $5200

I'm unsure if Jameis is our favorite sound bites, fantasy QB, or both. Either way, he's usually an upgrade for WRs and has his moments. His upside outweighs his risk at a 5.2k price tag, giving us a 20-point mark. The usually stingy #Ravens allowed 20+ points to QBs over the last 3 weeks, including two 32+ point outputs (Burrow & Baker). Another 32-point output arrived in Week 3 (Dak). Baltimore has holes in the passing game (as they have over the last few years), even though their defense has shown glimpses of the past. This division game could land more on that defensive side for both teams, but if the #Ravens' offense continues its avalanche, Winston should have plenty of garbage time. It's worth a dart, but make sure the rest carries less risk. #Browns
$5200 Jameis Winston pts needed: 20.8
+300
$4900 8.68 pts wk7(CIN)
-200
$5100 0.00 pts wk6(PHI)
+100
$5000 0.34 pts wk5(WAS)
0
$5000 0.10 pts wk3(NYG)
0
$5000 0.40 pts wk2(JAX)
SEASON
snp%:
6.52
util%:
58.26
ppg:
1.9
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
8.47
util%:
41.53
ppg:
3.01
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
13.10 vs LAC +10.09 +11.2
HISTORY vs BAL
2024
27.56 points in Week 8
2018
5.28 points in Week15

OPPONENTS vs. BAL

SEASON AVG vs BAL Rank
23.15 ppg 30th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs BAL Rank
30.25 ppg 32nd
DIFF
+7.1
WK PLAYERS vs. BAL POINTS
7 Baker Mayfield 32.00
6 Jayden Daniels 20.96
5 Joe Burrow 37.78
4 Josh Allen 8.30
4 Mitchell Trubisky 0.08
3 Dak Prescott 32.86
2 Gardner Minshew II 13.94
1 Patrick Mahomes 16.14
Seattle Seahawks vs BUF:

Geno Smith - $5900

Geno is quietly being Geno, hitting 17+ over the last four weeks and 22+ in half of those games. His floor is solid, and he's still priced below 6k, with a mark of 23 points. There aren't many hurdles to his 17-point floor or reaching his mark, as #Bills allowed 18+ in three of the last four games, with Mason Rudolph being the outlier. With DK Metcalf unlikely to play, I'd downgrade this safe play, but the #Seahawks have enough pieces for Geno to stay on course. It's a small risk, but you likely aren't playing if you're chasing any extreme upside. #Seahawks
$5900 Geno Smith pts needed: 23.6
+100
$5800 17.78 pts wk7(ATL)
-300
$6100 17.48 pts wk6(SF)
+200
$5900 22.56 pts wk5(NYG)
+100
$5800 25.60 pts wk4(DET)
+200
$5600 13.36 pts wk3(MIA)
SEASON
snp%:
99.76
util%:
62.19
ppg:
19.5
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
99.43
util%:
66
ppg:
19.27
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
28.12 vs LAR +8.85 +8.62
HISTORY vs BUF
2024
9.08 points in Week 8
2018
-0.10 points in Week 2

OPPONENTS vs. BUF

SEASON AVG vs BUF Rank
16.27 ppg 11th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs BUF Rank
17.2 ppg 14th
DIFF
+0.93
WK PLAYERS vs. BUF POINTS
7 Mason Rudolph 11.90
6 Aaron Rodgers 18.76
5 C.J. Stroud 20.94
4 Lamar Jackson 24.64
4 Josh Johnson 0.04
3 Trevor Lawrence 10.42
2 Tua Tagovailoa 8.50
2 Skylar Thompson 3.60
1 Kyler Murray 15.18
Denver Broncos vs CAR:

Bo Nix - $5600

There's nothing sexy about this play, but in the last three weeks, QBs have hit 17+ (Burrow, Caleb, & Mariota). Bo Nix has played well, scoring 14+ since Week 3, except for 6 points vs. the #Jets in Week 4. That included 21 & 23 points in two of the last three weeks. His mark is 22 points, so while there's nothing to love here, there's room for a floor and a solid build around him. #Broncos
$5600 Bo Nix pts needed: 22.4
+200
$5400 14.06 pts wk7(NO)
0
$5400 21.74 pts wk6(LAC)
+400
$5000 23.14 pts wk5(LV)
-100
$5100 6.70 pts wk4(NYJ)
0
$5100 19.34 pts wk3(TB)
SEASON
snp%:
99.56
util%:
61.57
ppg:
15.48
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
98.97
util%:
61.2
ppg:
19.65
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
18.72 vs BAL -0.93 +3.24
HISTORY vs CAR
2024
29.76 points in Week 8

OPPONENTS vs. CAR

SEASON AVG vs CAR Rank
19.62 ppg 26th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CAR Rank
21.17 ppg 26th
DIFF
+1.55
WK PLAYERS vs. CAR POINTS
7 Marcus Mariota 19.60
7 Jayden Daniels 5.24
6 Kirk Cousins 12.50
5 Caleb Williams 26.56
4 Joe Burrow 17.28
3 Gardner Minshew II 14.96
3 Aidan OConnell 7.28
2 Justin Herbert 13.00
1 Derek Carr 21.30
Philadelphia Eagles vs CIN:

Jalen Hurts - $7500

The price is hard for comfort at 7.5k vs. the #Bengals, but both of these teams' defenses are not that good. His mark of 30 is a reach since Jalen Hurts has only hit a high of 24 points on the season. While that provides some concern, his 15+ point floor all season and 21+ points for three of five games give some cushion. To add to the "buy," while the #Bengals may have limited QBs to 16 or fewer for all but two games (Brisset, Mahomes, Dalton, Daniel Jones, & CLE QBs), they allowed Jayden Daniels and Lamar Jackson 28 & 37 points, which aligns well for Hurts. There are plenty of directions this could land, but with both teams improving and their defenses not holding anyone down, I'd lean toward the chase rather than the fade. #Eagles
$7500 Jalen Hurts pts needed: 30
+200
$7300 22.76 pts wk7(NYG)
+100
$7200 21.86 pts wk6(CLE)
0
$7200 17.32 pts wk4(TB)
-100
$7300 15.94 pts wk3(NO)
+100
$7200 24.82 pts wk2(ATL)
SEASON
snp%:
96.97
util%:
59.13
ppg:
20.35
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
93.93
util%:
56.17
ppg:
20.65
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
29.90 vs JAX +9.25 +9.55
HISTORY vs CIN
2024
35.14 points in Week 8
2020
0.80 points in Week 3

OPPONENTS vs. CIN

SEASON AVG vs CIN Rank
19.63 ppg 28th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CIN Rank
23.23 ppg 29th
DIFF
+3.6
WK PLAYERS vs. CIN POINTS
7 Jameis Winston 8.68
7 Dorian Thompson-Robinson 5.68
7 Deshaun Watson 5.12
6 Daniel Jones 12.80
5 Lamar Jackson 37.42
4 Andy Dalton 16.70
3 Jayden Daniels 28.06
2 Patrick Mahomes 14.94
1 Jacoby Brissett 8.04
Baltimore Ravens vs CLE:

Lamar Jackson - $8000

LJ has hit the 8k mark, which requires 32 points to pay the bills. He has 22+ in the last five weeks and 35+ in two of those games. He's always in play, but you need the #Browns to play ball. While Winston can make it competitive, he can be why the #Ravens' D can score points. The data doesn't support that high threshold, as only two QBs have scored 20 & 21 (Hurts & Daniels), with everything else 19 or fewer. That aligns for the upside with Lamar, including his thrashing in 2018-2020, but last year aligned for 15 & 29 points. If you can build here, roll with it, but the price tag is hefty to gain some comfort in chasing such a high mark. #Ravens
$8000 Lamar Jackson pts needed: 32
0
$8000 35.44 pts wk7(TB)
+200
$7800 22.92 pts wk6(WAS)
+300
$7500 37.42 pts wk5(CIN)
0
$7500 24.64 pts wk4(BUF)
0
$7500 25.98 pts wk3(DAL)
SEASON
snp%:
98.51
util%:
57.23
ppg:
27.56
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
98.3
util%:
59.67
ppg:
31.93
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
23.60 vs DEN -8.33 -3.96
HISTORY vs CLE
2024
24.16 points in Week 8
2023
15.02 points in Week10
29.14 points in Week 4
2022
10.70 points in Week 7
2021
1.18 points in Week14
13.40 points in Week12
2020
37.92 points in Week14
27.50 points in Week 1
2019
33.82 points in Week16
26.48 points in Week 4
2018
27.16 points in Week17
1.00 points in Week 5

OPPONENTS vs. CLE

SEASON AVG vs CLE Rank
15.25 ppg 7th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CLE Rank
19.21 ppg 22nd
DIFF
+3.96
WK PLAYERS vs. CLE POINTS
7 Joe Burrow 14.94
6 Jalen Hurts 21.86
5 Jayden Daniels 20.72
5 Marcus Mariota 0.12
4 Gardner Minshew II 5.00
3 Daniel Jones 19.44
2 Trevor Lawrence 13.30
1 Dak Prescott 11.46
Tennessee Titans vs DET:

Mason Rudolph - $4400

The allure is the $4.4k price tag, which sets a mark of 17 points for Rudolph. He's only scored 11 & 3 points this season, so it's a significant climb, especially when he lost DHop to the #Chiefs. It'll be hard to use Rudolph, even with an amazing build around him. While I state all these negatives, if your other eight pieces are a smash, someone touching the ball every play isn't the worst risk (maybe it is. lol) #Titans
$4400 Mason Rudolph pts needed: 17.6
-300
$4700 11.90 pts wk7(BUF)
+100
$4600 3.40 pts wk4(MIA)
SEASON
snp%:
91.55
util%:
46.55
ppg:
7.65
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
91.55
util%:
46.55
ppg:
7.65
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
18.50 vs NE +10.85 +10.85
HISTORY vs DET
2024
21.54 points in Week 8
2021
16.28 points in Week10

OPPONENTS vs. DET

SEASON AVG vs DET Rank
17.23 ppg 18th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DET Rank
16.37 ppg 11th
DIFF
-0.86
WK PLAYERS vs. DET POINTS
7 Sam Darnold 17.26
6 Dak Prescott 5.22
6 Cooper Rush 1.04
4 Geno Smith 25.60
3 Kyler Murray 15.78
2 Baker Mayfield 19.80
1 Matthew Stafford 18.68
Indianapolis Colts vs HOU:

Anthony Richardson - $5800

Anthony Richardson is among the hardest players to utilize, especially in single entries. We know the juice is there, but the bust and the injuries make it challenging. We saw his season jump with a 27-point output in Week 1 (vs. the #Colts) and nothing but 12 or fewer in every outing since. The 5.8k price tag makes it abundantly appealing for his 23-point mark. The #Colts allowed 17 points to him last season and have allowed 18+ points in four of seven games this season (Love, Maye, Darnold, & Richardson). I can't press you to chase this, but at least the price won't destroy your lineup if he busts or the injury arrives. #Colts
$5800 Anthony Richardson pts needed: 23.2
-200
$6000 9.76 pts wk7(MIA)
-300
$6300 5.24 pts wk4(PIT)
-400
$6700 7.08 pts wk3(CHI)
-100
$6800 12.86 pts wk2(GB)
+500
$6300 27.08 pts wk1(HOU)
SEASON
snp%:
83.94
util%:
57.72
ppg:
12.4
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
73.23
util%:
55.03
ppg:
7.36
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
13.50 vs HOU +6.14 +1.1
HISTORY vs HOU
2024
13.50 points in Week 8
27.08 points in Week 1
2023
17.74 points in Week 2

OPPONENTS vs. HOU

SEASON AVG vs HOU Rank
18.63 ppg 24th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs HOU Rank
18.65 ppg 16th
DIFF
+0.02
WK PLAYERS vs. HOU POINTS
7 Jordan Love 18.80
6 Drake Maye 22.52
5 Josh Allen 14.64
4 Trevor Lawrence 14.76
3 Sam Darnold 23.24
2 Caleb Williams 9.36
1 Anthony Richardson 27.08
Houston Texans vs IND:

C.J. Stroud - $6900

CJ Stroud hit 18 points to open the season against the #Colts and scored 20 & 25 against them last season. He dudded last week with 5 points after landing 19+ for three straight weeks. The #Colts numbers are a little misleading with limiting QBs to 8 & 9 in the last two weeks (Levis & Huntley) while allowing Caleb Williams, Justin Fields, and Trevor Lawrence to score 23-35 points before those two duds. His mark is 27 points, so that's the chase, but 18+ is likely, with 23+ as a favorable landing. Solid play. #Texans
$6900 C.J. Stroud pts needed: 27.6
-200
$7100 5.34 pts wk7(GB)
+100
$7000 19.38 pts wk6(NE)
-200
$7200 20.94 pts wk5(BUF)
+200
$7000 26.50 pts wk4(JAX)
-100
$7100 11.80 pts wk3(MIN)
SEASON
snp%:
96.59
util%:
54.36
ppg:
16.7
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
98.5
util%:
51.63
ppg:
15.22
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
12.54 vs NYJ -2.68 -4.16
HISTORY vs IND
2024
13.40 points in Week 8
18.66 points in Week 1
2023
20.56 points in Week18
25.46 points in Week 2

OPPONENTS vs. IND

SEASON AVG vs IND Rank
19.62 ppg 26th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs IND Rank
15.46 ppg 8th
DIFF
-4.16
WK PLAYERS vs. IND POINTS
7 Tyler Huntley 9.48
7 Tim Boyle 3.36
6 Will Levis 8.30
5 Trevor Lawrence 25.24
4 Justin Fields 35.98
3 Caleb Williams 23.32
2 Malik Willis 12.98
1 C.J. Stroud 18.66
Green Bay Packers vs JAX:

Jordan Love - $7100

Jordan Love lands the best matchup by the numbers vs. the #Jaguars. While the price isn't uber-friendly, it's not destroying your build with a 28-point mark. He's crossed that threshold once this season with 34 points vs. the #Vikings in Week 4. He's found a floor of 16+ points all season, which is likely your disappointed outcome. The #Jaguars allowed a low of 15 points in Week 2 and 20+ points the rest of the way. He should be a popular play, but if you're concerned about roster percentage, there are plenty of ways to differentiate from the field with his receiver counterparts.
$7100 Jordan Love pts needed: 28.4
+200
$6900 18.80 pts wk7(HOU)
+300
$6600 26.62 pts wk6(ARI)
+100
$6500 16.96 pts wk5(LAR)
+500
$6000 34.16 pts wk4(MIN)
-400
$6400 17.40 pts wk1(PHI)
SEASON
snp%:
99.4
util%:
56.3
ppg:
22.79
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
52.27
ppg:
20.79
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
11.92 vs DET -8.87 -10.87
HISTORY vs JAX
2024
6.74 points in Week 8

OPPONENTS vs. JAX

SEASON AVG vs JAX Rank
25.09 ppg 32nd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs JAX Rank
26.91 ppg 30th
DIFF
+1.82
WK PLAYERS vs. JAX POINTS
7 Drake Maye 20.84
6 Caleb Williams 29.64
5 Joe Flacco 30.56
4 C.J. Stroud 26.50
3 Josh Allen 30.92
3 Mitchell Trubisky 0.02
2 Deshaun Watson 15.44
2 Jameis Winston 0.40
1 Tua Tagovailoa 21.62
Las Vegas Raiders vs KC:

Gardner Minshew II - $4800

I don't have much to sell for him, but he's 4.8k, and any sub-5k quarterback is in play. The concern is not finishing the game or Minshew scoring 14 points or fewer as he has since Week 2. Use at your own risk, as his mark is 19 points. #Raiders
$4800 Gardner Minshew II pts needed: 19.2
0
$4800 2.36 pts wk7(LAR)
-300
$5100 9.68 pts wk5(DEN)
-100
$5200 5.00 pts wk4(CLE)
-100
$5300 14.96 pts wk3(CAR)
+200
$5100 13.94 pts wk2(BAL)
SEASON
snp%:
87.48
util%:
53.97
ppg:
9.79
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
81.73
util%:
47.03
ppg:
5.68
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
3.96 vs CIN -1.72 -5.83
HISTORY vs KC
2024
15.96 points in Week 8
2019
18.60 points in Week 1

OPPONENTS vs. KC

SEASON AVG vs KC Rank
17.69 ppg 21st
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs KC Rank
15.57 ppg 9th
DIFF
-2.12
WK PLAYERS vs. KC POINTS
7 Brock Purdy 20.18
5 Derek Carr 13.60
5 Jake Haener 1.78
4 Justin Herbert 11.16
3 Kirk Cousins 12.10
2 Joe Burrow 18.22
1 Lamar Jackson 29.12
Kansas City Chiefs vs LV:

Patrick Mahomes - $6800

I know...I know...it's not the same. But DHop arrived so that changed things. It may be too early to jump on that bandwagon, but the last time Patrick Mahomes was this cheap was in Week 16 of 2019. His price tag is warranted as he hasn't scored more than 17 points all season, and the matchup with the #Raiders will likely not require much. ALL of that aside, he's Patrick Mahomes. He has a new weapon in DHop. His mark is 27. The Raiders are his playground, as he's scored 17+ in every matchup except one since 2018. That includes 20+ in eight of those games and 30+ in five of those games. Nothing is wrong if you want to fade, but this is precisely what DFS is about. Even if not in a single entry, I suggest at least one lineup in a multi-entry contest, as this is a stock that you want to get early on. #Chiefs
$6800 Patrick Mahomes pts needed: 27.2
-200
$7000 14.06 pts wk7(SF)
0
$7000 17.44 pts wk5(NO)
-100
$7100 14.00 pts wk4(LAC)
+100
$7000 17.38 pts wk3(ATL)
0
$7000 14.94 pts wk2(CIN)
SEASON
snp%:
100
util%:
52.82
ppg:
15.66
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
51.37
ppg:
15.17
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
24.54 vs TB +9.37 +8.88
HISTORY vs LV
2024
19.18 points in Week 8
2023
17.70 points in Week16
20.82 points in Week12
2022
14.98 points in Week18
30.48 points in Week 5
2021
20.32 points in Week14
39.24 points in Week10
2020
25.52 points in Week11
33.70 points in Week 5
2019
19.50 points in Week13
35.62 points in Week 2
2018
18.34 points in Week17
33.00 points in Week13

OPPONENTS vs. LV

SEASON AVG vs LV Rank
17.19 ppg 17th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs LV Rank
17.27 ppg 15th
DIFF
+0.08
WK PLAYERS vs. LV POINTS
7 Matthew Stafford 4.96
6 Justin Fields 23.70
5 Bo Nix 23.14
4 Deshaun Watson 13.24
3 Andy Dalton 27.56
2 Lamar Jackson 17.38
1 Justin Herbert 10.36
Cincinnati Bengals vs PHI:

Joe Burrow - $7000

The data is back-and-forth for Burrow and the #Eagles, so this is a tight split. Burrow has 17+ in four of his last five games, including 28 & 37, but also landed the outlier of 14 points last week (vs CLE). The #Eagles allowed 17 for half of their games (Love, Cousins, Mayfield) and limited QBs to 8 or fewer in the other half (Carr, Watson, Daniel Jones). The names involved are significant for those outputs, with Burrow landing toward the former group rather than the latter. If this were a mid-6k or lower salary tag, I'd call it a smash spot, so this isn't a crazy reach, but Burrow is priced just perfectly enough to have some concern with his 28-point mark. I'd lean toward the play than the fade, but it's going to be challenging to get the pieces you want around him, so you'll have to give up someone else if you're going to land there—if you can achieve the build without losing pieces...green light. #Bengals
$7000 Joe Burrow pts needed: 28
+200
$6800 14.94 pts wk7(CLE)
-100
$6900 19.82 pts wk6(NYG)
+500
$6400 37.78 pts wk5(BAL)
-200
$6600 17.28 pts wk4(CAR)
+500
$6100 28.36 pts wk3(WAS)
SEASON
snp%:
100
util%:
59.07
ppg:
20.64
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
57.5
ppg:
24.18
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
30.14 vs LV +5.96 +9.5
HISTORY vs PHI
2024
13.86 points in Week 8
2020
23.38 points in Week 3

OPPONENTS vs. PHI

SEASON AVG vs PHI Rank
15.29 ppg 8th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs PHI Rank
15.93 ppg 10th
DIFF
+0.64
WK PLAYERS vs. PHI POINTS
7 Daniel Jones 5.96
7 Drew Lock 1.54
6 Deshaun Watson 8.42
4 Baker Mayfield 31.88
3 Derek Carr 8.98
2 Kirk Cousins 17.54
1 Jordan Love 17.40
Buffalo Bills vs SEA:

Josh Allen - $7800

Kirky disappointed in this matchup last week, so outside of that trend, the #Seahawks allowed 22+ in the last four weeks. With a week of practice with Amari Cooper, Josh Allen should continue that path, but with a higher mark of 31 points. It's a reach, with his high landing one point shy of that in the last five weeks, which includes 24 points over the last two weeks. The game should script well and allow for a ceiling, but it's not a layup. #Bills
$7800 Josh Allen pts needed: 31.2
+300
$7500 24.02 pts wk7(TEN)
0
$7500 24.40 pts wk6(NYJ)
-200
$7700 14.64 pts wk5(HOU)
-100
$7800 8.30 pts wk4(BAL)
-200
$8000 30.92 pts wk3(JAX)
SEASON
snp%:
94.77
util%:
57.9
ppg:
20.6
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
99.47
util%:
57.17
ppg:
21.02
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
23.10 vs MIA +2.08 +2.5
HISTORY vs SEA
2024
20.82 points in Week 8
2020
39.00 points in Week 9

OPPONENTS vs. SEA

SEASON AVG vs SEA Rank
16.53 ppg 15th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs SEA Rank
18.97 ppg 20th
DIFF
+2.44
WK PLAYERS vs. SEA POINTS
7 Kirk Cousins 10.18
7 Michael Penix Jr. 0.56
6 Brock Purdy 24.10
5 Daniel Jones 22.08
4 Jared Goff 27.18
3 Skylar Thompson 4.28
3 Tim Boyle 3.76
2 Jacoby Brissett 10.56
1 Bo Nix 13.02
Atlanta Falcons vs TB:

Kirk Cousins - $6200

With the #Buccaneers' receivers' injuries, this may be less effective than the data supports. It also doesn't help that Kirky has dudded with 12 or fewer every game this season except one. That anomaly is against TB, where he smashed for 38 points. Also, TB allowed 35 last week (Lamar) and 17+ points all season except for one game (Goff with 13 points in Week 2). His price makes him playable with a 24-point mark. He's a welcome play, but only next to a solid build, as their is risk here. #Falcons
$6200 Kirk Cousins pts needed: 24.8
-100
$6300 10.18 pts wk7(SEA)
+100
$6200 12.50 pts wk6(CAR)
+600
$5600 38.36 pts wk5(TB)
-200
$5800 8.52 pts wk4(NO)
-100
$5900 12.10 pts wk3(KC)
SEASON
snp%:
98.63
util%:
54.83
ppg:
15.34
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
96.8
util%:
56.6
ppg:
20.35
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
18.78 vs DAL -1.57 +3.44
HISTORY vs TB
2024
28.64 points in Week 8
38.36 points in Week 5
2023
22.46 points in Week 1
2020
18.10 points in Week14

OPPONENTS vs. TB

SEASON AVG vs TB Rank
23.83 ppg 31st
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs TB Rank
29.41 ppg 31st
DIFF
+5.58
WK PLAYERS vs. TB POINTS
7 Lamar Jackson 35.44
6 Spencer Rattler 14.42
5 Kirk Cousins 38.36
4 Jalen Hurts 17.32
3 Bo Nix 19.34
2 Jared Goff 13.78
1 Jayden Daniels 28.16
Chicago Bears vs WAS:

Caleb Williams - $6000

The #Bears are trending in the right direction, with Caleb hitting 23+ in three of his last four games. The #Commanders' defense is better than last year, but they have some exposure, with LJ, Burrow, & Mayfield hitting 22+ points. The low outputs against Washington are nine or fewer points but include names like Dalton, Watson, and Murray (outlier). Even Daniel Jones scored 18 points in Week 2, so this isn't a tough reach. I'd like it better if Daniels goes (LP to end the Week, so I'd say it's unlikely, but keep an eye on it). His price tag only asks for 24 points, so it's a favorable path. #Bears
$6000 Caleb Williams pts needed: 24
+300
$5700 29.64 pts wk6(JAX)
-100
$5800 26.56 pts wk5(CAR)
+200
$5600 11.48 pts wk4(LAR)
0
$5600 23.32 pts wk3(IND)
-200
$5800 9.36 pts wk2(HOU)
SEASON
snp%:
98.58
util%:
54.32
ppg:
17.93
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
97.17
util%:
48.77
ppg:
22.56
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
9.18 vs ARI -13.38 -8.75
HISTORY vs WAS
2024
10.34 points in Week 8

OPPONENTS vs. WAS

SEASON AVG vs WAS Rank
17.23 ppg 19th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs WAS Rank
11.51 ppg 5th
DIFF
-5.72
WK PLAYERS vs. WAS POINTS
7 Andy Dalton 2.02
6 Lamar Jackson 22.92
5 Deshaun Watson 9.40
5 Jameis Winston 0.34
4 Kyler Murray 9.98
3 Joe Burrow 28.36
2 Daniel Jones 18.32
1 Baker Mayfield 29.66