DraftKings Main Slate for Week 8 - Quarterback (QB)
Miami Dolphins vs ARI:
Tua Tagovailoa - $6100
With the return of Tua, every #Dolphins manager of #fantasyfootball is breathing a sigh of relief. He practiced in full to end the week and arrives extremely affordably at 6.1k and a fair mark of 24 points. He hit 21 points vs. the #Jaguars in Week 1 and exited with 8.5 vs. the #Bills in Week 2. The matchup vs. the #Cardinals lands fairly with 15+ points all season except for the injured #Rams in Week 2(Stafford - 7 points). That also included three 25+ outputs from Josh Allen (32), Jayden Daniels (25), and Jordan Love (26). Outside of injury, 15-17 should easily arrive with a hopeful upside to his mark. #Dolphins
$6100 |
Tua Tagovailoa |
pts needed: 24.4 |
-500
|
$6600 |
8.50 pts
|
wk2(BUF) |
-400
|
$7000 |
21.62 pts
|
wk1(JAX) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 86.2 |
util%: 51.3 |
ppg: 15.06 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 86.2 |
util%: 51.3 |
ppg: 15.06 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
17.54 vs BUF
|
+2.48
|
+2.48
|
|
HISTORY vs ARI |
2024 |
14.66 points in Week 8
|
2020 |
21.42 points in Week 9
|
OPPONENTS vs. ARI
SEASON AVG vs ARI |
Rank
|
19.98 ppg
|
29th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs ARI |
Rank
|
19.81 ppg
|
24th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. ARI |
POINTS
|
7 |
Justin Herbert |
17.76
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Jordan Love |
26.62
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Brock Purdy |
15.06
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Jayden Daniels |
25.02
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Jared Goff |
15.56
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Matthew Stafford |
7.64
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Josh Allen |
32.18
|
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs ATL:
Baker Mayfield - $6700
With Mayfield's WRs MIA, it's hard to chase the 26-point mark, but he does have some decent backups to utilize, and he's hit 23+ in the last four weeks, including 31-32 for three of those outings. He's listed here because he's a contrarian play who can still pay his bills, as the #Falcons have allowed 16+ in the last three weeks. That number seems more likely than not, but at a likely low roster percentage, he's not a bad gamble. #Buccaneers
$6700 |
Baker Mayfield |
pts needed: 26.8 |
+100
|
$6600 |
32.00 pts
|
wk7(BAL) |
+100
|
$6500 |
31.90 pts
|
wk6(NO) |
-100
|
$6600 |
23.40 pts
|
wk5(ATL) |
+200
|
$6400 |
31.88 pts
|
wk4(PHI) |
+100
|
$6300 |
9.52 pts
|
wk3(DEN) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 99.56 |
util%: 56.5 |
ppg: 25.45 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 100 |
util%: 56.07 |
ppg: 29.1 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
18.00 vs KC
|
-11.1
|
-7.45
|
|
HISTORY vs ATL |
2024 |
27.30 points in Week 8
|
23.40 points in Week 5
|
2023 |
20.06 points in Week14
|
17.20 points in Week 7
|
2018 |
22.64 points in Week10
|
OPPONENTS vs. ATL
SEASON AVG vs ATL |
Rank
|
17.33 ppg
|
20th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs ATL |
Rank
|
19.37 ppg
|
23rd
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. ATL |
POINTS
|
7 |
Geno Smith |
17.78
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Andy Dalton |
16.94
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Baker Mayfield |
23.40
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Derek Carr |
9.06
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Patrick Mahomes |
17.38
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Jalen Hurts |
24.82
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Justin Fields |
11.94
|
Cleveland Browns vs BAL:
Jameis Winston - $5200
I'm unsure if Jameis is our favorite sound bites, fantasy QB, or both. Either way, he's usually an upgrade for WRs and has his moments. His upside outweighs his risk at a 5.2k price tag, giving us a 20-point mark. The usually stingy #Ravens allowed 20+ points to QBs over the last 3 weeks, including two 32+ point outputs (Burrow & Baker). Another 32-point output arrived in Week 3 (Dak). Baltimore has holes in the passing game (as they have over the last few years), even though their defense has shown glimpses of the past. This division game could land more on that defensive side for both teams, but if the #Ravens' offense continues its avalanche, Winston should have plenty of garbage time. It's worth a dart, but make sure the rest carries less risk. #Browns
$5200 |
Jameis Winston |
pts needed: 20.8 |
+300
|
$4900 |
8.68 pts
|
wk7(CIN) |
-200
|
$5100 |
0.00 pts
|
wk6(PHI) |
+100
|
$5000 |
0.34 pts
|
wk5(WAS) |
0
|
$5000 |
0.10 pts
|
wk3(NYG) |
0
|
$5000 |
0.40 pts
|
wk2(JAX) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 6.52 |
util%: 58.26 |
ppg: 1.9 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 8.47 |
util%: 41.53 |
ppg: 3.01 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
13.10 vs LAC
|
+10.09
|
+11.2
|
|
HISTORY vs BAL |
2024 |
27.56 points in Week 8
|
2018 |
5.28 points in Week15
|
OPPONENTS vs. BAL
SEASON AVG vs BAL |
Rank
|
23.15 ppg
|
30th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs BAL |
Rank
|
30.25 ppg
|
32nd
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. BAL |
POINTS
|
7 |
Baker Mayfield |
32.00
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Jayden Daniels |
20.96
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Joe Burrow |
37.78
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Josh Allen |
8.30
|
4 |
Mitchell Trubisky |
0.08
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Dak Prescott |
32.86
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Gardner Minshew II |
13.94
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Patrick Mahomes |
16.14
|
Seattle Seahawks vs BUF:
Geno Smith - $5900
Geno is quietly being Geno, hitting 17+ over the last four weeks and 22+ in half of those games. His floor is solid, and he's still priced below 6k, with a mark of 23 points. There aren't many hurdles to his 17-point floor or reaching his mark, as #Bills allowed 18+ in three of the last four games, with Mason Rudolph being the outlier. With DK Metcalf unlikely to play, I'd downgrade this safe play, but the #Seahawks have enough pieces for Geno to stay on course. It's a small risk, but you likely aren't playing if you're chasing any extreme upside. #Seahawks
$5900 |
Geno Smith |
pts needed: 23.6 |
+100
|
$5800 |
17.78 pts
|
wk7(ATL) |
-300
|
$6100 |
17.48 pts
|
wk6(SF) |
+200
|
$5900 |
22.56 pts
|
wk5(NYG) |
+100
|
$5800 |
25.60 pts
|
wk4(DET) |
+200
|
$5600 |
13.36 pts
|
wk3(MIA) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 99.76 |
util%: 62.19 |
ppg: 19.5 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 99.43 |
util%: 66 |
ppg: 19.27 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
28.12 vs LAR
|
+8.85
|
+8.62
|
|
HISTORY vs BUF |
2024 |
9.08 points in Week 8
|
2018 |
-0.10 points in Week 2
|
OPPONENTS vs. BUF
SEASON AVG vs BUF |
Rank
|
16.27 ppg
|
11th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs BUF |
Rank
|
17.2 ppg
|
14th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. BUF |
POINTS
|
7 |
Mason Rudolph |
11.90
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Aaron Rodgers |
18.76
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
C.J. Stroud |
20.94
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Lamar Jackson |
24.64
|
4 |
Josh Johnson |
0.04
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Trevor Lawrence |
10.42
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Tua Tagovailoa |
8.50
|
2 |
Skylar Thompson |
3.60
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Kyler Murray |
15.18
|
Denver Broncos vs CAR:
Bo Nix - $5600
There's nothing sexy about this play, but in the last three weeks, QBs have hit 17+ (Burrow, Caleb, & Mariota). Bo Nix has played well, scoring 14+ since Week 3, except for 6 points vs. the #Jets in Week 4. That included 21 & 23 points in two of the last three weeks. His mark is 22 points, so while there's nothing to love here, there's room for a floor and a solid build around him. #Broncos
$5600 |
Bo Nix |
pts needed: 22.4 |
+200
|
$5400 |
14.06 pts
|
wk7(NO) |
0
|
$5400 |
21.74 pts
|
wk6(LAC) |
+400
|
$5000 |
23.14 pts
|
wk5(LV) |
-100
|
$5100 |
6.70 pts
|
wk4(NYJ) |
0
|
$5100 |
19.34 pts
|
wk3(TB) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 99.56 |
util%: 61.57 |
ppg: 15.48 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 98.97 |
util%: 61.2 |
ppg: 19.65 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
18.72 vs BAL
|
-0.93
|
+3.24
|
|
HISTORY vs CAR |
2024 |
29.76 points in Week 8
|
OPPONENTS vs. CAR
SEASON AVG vs CAR |
Rank
|
19.62 ppg
|
26th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CAR |
Rank
|
21.17 ppg
|
26th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. CAR |
POINTS
|
7 |
Marcus Mariota |
19.60
|
7 |
Jayden Daniels |
5.24
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Kirk Cousins |
12.50
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Caleb Williams |
26.56
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Joe Burrow |
17.28
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Gardner Minshew II |
14.96
|
3 |
Aidan OConnell |
7.28
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Justin Herbert |
13.00
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Derek Carr |
21.30
|
Philadelphia Eagles vs CIN:
Jalen Hurts - $7500
The price is hard for comfort at 7.5k vs. the #Bengals, but both of these teams' defenses are not that good. His mark of 30 is a reach since Jalen Hurts has only hit a high of 24 points on the season. While that provides some concern, his 15+ point floor all season and 21+ points for three of five games give some cushion. To add to the "buy," while the #Bengals may have limited QBs to 16 or fewer for all but two games (Brisset, Mahomes, Dalton, Daniel Jones, & CLE QBs), they allowed Jayden Daniels and Lamar Jackson 28 & 37 points, which aligns well for Hurts. There are plenty of directions this could land, but with both teams improving and their defenses not holding anyone down, I'd lean toward the chase rather than the fade. #Eagles
$7500 |
Jalen Hurts |
pts needed: 30 |
+200
|
$7300 |
22.76 pts
|
wk7(NYG) |
+100
|
$7200 |
21.86 pts
|
wk6(CLE) |
0
|
$7200 |
17.32 pts
|
wk4(TB) |
-100
|
$7300 |
15.94 pts
|
wk3(NO) |
+100
|
$7200 |
24.82 pts
|
wk2(ATL) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 96.97 |
util%: 59.13 |
ppg: 20.35 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 93.93 |
util%: 56.17 |
ppg: 20.65 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
29.90 vs JAX
|
+9.25
|
+9.55
|
|
HISTORY vs CIN |
2024 |
35.14 points in Week 8
|
2020 |
0.80 points in Week 3
|
OPPONENTS vs. CIN
SEASON AVG vs CIN |
Rank
|
19.63 ppg
|
28th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CIN |
Rank
|
23.23 ppg
|
29th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. CIN |
POINTS
|
7 |
Jameis Winston |
8.68
|
7 |
Dorian Thompson-Robinson |
5.68
|
7 |
Deshaun Watson |
5.12
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Daniel Jones |
12.80
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Lamar Jackson |
37.42
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Andy Dalton |
16.70
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Jayden Daniels |
28.06
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Patrick Mahomes |
14.94
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Jacoby Brissett |
8.04
|
Baltimore Ravens vs CLE:
Lamar Jackson - $8000
LJ has hit the 8k mark, which requires 32 points to pay the bills. He has 22+ in the last five weeks and 35+ in two of those games. He's always in play, but you need the #Browns to play ball. While Winston can make it competitive, he can be why the #Ravens' D can score points. The data doesn't support that high threshold, as only two QBs have scored 20 & 21 (Hurts & Daniels), with everything else 19 or fewer. That aligns for the upside with Lamar, including his thrashing in 2018-2020, but last year aligned for 15 & 29 points. If you can build here, roll with it, but the price tag is hefty to gain some comfort in chasing such a high mark. #Ravens
$8000 |
Lamar Jackson |
pts needed: 32 |
0
|
$8000 |
35.44 pts
|
wk7(TB) |
+200
|
$7800 |
22.92 pts
|
wk6(WAS) |
+300
|
$7500 |
37.42 pts
|
wk5(CIN) |
0
|
$7500 |
24.64 pts
|
wk4(BUF) |
0
|
$7500 |
25.98 pts
|
wk3(DAL) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 98.51 |
util%: 57.23 |
ppg: 27.56 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 98.3 |
util%: 59.67 |
ppg: 31.93 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
23.60 vs DEN
|
-8.33
|
-3.96
|
|
HISTORY vs CLE |
2024 |
24.16 points in Week 8
|
2023 |
15.02 points in Week10
|
29.14 points in Week 4
|
2022 |
10.70 points in Week 7
|
2021 |
1.18 points in Week14
|
13.40 points in Week12
|
2020 |
37.92 points in Week14
|
27.50 points in Week 1
|
2019 |
33.82 points in Week16
|
26.48 points in Week 4
|
2018 |
27.16 points in Week17
|
1.00 points in Week 5
|
OPPONENTS vs. CLE
SEASON AVG vs CLE |
Rank
|
15.25 ppg
|
7th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CLE |
Rank
|
19.21 ppg
|
22nd
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. CLE |
POINTS
|
7 |
Joe Burrow |
14.94
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Jalen Hurts |
21.86
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Jayden Daniels |
20.72
|
5 |
Marcus Mariota |
0.12
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Gardner Minshew II |
5.00
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Daniel Jones |
19.44
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Trevor Lawrence |
13.30
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Dak Prescott |
11.46
|
Tennessee Titans vs DET:
Mason Rudolph - $4400
The allure is the $4.4k price tag, which sets a mark of 17 points for Rudolph. He's only scored 11 & 3 points this season, so it's a significant climb, especially when he lost DHop to the #Chiefs. It'll be hard to use Rudolph, even with an amazing build around him. While I state all these negatives, if your other eight pieces are a smash, someone touching the ball every play isn't the worst risk (maybe it is. lol) #Titans
$4400 |
Mason Rudolph |
pts needed: 17.6 |
-300
|
$4700 |
11.90 pts
|
wk7(BUF) |
+100
|
$4600 |
3.40 pts
|
wk4(MIA) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 91.55 |
util%: 46.55 |
ppg: 7.65 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 91.55 |
util%: 46.55 |
ppg: 7.65 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
18.50 vs NE
|
+10.85
|
+10.85
|
|
HISTORY vs DET |
2024 |
21.54 points in Week 8
|
2021 |
16.28 points in Week10
|
OPPONENTS vs. DET
SEASON AVG vs DET |
Rank
|
17.23 ppg
|
18th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DET |
Rank
|
16.37 ppg
|
11th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. DET |
POINTS
|
7 |
Sam Darnold |
17.26
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Dak Prescott |
5.22
|
6 |
Cooper Rush |
1.04
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Geno Smith |
25.60
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Kyler Murray |
15.78
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Baker Mayfield |
19.80
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Matthew Stafford |
18.68
|
Indianapolis Colts vs HOU:
Anthony Richardson - $5800
Anthony Richardson is among the hardest players to utilize, especially in single entries. We know the juice is there, but the bust and the injuries make it challenging. We saw his season jump with a 27-point output in Week 1 (vs. the #Colts) and nothing but 12 or fewer in every outing since. The 5.8k price tag makes it abundantly appealing for his 23-point mark. The #Colts allowed 17 points to him last season and have allowed 18+ points in four of seven games this season (Love, Maye, Darnold, & Richardson). I can't press you to chase this, but at least the price won't destroy your lineup if he busts or the injury arrives. #Colts
$5800 |
Anthony Richardson |
pts needed: 23.2 |
-200
|
$6000 |
9.76 pts
|
wk7(MIA) |
-300
|
$6300 |
5.24 pts
|
wk4(PIT) |
-400
|
$6700 |
7.08 pts
|
wk3(CHI) |
-100
|
$6800 |
12.86 pts
|
wk2(GB) |
+500
|
$6300 |
27.08 pts
|
wk1(HOU) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 83.94 |
util%: 57.72 |
ppg: 12.4 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 73.23 |
util%: 55.03 |
ppg: 7.36 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
13.50 vs HOU
|
+6.14
|
+1.1
|
|
HISTORY vs HOU |
2024 |
13.50 points in Week 8
|
27.08 points in Week 1
|
2023 |
17.74 points in Week 2
|
OPPONENTS vs. HOU
SEASON AVG vs HOU |
Rank
|
18.63 ppg
|
24th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs HOU |
Rank
|
18.65 ppg
|
16th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. HOU |
POINTS
|
7 |
Jordan Love |
18.80
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Drake Maye |
22.52
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Josh Allen |
14.64
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Trevor Lawrence |
14.76
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Sam Darnold |
23.24
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Caleb Williams |
9.36
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Anthony Richardson |
27.08
|
Houston Texans vs IND:
C.J. Stroud - $6900
CJ Stroud hit 18 points to open the season against the #Colts and scored 20 & 25 against them last season. He dudded last week with 5 points after landing 19+ for three straight weeks. The #Colts numbers are a little misleading with limiting QBs to 8 & 9 in the last two weeks (Levis & Huntley) while allowing Caleb Williams, Justin Fields, and Trevor Lawrence to score 23-35 points before those two duds. His mark is 27 points, so that's the chase, but 18+ is likely, with 23+ as a favorable landing. Solid play. #Texans
$6900 |
C.J. Stroud |
pts needed: 27.6 |
-200
|
$7100 |
5.34 pts
|
wk7(GB) |
+100
|
$7000 |
19.38 pts
|
wk6(NE) |
-200
|
$7200 |
20.94 pts
|
wk5(BUF) |
+200
|
$7000 |
26.50 pts
|
wk4(JAX) |
-100
|
$7100 |
11.80 pts
|
wk3(MIN) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 96.59 |
util%: 54.36 |
ppg: 16.7 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 98.5 |
util%: 51.63 |
ppg: 15.22 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
12.54 vs NYJ
|
-2.68
|
-4.16
|
|
HISTORY vs IND |
2024 |
13.40 points in Week 8
|
18.66 points in Week 1
|
2023 |
20.56 points in Week18
|
25.46 points in Week 2
|
OPPONENTS vs. IND
SEASON AVG vs IND |
Rank
|
19.62 ppg
|
26th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs IND |
Rank
|
15.46 ppg
|
8th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. IND |
POINTS
|
7 |
Tyler Huntley |
9.48
|
7 |
Tim Boyle |
3.36
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Will Levis |
8.30
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Trevor Lawrence |
25.24
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Justin Fields |
35.98
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Caleb Williams |
23.32
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Malik Willis |
12.98
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
C.J. Stroud |
18.66
|
Green Bay Packers vs JAX:
Jordan Love - $7100
Jordan Love lands the best matchup by the numbers vs. the #Jaguars. While the price isn't uber-friendly, it's not destroying your build with a 28-point mark. He's crossed that threshold once this season with 34 points vs. the #Vikings in Week 4. He's found a floor of 16+ points all season, which is likely your disappointed outcome. The #Jaguars allowed a low of 15 points in Week 2 and 20+ points the rest of the way. He should be a popular play, but if you're concerned about roster percentage, there are plenty of ways to differentiate from the field with his receiver counterparts.
$7100 |
Jordan Love |
pts needed: 28.4 |
+200
|
$6900 |
18.80 pts
|
wk7(HOU) |
+300
|
$6600 |
26.62 pts
|
wk6(ARI) |
+100
|
$6500 |
16.96 pts
|
wk5(LAR) |
+500
|
$6000 |
34.16 pts
|
wk4(MIN) |
-400
|
$6400 |
17.40 pts
|
wk1(PHI) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 99.4 |
util%: 56.3 |
ppg: 22.79 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 100 |
util%: 52.27 |
ppg: 20.79 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
11.92 vs DET
|
-8.87
|
-10.87
|
|
HISTORY vs JAX |
2024 |
6.74 points in Week 8
|
OPPONENTS vs. JAX
SEASON AVG vs JAX |
Rank
|
25.09 ppg
|
32nd
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs JAX |
Rank
|
26.91 ppg
|
30th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. JAX |
POINTS
|
7 |
Drake Maye |
20.84
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Caleb Williams |
29.64
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Joe Flacco |
30.56
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
C.J. Stroud |
26.50
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Josh Allen |
30.92
|
3 |
Mitchell Trubisky |
0.02
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Deshaun Watson |
15.44
|
2 |
Jameis Winston |
0.40
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Tua Tagovailoa |
21.62
|
Las Vegas Raiders vs KC:
Gardner Minshew II - $4800
I don't have much to sell for him, but he's 4.8k, and any sub-5k quarterback is in play. The concern is not finishing the game or Minshew scoring 14 points or fewer as he has since Week 2. Use at your own risk, as his mark is 19 points. #Raiders
$4800 |
Gardner Minshew II |
pts needed: 19.2 |
0
|
$4800 |
2.36 pts
|
wk7(LAR) |
-300
|
$5100 |
9.68 pts
|
wk5(DEN) |
-100
|
$5200 |
5.00 pts
|
wk4(CLE) |
-100
|
$5300 |
14.96 pts
|
wk3(CAR) |
+200
|
$5100 |
13.94 pts
|
wk2(BAL) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 87.48 |
util%: 53.97 |
ppg: 9.79 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 81.73 |
util%: 47.03 |
ppg: 5.68 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
3.96 vs CIN
|
-1.72
|
-5.83
|
|
HISTORY vs KC |
2024 |
15.96 points in Week 8
|
2019 |
18.60 points in Week 1
|
OPPONENTS vs. KC
SEASON AVG vs KC |
Rank
|
17.69 ppg
|
21st
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs KC |
Rank
|
15.57 ppg
|
9th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. KC |
POINTS
|
7 |
Brock Purdy |
20.18
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Derek Carr |
13.60
|
5 |
Jake Haener |
1.78
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Justin Herbert |
11.16
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Kirk Cousins |
12.10
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Joe Burrow |
18.22
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Lamar Jackson |
29.12
|
Kansas City Chiefs vs LV:
Patrick Mahomes - $6800
I know...I know...it's not the same. But DHop arrived so that changed things. It may be too early to jump on that bandwagon, but the last time Patrick Mahomes was this cheap was in Week 16 of 2019. His price tag is warranted as he hasn't scored more than 17 points all season, and the matchup with the #Raiders will likely not require much. ALL of that aside, he's Patrick Mahomes. He has a new weapon in DHop. His mark is 27. The Raiders are his playground, as he's scored 17+ in every matchup except one since 2018. That includes 20+ in eight of those games and 30+ in five of those games. Nothing is wrong if you want to fade, but this is precisely what DFS is about. Even if not in a single entry, I suggest at least one lineup in a multi-entry contest, as this is a stock that you want to get early on. #Chiefs
$6800 |
Patrick Mahomes |
pts needed: 27.2 |
-200
|
$7000 |
14.06 pts
|
wk7(SF) |
0
|
$7000 |
17.44 pts
|
wk5(NO) |
-100
|
$7100 |
14.00 pts
|
wk4(LAC) |
+100
|
$7000 |
17.38 pts
|
wk3(ATL) |
0
|
$7000 |
14.94 pts
|
wk2(CIN) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 100 |
util%: 52.82 |
ppg: 15.66 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 100 |
util%: 51.37 |
ppg: 15.17 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
24.54 vs TB
|
+9.37
|
+8.88
|
|
HISTORY vs LV |
2024 |
19.18 points in Week 8
|
2023 |
17.70 points in Week16
|
20.82 points in Week12
|
2022 |
14.98 points in Week18
|
30.48 points in Week 5
|
2021 |
20.32 points in Week14
|
39.24 points in Week10
|
2020 |
25.52 points in Week11
|
33.70 points in Week 5
|
2019 |
19.50 points in Week13
|
35.62 points in Week 2
|
2018 |
18.34 points in Week17
|
33.00 points in Week13
|
OPPONENTS vs. LV
SEASON AVG vs LV |
Rank
|
17.19 ppg
|
17th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs LV |
Rank
|
17.27 ppg
|
15th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. LV |
POINTS
|
7 |
Matthew Stafford |
4.96
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Justin Fields |
23.70
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Bo Nix |
23.14
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Deshaun Watson |
13.24
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Andy Dalton |
27.56
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Lamar Jackson |
17.38
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Justin Herbert |
10.36
|
Cincinnati Bengals vs PHI:
Joe Burrow - $7000
The data is back-and-forth for Burrow and the #Eagles, so this is a tight split. Burrow has 17+ in four of his last five games, including 28 & 37, but also landed the outlier of 14 points last week (vs CLE). The #Eagles allowed 17 for half of their games (Love, Cousins, Mayfield) and limited QBs to 8 or fewer in the other half (Carr, Watson, Daniel Jones). The names involved are significant for those outputs, with Burrow landing toward the former group rather than the latter. If this were a mid-6k or lower salary tag, I'd call it a smash spot, so this isn't a crazy reach, but Burrow is priced just perfectly enough to have some concern with his 28-point mark. I'd lean toward the play than the fade, but it's going to be challenging to get the pieces you want around him, so you'll have to give up someone else if you're going to land there—if you can achieve the build without losing pieces...green light. #Bengals
$7000 |
Joe Burrow |
pts needed: 28 |
+200
|
$6800 |
14.94 pts
|
wk7(CLE) |
-100
|
$6900 |
19.82 pts
|
wk6(NYG) |
+500
|
$6400 |
37.78 pts
|
wk5(BAL) |
-200
|
$6600 |
17.28 pts
|
wk4(CAR) |
+500
|
$6100 |
28.36 pts
|
wk3(WAS) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 100 |
util%: 59.07 |
ppg: 20.64 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 100 |
util%: 57.5 |
ppg: 24.18 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
30.14 vs LV
|
+5.96
|
+9.5
|
|
HISTORY vs PHI |
2024 |
13.86 points in Week 8
|
2020 |
23.38 points in Week 3
|
OPPONENTS vs. PHI
SEASON AVG vs PHI |
Rank
|
15.29 ppg
|
8th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs PHI |
Rank
|
15.93 ppg
|
10th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. PHI |
POINTS
|
7 |
Daniel Jones |
5.96
|
7 |
Drew Lock |
1.54
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Deshaun Watson |
8.42
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Baker Mayfield |
31.88
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Derek Carr |
8.98
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Kirk Cousins |
17.54
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Jordan Love |
17.40
|
Buffalo Bills vs SEA:
Josh Allen - $7800
Kirky disappointed in this matchup last week, so outside of that trend, the #Seahawks allowed 22+ in the last four weeks. With a week of practice with Amari Cooper, Josh Allen should continue that path, but with a higher mark of 31 points. It's a reach, with his high landing one point shy of that in the last five weeks, which includes 24 points over the last two weeks. The game should script well and allow for a ceiling, but it's not a layup. #Bills
$7800 |
Josh Allen |
pts needed: 31.2 |
+300
|
$7500 |
24.02 pts
|
wk7(TEN) |
0
|
$7500 |
24.40 pts
|
wk6(NYJ) |
-200
|
$7700 |
14.64 pts
|
wk5(HOU) |
-100
|
$7800 |
8.30 pts
|
wk4(BAL) |
-200
|
$8000 |
30.92 pts
|
wk3(JAX) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 94.77 |
util%: 57.9 |
ppg: 20.6 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 99.47 |
util%: 57.17 |
ppg: 21.02 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
23.10 vs MIA
|
+2.08
|
+2.5
|
|
HISTORY vs SEA |
2024 |
20.82 points in Week 8
|
2020 |
39.00 points in Week 9
|
OPPONENTS vs. SEA
SEASON AVG vs SEA |
Rank
|
16.53 ppg
|
15th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs SEA |
Rank
|
18.97 ppg
|
20th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. SEA |
POINTS
|
7 |
Kirk Cousins |
10.18
|
7 |
Michael Penix Jr. |
0.56
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Brock Purdy |
24.10
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Daniel Jones |
22.08
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Jared Goff |
27.18
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Skylar Thompson |
4.28
|
3 |
Tim Boyle |
3.76
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Jacoby Brissett |
10.56
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Bo Nix |
13.02
|
Atlanta Falcons vs TB:
Kirk Cousins - $6200
With the #Buccaneers' receivers' injuries, this may be less effective than the data supports. It also doesn't help that Kirky has dudded with 12 or fewer every game this season except one. That anomaly is against TB, where he smashed for 38 points. Also, TB allowed 35 last week (Lamar) and 17+ points all season except for one game (Goff with 13 points in Week 2). His price makes him playable with a 24-point mark. He's a welcome play, but only next to a solid build, as their is risk here. #Falcons
$6200 |
Kirk Cousins |
pts needed: 24.8 |
-100
|
$6300 |
10.18 pts
|
wk7(SEA) |
+100
|
$6200 |
12.50 pts
|
wk6(CAR) |
+600
|
$5600 |
38.36 pts
|
wk5(TB) |
-200
|
$5800 |
8.52 pts
|
wk4(NO) |
-100
|
$5900 |
12.10 pts
|
wk3(KC) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 98.63 |
util%: 54.83 |
ppg: 15.34 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 96.8 |
util%: 56.6 |
ppg: 20.35 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
18.78 vs DAL
|
-1.57
|
+3.44
|
|
HISTORY vs TB |
2024 |
28.64 points in Week 8
|
38.36 points in Week 5
|
2023 |
22.46 points in Week 1
|
2020 |
18.10 points in Week14
|
OPPONENTS vs. TB
SEASON AVG vs TB |
Rank
|
23.83 ppg
|
31st
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs TB |
Rank
|
29.41 ppg
|
31st
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. TB |
POINTS
|
7 |
Lamar Jackson |
35.44
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Spencer Rattler |
14.42
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Kirk Cousins |
38.36
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Jalen Hurts |
17.32
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Bo Nix |
19.34
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Jared Goff |
13.78
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Jayden Daniels |
28.16
|
Chicago Bears vs WAS:
Caleb Williams - $6000
The #Bears are trending in the right direction, with Caleb hitting 23+ in three of his last four games. The #Commanders' defense is better than last year, but they have some exposure, with LJ, Burrow, & Mayfield hitting 22+ points. The low outputs against Washington are nine or fewer points but include names like Dalton, Watson, and Murray (outlier). Even Daniel Jones scored 18 points in Week 2, so this isn't a tough reach. I'd like it better if Daniels goes (LP to end the Week, so I'd say it's unlikely, but keep an eye on it). His price tag only asks for 24 points, so it's a favorable path. #Bears
$6000 |
Caleb Williams |
pts needed: 24 |
+300
|
$5700 |
29.64 pts
|
wk6(JAX) |
-100
|
$5800 |
26.56 pts
|
wk5(CAR) |
+200
|
$5600 |
11.48 pts
|
wk4(LAR) |
0
|
$5600 |
23.32 pts
|
wk3(IND) |
-200
|
$5800 |
9.36 pts
|
wk2(HOU) |
|
SEASON |
snp%: 98.58 |
util%: 54.32 |
ppg: 17.93 |
LAST 3 GAMES |
snp%: 97.17 |
util%: 48.77 |
ppg: 22.56 |
|
LAST GAME
|
Points
|
vs L3
|
vs S
|
9.18 vs ARI
|
-13.38
|
-8.75
|
|
HISTORY vs WAS |
2024 |
10.34 points in Week 8
|
OPPONENTS vs. WAS
SEASON AVG vs WAS |
Rank
|
17.23 ppg
|
19th
|
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs WAS |
Rank
|
11.51 ppg
|
5th
|
WK
|
PLAYERS vs. WAS |
POINTS
|
7 |
Andy Dalton |
2.02
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
Lamar Jackson |
22.92
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
Deshaun Watson |
9.40
|
5 |
Jameis Winston |
0.34
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
Kyler Murray |
9.98
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
Joe Burrow |
28.36
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
Daniel Jones |
18.32
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Baker Mayfield |
29.66
|