DraftKings Main Slate for Week 7 - Running Back (RB)

Tennessee Titans vs BUF:

Tony Pollard - $6300

As reported last week, Tony Pollard is having a solid season (quietly). He continued with 17 points, adding to his 15+ point floor in four of the last five weeks. He snapped 74% and is still priced reasonably for a 25-point mark. He's not likely to explode each week (but can), but he's a solid foundation or final piece to a lineup. His standalone numbers are enough to utilize him, but the #Bills aren't of any concern as they've allowed 21+ to three RBs in two of the last three weeks (BAL RBs, Breece Hall). The outlier week included 12 & 14 points to Cam Akers & Dare Ogunbowale. Pollard's floor should continue with an upside. #Titans
$6300 Tony Pollard pts needed: 25.2
+300
$6000 17.80 pts wk6(IND)
0
$6000 18.80 pts wk4(MIA)
0
$6000 5.90 pts wk3(GB)
+100
$5900 15.20 pts wk2(NYJ)
0
$5900 18.40 pts wk1(CHI)
SEASON
snp%:
64.94
util%:
48.2
ppg:
15.22
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
65.7
util%:
45.8
ppg:
14.17
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
8.00 vs IND -6.17 -7.22
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
39.30 -26.4 -25.64
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
50.00 +4.2 +1.8
HISTORY vs BUF
2024
8.50 points in Week 7
2023
7.70 points in Week15
2019
0.70 points in Week13

OPPONENTS vs. BUF

SEASON AVG vs BUF Rank
33.37 ppg 31st
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs BUF Rank
39.87 ppg 31st
DIFF
+6.5
WK PLAYERS vs. BUF POINTS
6 Breece Hall 24.90
6 Braelon Allen 0.80
5 Dare Ogunbowale 14.70
5 Cam Akers 12.70
4 Derrick Henry 38.90
4 Justice Hill 21.60
4 Patrick Ricard 6.00
3 Travis Etienne Jr. 12.50
3 DErnest Johnson 1.20
3 Tank Bigsby 0.90
2 DeVon Achane 29.50
2 Jeff Wilson Jr. 3.20
2 Jaylen Wright 0.40
2 Alec Ingold 0.20
1 James Conner 19.30
1 DeeJay Dallas 6.00
1 Emari Demercado 4.60
1 Trey Benson 2.80
Washington Commanders vs CAR:

Brian Robinson Jr. - $6400
Austin Ekeler - $5900
Jeremy McNichols - $4400

It's hard to utilize players coming off of injury, which is the challenge with Brian Robinson, who lands in the best matchup by the numbers vs. the #Panthers. The #Panthers allowed 20+ to four RBs in the last three weeks (ATL RBs, Swift, & Chase Brown). Robinson finished the week as LP after missing last week. If he were a full-go, I'd suggest loading up. With Ekeler in the wings, if Robinson didn't go, I'd suggest loading up. Both are appealing plays, especially with Bijan & Allgeier both finding 22+ last week. McNichols is a wildcard if you have a strong build and need a risky piece. If deciding between Robinson and Ekeler, I'd likely chase BRob for the extra $500, but either option is worth a play. #Commanders
$6400 Brian Robinson Jr. pts needed: 25.6
-200
$6600 13.80 pts wk5(CLE)
+500
$6100 23.30 pts wk4(ARI)
+200
$5900 10.70 pts wk3(CIN)
+100
$5800 17.60 pts wk2(NYG)
+600
$5200 17.90 pts wk1(TB)
SEASON
snp%:
57.74
util%:
43.3
ppg:
16.66
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
57.7
util%:
40.5
ppg:
15.93
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
8.90 vs ATL -7.03 -7.76
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
54.20 -3.5 -3.54
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
33.30 -7.2 -10
HISTORY vs CAR
2024
13.10 points in Week 7
$5900 Austin Ekeler pts needed: 23.6
+300
$5600 10.80 pts wk6(BAL)
0
$5600 11.70 pts wk5(CLE)
-100
$5700 13.70 pts wk3(CIN)
0
$5700 11.50 pts wk2(NYG)
-300
$6000 10.20 pts wk1(TB)
SEASON
snp%:
49.32
util%:
29.48
ppg:
11.58
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
50.33
util%:
30.83
ppg:
12.07
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
4.40 vs DAL -7.67 -7.18
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
62.90 +12.57 +13.58
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
27.30 -3.53 -2.18
HISTORY vs CAR
2024
4.00 points in Week 7
2020
31.30 points in Week 3
$4400 Jeremy McNichols pts needed: 17.6
-100
$4500 0.90 pts wk6(BAL)
-100
$4600 10.40 pts wk5(CLE)
+600
$4000 20.40 pts wk4(ARI)
0
$4000 0.10 pts wk3(CIN)
0
$4000 0.00 pts wk2(NYG)
SEASON
snp%:
22.44
util%:
20.32
ppg:
6.36
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
32.4
util%:
29.7
ppg:
10.57
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
3.00 vs ATL -7.57 -3.36
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
26.50 -5.9 +4.06
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
18.20 -11.5 -2.12
HISTORY vs CAR
2024
4.20 points in Week 7

OPPONENTS vs. CAR

SEASON AVG vs CAR Rank
34.87 ppg 32nd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CAR Rank
41.27 ppg 32nd
DIFF
+6.4
WK PLAYERS vs. CAR POINTS
6 Bijan Robinson 25.50
6 Tyler Allgeier 22.80
5 DAndre Swift 20.00
5 Roschon Johnson 14.50
4 Chase Brown 23.20
4 Zack Moss 17.80
3 Alexander Mattison 13.40
3 Zamir White 3.40
3 Ameer Abdullah 3.30
2 J.K. Dobbins 23.10
2 Gus Edwards 5.90
2 Hassan Haskins 1.10
1 Alvin Kamara 22.00
1 Jamaal Williams 12.10
1 Jordan Mims 1.10
Cleveland Browns vs CIN:

Nick Chubb - $6000

These are the areas where I can't help myself. Nick Chubb hasn't played football in over a year, BUT...it's Nick Chubb. The #Browns suck. They need their running game back. I can't see them not leaning on him if he's hitting. Now, will his snaps be limited to about 50%? Of course, but Chubb always played around there anyway. The coach is desperate, and the #Bengals are weak vs. RBs, allowing 16+ over the last three weeks and five of the last six games. You don't require my tolerance for the letdown of missing his mark of 24 points, but I know most of the field will "wait and see." I won't..at least in multi-entries. The single entry is still TBD. #Browns
$6000 Nick Chubb pts needed: 24
SEASON
LAST 3 GAMES
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
3.10 vs KC -7.47 -3.26
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
33.90 +1.5 +11.46
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
47.60 +17.9 +27.28
HISTORY vs CIN
2024
10.20 points in Week 7
2023
19.70 points in Week 1
2022
8.40 points in Week14
28.40 points in Week 8
2021
7.00 points in Week18
33.30 points in Week 9
2020
29.30 points in Week 2
2019
5.20 points in Week17
15.70 points in Week14
2018
16.50 points in Week16
27.80 points in Week12

OPPONENTS vs. CIN

SEASON AVG vs CIN Rank
24.42 ppg 20th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CIN Rank
25.6 ppg 24th
DIFF
+1.18
WK PLAYERS vs. CIN POINTS
6 Tyrone Tracy Jr. 22.70
6 Eric Gray 1.30
5 Derrick Henry 16.60
5 Justice Hill 3.50
4 Chuba Hubbard 25.10
4 Miles Sanders 7.60
3 Austin Ekeler 13.70
3 Brian Robinson Jr. 10.70
3 Jeremy McNichols 0.10
2 Isiah Pacheco 16.10
2 Carson Steele 1.40
2 Samaje Perine 1.30
1 Rhamondre Stevenson 24.60
1 Antonio Gibson 1.80
Miami Dolphins vs IND:

DeVon Achane - $6700
Raheem Mostert - $6100

I can't see the #Dolphins not attempting to lean here with their passing game in disarray. Achane practiced in full all week (FP), and Mostert isn't on the injury report. Mostert lands at $600 less, so choosing where to land is challenging. I'd lean toward chasing Achane over Mostert, but I usually let the build dictate where it lands in these situations, compared to starting with one or the other. They face the #Colts, who allowed 17 & 28 in the last two matchups. One of them should hit their mark (Achane - 26, Mostert 24) this week. #Dolphins
$6700 DeVon Achane pts needed: 26.8
-500
$7200 2.70 pts wk5(NE)
0
$7200 5.90 pts wk4(TEN)
+200
$7000 8.80 pts wk3(SEA)
+500
$6500 29.50 pts wk2(BUF)
-300
$6800 23.00 pts wk1(JAX)
SEASON
snp%:
55.02
util%:
41.82
ppg:
13.98
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
53.73
util%:
33.83
ppg:
5.8
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
5.80 vs CLE 0 -8.18
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
53.30 -0.43 -1.72
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
37.50 +3.67 -4.32
HISTORY vs IND
2024
10.50 points in Week 7
$6100 Raheem Mostert pts needed: 24.4
-100
$6200 11.80 pts wk5(NE)
-200
$6400 3.90 pts wk1(JAX)
SEASON
snp%:
50.05
util%:
38.35
ppg:
7.85
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
50.05
util%:
38.35
ppg:
7.85
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
3.90 vs CLE -3.95 -3.95
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
40.00 -10.05 -10.05
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
33.30 -5.05 -5.05
HISTORY vs IND
2024
4.00 points in Week 7
2017
0.30 points in Week 5

OPPONENTS vs. IND

SEASON AVG vs IND Rank
25.73 ppg 22nd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs IND Rank
27.87 ppg 27th
DIFF
+2.14
WK PLAYERS vs. IND POINTS
6 Tony Pollard 17.80
6 Tyjae Spears 2.70
6 Julius Chestnut 0.20
5 Tank Bigsby 28.90
5 Travis Etienne Jr. 12.00
5 DErnest Johnson 3.00
4 Najee Harris 10.30
4 Cordarrelle Patterson 8.20
4 Aaron Shampklin 0.50
3 Roschon Johnson 10.20
3 DAndre Swift 6.20
3 Khalil Herbert 0.90
2 Josh Jacobs 17.10
2 MarShawn Lloyd 2.80
2 Emanuel Wilson 0.90
1 Joe Mixon 29.80
1 Dameon Pierce 1.60
1 Dare Ogunbowale 1.30
Los Angeles Rams vs LV:

Kyren Williams - $8100

It's hard to chase Kyren's price, which marks 32 points. His highest output is one shy of that production but is part of 15+ points over the last four weeks. Najee landed 23 points last week vs. the #Raiders, who allowed 15+ all season, including 30 points in Week 3 (Chuba). Williams isn't a price I'm chasing, but he's needed in this offense with or without Kupp, so a high floor should arrive. If there isn't a ton a risk, and you can fit him, it should land well. #Rams
$8100 Kyren Williams pts needed: 32.4
+500
$7600 19.50 pts wk5(GB)
+300
$7300 20.40 pts wk4(CHI)
+200
$7100 31.60 pts wk3(SF)
+300
$6800 15.20 pts wk2(ARI)
0
$6800 14.40 pts wk1(DET)
SEASON
snp%:
84.82
util%:
40.66
ppg:
20.22
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
84.77
util%:
44.07
ppg:
23.83
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
16.20 vs ARI -7.63 -4.02
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
94.70 +9.93 +9.88
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
29.60 -14.47 -11.06
HISTORY vs LV
2024
19.60 points in Week 7
2022
3.90 points in Week14

OPPONENTS vs. LV

SEASON AVG vs LV Rank
28.13 ppg 28th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs LV Rank
25.13 ppg 22nd
DIFF
-3
WK PLAYERS vs. LV POINTS
6 Najee Harris 23.20
6 Jaylen Warren 4.80
6 Jonathan Ward 1.30
5 Javonte Williams 16.10
5 Jaleel McLaughlin 11.50
5 Michael Burton 1.50
4 Jerome Ford 15.50
4 DOnta Foreman 1.70
3 Chuba Hubbard 30.90
3 Miles Sanders 11.00
2 Derrick Henry 16.60
2 Justice Hill 5.20
1 J.K. Dobbins 25.90
1 Gus Edwards 3.80
Indianapolis Colts vs MIA:

Trey Sermon - $5500
Tyler Goodson - $5400

If you want to save at RB, the #Colts' RBs are in play. Trey Sermon, who finished the week as a Full Participant (FP), should land well. He dudded with 2 points last week but 18 in the previous week. He snapped 60% last week, so is outpacing Tyler Goodson, who snapped 38%. Goodson has a floor of 8 & 10 over the last two weeks, but it's hard to take this shot due to Sermon's snap share and similar price (-$100). They face the #Dolphins, who allowed 19+ in the four weeks before their bye week, including 25 & 28 points to Charbonnet & James Cook. It's hard not to go here. #Colts
$5500 Trey Sermon pts needed: 22
-500
$6000 2.90 pts wk6(TEN)
+300
$5700 18.30 pts wk5(JAX)
+1200
$4500 0.80 pts wk4(PIT)
+200
$4300 7.60 pts wk3(CHI)
-200
$4500 1.70 pts wk2(GB)
SEASON
snp%:
31.63
util%:
28
ppg:
5.22
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
48.13
util%:
37.1
ppg:
7.33
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
2.00 vs NYG -5.33 -3.22
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
9.10 -39.03 -22.53
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
14.30 -22.8 -13.7
HISTORY vs MIA
2024
5.90 points in Week 7
$5400 Tyler Goodson pts needed: 21.6
0
$5400 10.50 pts wk6(TEN)
0
$5400 8.70 pts wk5(JAX)
+1400
$4000 0.00 pts wk4(PIT)
0
$4000 0.00 pts wk3(CHI)
0
$4000 1.20 pts wk2(GB)
SEASON
snp%:
20.24
util%:
17.36
ppg:
4.08
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
27.17
util%:
25.23
ppg:
6.4
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
0.00 vs NYG -6.4 -4.08
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
2.60 -24.57 -17.64
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
0.00 -25.23 -17.36
HISTORY vs MIA
2024
11.10 points in Week 7

OPPONENTS vs. MIA

SEASON AVG vs MIA Rank
28 ppg 27th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs MIA Rank
27.77 ppg 26th
DIFF
-0.23
WK PLAYERS vs. MIA POINTS
5 Rhamondre Stevenson 19.20
5 Antonio Gibson 6.60
4 Tony Pollard 18.80
4 Tyjae Spears 11.90
3 Zach Charbonnet 25.70
3 Kenny McIntosh 1.10
2 James Cook 28.50
2 Ty Johnson 4.20
2 Ray Davis 3.80
1 Travis Etienne Jr. 12.90
1 Tank Bigsby 7.30
Kansas City Chiefs vs SF:

Kareem Hunt - $6000

Kareem Hunt finished with 21 points and 63% of the snap before the bye week, which should bring him entirely up to speed. His production and usage should increase, especially with the injuries at WR for the #Chiefs. The matchup vs. the #49ers isn't a layup, but the data has some kinks. Against RBs, they've split, landing 14 or lower in two weeks and 20 or higher in the other two, including 31 from Kyren Williams. Hunt has a mark of 24 points, which isn't a far reach in the rushing and passing game. He should land close or better. #Chiefs
$6000 Kareem Hunt pts needed: 24
+500
$5500 21.70 pts wk5(NO)
+300
$5200 10.50 pts wk4(LAC)
SEASON
snp%:
54.15
util%:
56.75
ppg:
16.1
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
54.15
util%:
56.75
ppg:
16.1
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
8.00 vs PIT -8.1 -8.1
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
48.40 -5.75 -5.75
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
30.00 -26.75 -26.75
HISTORY vs SF
2024
22.30 points in Week 7
2023
16.10 points in Week 6
2018
16.40 points in Week 3

OPPONENTS vs. SF

SEASON AVG vs SF Rank
22.58 ppg 15th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs SF Rank
20.67 ppg 15th
DIFF
-1.91
WK PLAYERS vs. SF POINTS
6 Kenneth Walker III 20.90
6 Zach Charbonnet 4.50
5 James Conner 14.00
5 Emari Demercado 1.00
4 Antonio Gibson 10.90
4 Rhamondre Stevenson 9.20
4 JaMycal Hasty 1.50
3 Kyren Williams 31.60
3 Ronnie Rivers 0.90
2 Aaron Jones 10.80
2 Ty Chandler 8.20
1 Breece Hall 19.30
1 Braelon Allen 2.70
Carolina Panthers vs WAS:

Chuba Hubbard - $6500

Chuba has landed 15+ since Week 3, including 25 & 30 points. While he's down-trending, scoring 15 & 18 in the last two weeks, those floors and an 81% snap share last week aren't too bad toward a 26-point mark. RBs scored 20+ vs. the #Commanders in three of the last four weeks, with CLE RBs (not playing too well) being the anomaly. He should be needed in this game, whether through the pass or rushing. While I wish the salary were slightly lower, I like the play here. #Panthers
$6500 Chuba Hubbard pts needed: 26
+200
$6300 15.30 pts wk6(ATL)
+200
$6100 18.50 pts wk5(CHI)
+400
$5700 25.10 pts wk4(CIN)
+500
$5200 30.90 pts wk3(LV)
-100
$5300 11.60 pts wk2(LAC)
SEASON
snp%:
65.28
util%:
43.87
ppg:
17.13
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
73.7
util%:
43.43
ppg:
19.63
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
35.50 vs ARI +15.87 +18.37
SNAP % vs L3 vs S
83.80 +10.1 +18.52
UTIL % vs L3 vs S
52.60 +9.17 +8.73
HISTORY vs WAS
2024
11.20 points in Week 7
2021
0.00 points in Week11

OPPONENTS vs. WAS

SEASON AVG vs WAS Rank
24.32 ppg 19th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs WAS Rank
24.8 ppg 21st
DIFF
+0.48
WK PLAYERS vs. WAS POINTS
6 Derrick Henry 28.20
6 Justice Hill 1.40
5 Jerome Ford 7.90
5 DOnta Foreman 7.00
5 Pierre Strong Jr. 0.20
4 James Conner 21.30
4 Trey Benson 5.00
4 Emari Demercado 3.40
3 Zack Moss 20.70
3 Chase Brown 8.90
2 Devin Singletary 15.50
2 Tyrone Tracy Jr. 0.20
1 Rachaad White 16.60
1 Bucky Irving 9.60