DraftKings Main Slate for Week 6 - Quarterback (QB)

Green Bay Packers vs ARI:

Jordan Love - $6600

Jordan Love hit 17 (PHI) to start the season and, after being injured, landed 34 (MIN) & 16 (LAR) in the last two weeks. His price tag of 6.6k is fair, providing a mark of 26, which is well within his reach. The matchup vs. the #Cardinals is inconsistent with QBs, landing 7 points as a floor and 25 as a ceiling over the season. The positive is the floor of 15+ over the last three weeks. There is some appeal here, but the more I write, the less I love Love (lol). It's not a tough reach, but the data doesn't support the chase. #Packers
$6600 Jordan Love pts needed: 26.4
+100
$6500 16.96 pts wk5(LAR)
+500
$6000 34.16 pts wk4(MIN)
-400
$6400 17.40 pts wk1(PHI)
SEASON
snp%:
99
util%:
57.97
ppg:
22.84
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
99
util%:
57.97
ppg:
22.84
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
6.74 vs JAX -16.1 -16.1
HISTORY vs ARI
2024
26.62 points in Week 6

OPPONENTS vs. ARI

SEASON AVG vs ARI Rank
19.09 ppg 24th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs ARI Rank
18.55 ppg 19th
DIFF
-0.54
WK PLAYERS vs. ARI POINTS
5 Brock Purdy 15.06
4 Jayden Daniels 25.02
3 Jared Goff 15.56
2 Matthew Stafford 7.64
1 Josh Allen 32.18
Washington Commanders vs BAL:

Jayden Daniels - $7300

Jayden Daniels has shown he can produce, scoring 20+ in 4 of his last 5 games (13 vs. NYG). The matchup should produce, so a floor should be there. The challenge is the higher price tag, which marks 29, which he hasn't hit this season (28 is his ceiling (CIN & TB). I lean toward that mark being in sight, with the #Ravens allowing 32 (Dak) & 37 (Burrow) in the last two weeks. He's easily worth a build, but I'm not forcing him in there if I can't build something solid with it. #Commanders
$7300 Jayden Daniels pts needed: 29.2
+500
$6800 20.72 pts wk5(CLE)
+300
$6500 25.02 pts wk4(ARI)
+300
$6200 28.06 pts wk3(CIN)
0
$6200 13.44 pts wk2(NYG)
+500
$5700 28.16 pts wk1(TB)
SEASON
snp%:
97.04
util%:
59.38
ppg:
23.08
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
95.53
util%:
58.07
ppg:
24.6
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
25.24 vs CHI +0.64 +2.16
HISTORY vs BAL
2024
20.96 points in Week 6

OPPONENTS vs. BAL

SEASON AVG vs BAL Rank
21.82 ppg 29th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs BAL Rank
26.34 ppg 29th
DIFF
+4.52
WK PLAYERS vs. BAL POINTS
5 Joe Burrow 37.78
4 Josh Allen 8.30
4 Mitchell Trubisky 0.08
3 Dak Prescott 32.86
2 Gardner Minshew II 13.94
1 Patrick Mahomes 16.14
Atlanta Falcons vs CAR:

Kirk Cousins - $6200

Kirky exploded last week for 38 points vs. TB. Before that, his ceiling was 17, and he hit between 8 and 12 for the rest of the season. He has some great history vs. the #Panthers, but that's going way back to 20 & 21, so it doesn't provide much comfort. As you're reading, it doesn't align much with a great play, but the season is early and maybe last week was a glimpse of what the #Falcons can become. With Andy Dalton, the #Panther can keep it a game, allowing continued production. Over the last two weeks, the #Panthers have allowed 17 (Burrow) & 26 (Caleb), so Kirky's mark of 24 isn't a far reach. It's not a smash spot, but something to consider with a good build. #Falcons
$6200 Kirk Cousins pts needed: 24.8
+600
$5600 38.36 pts wk5(TB)
-200
$5800 8.52 pts wk4(NO)
-100
$5900 12.10 pts wk3(KC)
-100
$6000 17.54 pts wk2(PHI)
-100
$6100 8.20 pts wk1(PIT)
SEASON
snp%:
100
util%:
56.14
ppg:
16.94
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
59.47
ppg:
19.66
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
28.64 vs TB +8.98 +11.7
HISTORY vs CAR
2024
12.50 points in Week 6
2023
11.56 points in Week 4
2021
31.52 points in Week 6
2020
30.18 points in Week12

OPPONENTS vs. CAR

SEASON AVG vs CAR Rank
20 ppg 27th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CAR Rank
21.89 ppg 27th
DIFF
+1.89
WK PLAYERS vs. CAR POINTS
5 Caleb Williams 26.56
4 Joe Burrow 17.28
3 Gardner Minshew II 14.96
3 Aidan OConnell 7.28
2 Justin Herbert 13.00
1 Derek Carr 21.30
Detroit Lions vs DAL:

Jared Goff - $6400

Like Dak's writeup, there's more to be desired on paper than "real life." Jared Goff had a floor of 12 and a ceiling of 15 in the first three weeks, but at least found 27 points before the bye week. The #Cowboys allowed 15 (Fields) and 10 (Daniel Jones) points over the last two weeks but did at least allow 22 (Carr) & 25 (LJ) points in the two weeks previous to that. The price is after a mark of 25 points, which isn't a hard reach, but the data doesn't overtly support it. Fair play. #Lions
$6400 Jared Goff pts needed: 25.6
-300
$6700 27.18 pts wk4(SEA)
+200
$6500 15.56 pts wk3(ARI)
+100
$6400 13.78 pts wk2(TB)
+100
$6300 12.38 pts wk1(LAR)
SEASON
snp%:
100
util%:
48.1
ppg:
17.23
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
48.3
ppg:
18.84
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
15.50 vs TEN -3.34 -1.73
HISTORY vs DAL
2024
28.10 points in Week 6
2023
12.84 points in Week17
2022
5.52 points in Week 7
2020
11.50 points in Week 1
2019
18.56 points in Week15
2017
18.10 points in Week 4

OPPONENTS vs. DAL

SEASON AVG vs DAL Rank
17.68 ppg 18th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DAL Rank
17.74 ppg 16th
DIFF
+0.06
WK PLAYERS vs. DAL POINTS
5 Justin Fields 15.94
5 Kyle Allen 0.76
4 Daniel Jones 10.54
3 Lamar Jackson 25.98
2 Derek Carr 22.82
1 Deshaun Watson 12.66
Dallas Cowboys vs DET:

Dak Prescott - $6700

Over the last three weeks, Dak has produced 32, 16, & 22 points. The floor would appeal more without the 16, but his price isn't outrageous when comparing those numbers to his 26-point mark vs. the #Lions. The game aligns with a shootout, so it should be favored. While Geno hit 25 points last week, DET has only surrendered 19 or below in the previous three weeks. If this were later in the season with these trends, I'd lean toward a fade, but it's still early enough for the "expected" game script to arrive. #Cowboys
$6700 Dak Prescott pts needed: 26.8
-200
$6900 22.38 pts wk5(PIT)
0
$6900 16.74 pts wk4(NYG)
+300
$6600 32.86 pts wk3(BAL)
-100
$6700 14.92 pts wk2(NO)
-400
$7100 11.46 pts wk1(CLE)
SEASON
snp%:
98.82
util%:
57.8
ppg:
19.67
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
58.2
ppg:
23.99
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
15.62 vs SF -8.37 -4.05
HISTORY vs DET
2024
5.22 points in Week 6
2023
24.30 points in Week17
2022
12.28 points in Week 7
2019
34.56 points in Week11
2018
18.40 points in Week 4

OPPONENTS vs. DET

SEASON AVG vs DET Rank
19.97 ppg 26th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DET Rank
20.39 ppg 24th
DIFF
+0.42
WK PLAYERS vs. DET POINTS
4 Geno Smith 25.60
3 Kyler Murray 15.78
2 Baker Mayfield 19.80
1 Matthew Stafford 18.68
New England Patriots vs HOU:

Drake Maye - $5000

Drake Maye is listed here due to the unknown. His price is cheap enough to build around, but as we know, the #Patriots' offense leaves much to be desired. With a 20-point mark, he's not a bad dart throw, where most will ignore him vs. the #Texans. The matchup should warrant enough passing from NE to give him a shot. Houston hasn't allowed much to QBs, limiting Lawrence & Allen to 14 in the last two weeks. Previous to that, they did allow 27 & 23 in two of the first three weeks to Richardson & Darnold, respectively. Full dart. #Patriots
$5000 Drake Maye pts needed: 20
0
$5000 2.08 pts wk3(NYJ)
SEASON
snp%:
30.8
util%:
62.5
ppg:
2.08
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
30.8
util%:
62.5
ppg:
2.08
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
11.52 vs NYJ +9.44 +9.44
HISTORY vs HOU
2024
22.52 points in Week 6

OPPONENTS vs. HOU

SEASON AVG vs HOU Rank
17.82 ppg 19th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs HOU Rank
17.55 ppg 15th
DIFF
-0.27
WK PLAYERS vs. HOU POINTS
5 Josh Allen 14.64
4 Trevor Lawrence 14.76
3 Sam Darnold 23.24
2 Caleb Williams 9.36
1 Anthony Richardson 27.08
Tennessee Titans vs IND:

Will Levis - $4800

Will Levis practiced in full all week. It appears he'll go vs. the #Colts, who have allowed a floor of 23 and a ceiling of 35 over the last three weeks. The matchup and price are more of the allure since Levis hasn't produced more than 16 this season, below his mark of 19. We've seen splash with him, so while it is a tough trigger to pull, you'll be one of the rare few who roll him out. It's hard to warrant the single-entry with him, but it's not a bad risky dart if the rest of your lineups are solid in a multi-entry tournament. #Titans
$4800 Will Levis pts needed: 19.2
-300
$5100 0.50 pts wk4(MIA)
-100
$5200 16.60 pts wk3(GB)
0
$5200 13.48 pts wk2(NYJ)
-100
$5300 9.68 pts wk1(CHI)
SEASON
snp%:
79.23
util%:
56.93
ppg:
10.07
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
72.3
util%:
57.17
ppg:
10.19
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
8.30 vs IND -1.89 -1.77
HISTORY vs IND
2024
8.30 points in Week 6
2023
12.46 points in Week13

OPPONENTS vs. IND

SEASON AVG vs IND Rank
23.24 ppg 30th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs IND Rank
28.18 ppg 31st
DIFF
+4.94
WK PLAYERS vs. IND POINTS
5 Trevor Lawrence 25.24
4 Justin Fields 35.98
3 Caleb Williams 23.32
2 Malik Willis 12.98
1 C.J. Stroud 18.66
Chicago Bears vs JAX:

Caleb Williams - $5700

Caleb Williams has been up and down with his rookie campaign, which is expected. He scored 23+ points in two of his last three games and produced a ceiling of 26. He faces the #Jaguars, who let up that ceiling as their floor during the previous three weeks (Flacco, Stroud, Allen). His price warrants play, even with his lower floors of 7, 9, & 11, as his mark of 22 won't crush your lineup if he misses. #Bears
$5700 Caleb Williams pts needed: 22.8
-100
$5800 26.56 pts wk5(CAR)
+200
$5600 11.48 pts wk4(LAR)
0
$5600 23.32 pts wk3(IND)
-200
$5800 9.36 pts wk2(HOU)
-100
$5900 7.22 pts wk1(TEN)
SEASON
snp%:
99.2
util%:
54.7
ppg:
15.59
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
98.67
util%:
50.93
ppg:
20.45
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
10.34 vs WAS -10.11 -5.25
HISTORY vs JAX
2024
29.64 points in Week 6

OPPONENTS vs. JAX

SEASON AVG vs JAX Rank
25.09 ppg 32nd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs JAX Rank
29.33 ppg 32nd
DIFF
+4.24
WK PLAYERS vs. JAX POINTS
5 Joe Flacco 30.56
4 C.J. Stroud 26.50
3 Josh Allen 30.92
3 Mitchell Trubisky 0.02
2 Deshaun Watson 15.44
2 Jameis Winston 0.40
1 Tua Tagovailoa 21.62
Pittsburgh Steelers vs LV:

Justin Fields - $5800

Justin Fields can explode at any moment. He's priced relatively cheaply for a 23-point mark vs. the #Raiders. Since starting the season with 11 points in the first two weeks, he's landed 19, 35, & 15, bringing up his floor. The #Raiders have allowed 23 points or more in two of the last three weeks, which includes QBs named Nix and Dalton, and Watson as the outlier with 13 points. While it's not a knock to all three QBs, they aren't consistent fantasy producers, so Fields has an opportunity here. The price warrants the play, allowing for a strong build with upside. #Steelers
$5800 Justin Fields pts needed: 23.2
0
$5800 15.94 pts wk5(DAL)
+300
$5500 35.98 pts wk4(IND)
+100
$5400 19.40 pts wk3(LAC)
0
$5400 11.38 pts wk2(DEN)
+400
$5000 11.94 pts wk1(ATL)
SEASON
snp%:
99.32
util%:
54.9
ppg:
18.93
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
98.87
util%:
59.23
ppg:
23.77
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
23.70 vs LV -0.07 +4.77
HISTORY vs LV
2024
23.70 points in Week 6
2021
8.84 points in Week 5

OPPONENTS vs. LV

SEASON AVG vs LV Rank
18.34 ppg 21st
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs LV Rank
21.31 ppg 26th
DIFF
+2.97
WK PLAYERS vs. LV POINTS
5 Bo Nix 23.14
4 Deshaun Watson 13.24
3 Andy Dalton 27.56
2 Lamar Jackson 17.38
1 Justin Herbert 10.36
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs NO:

Baker Mayfield - $6500

Baker Mayfield has hit 19+ four times this season, 23+ three times this season, and 29+ two times this season. His anomaly of 9 points was against Denver in Week 2, and his ceiling was 31 points in Week 4 (Eagles). His price is extremely fair with those marks, and needing a mark of 26 against the #Saints, who he hit for 21 & 23 last season. Without Carr, it imposes some question marks on how Spencer Rattler competes. While that is one concern, the other concern is that the #Saints limited all quarterbacks to under 17, which included Mahomes, Hurts, Kirky, and Prescott. Baker's numbers warrant the play, but the matchup doesn't (except historically). Something has to give here. #Buccaneers
$6500 Baker Mayfield pts needed: 26
-100
$6600 23.40 pts wk5(ATL)
+200
$6400 31.88 pts wk4(PHI)
+100
$6300 9.52 pts wk3(DEN)
+400
$5900 19.80 pts wk2(DET)
+300
$5600 29.66 pts wk1(WAS)
SEASON
snp%:
99.38
util%:
56.78
ppg:
22.85
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
60.23
ppg:
21.6
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
27.30 vs ATL +5.7 +4.45
HISTORY vs NO
2024
31.90 points in Week 6
2023
21.26 points in Week17
23.94 points in Week 4
2022
10.70 points in Week 3

OPPONENTS vs. NO

SEASON AVG vs NO Rank
13.74 ppg 6th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs NO Rank
13.97 ppg 7th
DIFF
+0.23
WK PLAYERS vs. NO POINTS
5 Patrick Mahomes 17.44
4 Kirk Cousins 8.52
3 Jalen Hurts 15.94
2 Dak Prescott 14.92
2 Cooper Rush 0.24
1 Bryce Young 11.64
Cleveland Browns vs PHI:

Deshaun Watson - $5100

There is very little to warrant Deshaun's play this week vs. the #Eagles. His numbers have not topped 13 in the last two weeks or 18 in the season, especially with a mark of 20. The matchup vs. PHI is favorable for that mark, allowing 17+ points in three of their last four games, including 31 points (Mayfield) before the bye week. With the #Eagles healthy, it should require production from Watson, but why he is listed here is more for the scrutiny all week. While warranted, I've seen it a thousand times, and everyone "buys in" to the media agenda...and then boom, the player goes off with a low roster percentage. It's not a chase or a "book-it" pick, but don't get caught up in feelings, as he's not a bad play this week. #Browns
$5100 Deshaun Watson pts needed: 20.4
-200
$5300 9.40 pts wk5(WAS)
-100
$5400 13.24 pts wk4(LV)
-100
$5500 18.44 pts wk3(NYG)
-100
$5600 15.44 pts wk2(JAX)
-400
$6000 12.66 pts wk1(DAL)
SEASON
snp%:
96.94
util%:
61.52
ppg:
13.84
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
96.3
util%:
61.77
ppg:
13.69
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
5.12 vs CIN -8.57 -8.72
HISTORY vs PHI
2024
8.42 points in Week 6
2018
40.46 points in Week16

OPPONENTS vs. PHI

SEASON AVG vs PHI Rank
18.95 ppg 23rd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs PHI Rank
19.47 ppg 23rd
DIFF
+0.52
WK PLAYERS vs. PHI POINTS
4 Baker Mayfield 31.88
3 Derek Carr 8.98
2 Kirk Cousins 17.54
1 Jordan Love 17.40
New Orleans Saints vs TB:

Spencer Rattler - $4000

99% of the time, a Quarterback at 4k is always worth a build. That price only requires 16 points to hit its mark, allowing the rest of the build to carry anything to a floor if the QB doesn't deliver. If he does...and beyond that mark, things can get interesting. For those reasons alone, I would build at least one. Strategy aside, based on the film I watched, Spencer Rattler reminds me of a bootleg Patrick Mahomes. Now...let's not get out of pocket with that assessment. My reason for using Mahomes is his arm strength and how he moves. He can launch it, and while he doesn't have speed, he also isn't unable to scramble. He faces the #Saints, who just let up 38 to Kirky (Cousins), so there is the potential for some juice. Hurts (without AJB) landed 17 & Box Nix hit 19, just above our 16-point mark. #Saints
$4000 Spencer Rattler pts needed: 16
SEASON
LAST 3 GAMES
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
6.24 vs LAC -7.45 -7.6
HISTORY vs TB
2024
14.42 points in Week 6

OPPONENTS vs. TB

SEASON AVG vs TB Rank
23.39 ppg 31st
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs TB Rank
25.01 ppg 28th
DIFF
+1.62
WK PLAYERS vs. TB POINTS
5 Kirk Cousins 38.36
4 Jalen Hurts 17.32
3 Bo Nix 19.34
2 Jared Goff 13.78
1 Jayden Daniels 28.16
Baltimore Ravens vs WAS:

Lamar Jackson - $7800

LJ is on fire, scoring 24+ over the last three weeks and only missing that mark once all season. He exploded with a 37-point ceiling last week vs. the #Bengals. As a stand-alone, Lamar is always a go, but based on the matchup vs. the #Commanders and the price tag, we hit some speed bumps. Washington allowed a floor of 18 (Daniel Jones) and ceilings of 29 (Mayfield) & 28 (Burrow) in the first three weeks, which was expected, as the #Commanders were poor vs. the passing game last season. Since then, Kyler and Watson have only hit 9 points. I'd lean toward them as anomalies, but limiting Murray provides discomfort of LJ's 31-point mark. 20+ points are strongly attainable, but I will pursue a cheaper play if I don't love the build. #Ravens
$7800 Lamar Jackson pts needed: 31.2
+300
$7500 37.42 pts wk5(CIN)
0
$7500 24.64 pts wk4(BUF)
0
$7500 25.98 pts wk3(DAL)
-200
$7700 17.38 pts wk2(LV)
-100
$7800 29.12 pts wk1(KC)
SEASON
snp%:
98.94
util%:
58.16
ppg:
26.91
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
98.23
util%:
53.2
ppg:
29.35
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
24.16 vs CLE -5.19 -2.75
HISTORY vs WAS
2024
22.92 points in Week 6
2020
26.02 points in Week 4

OPPONENTS vs. WAS

SEASON AVG vs WAS Rank
19.17 ppg 25th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs WAS Rank
16.03 ppg 11th
DIFF
-3.14
WK PLAYERS vs. WAS POINTS
5 Deshaun Watson 9.40
5 Jameis Winston 0.34
4 Kyler Murray 9.98
3 Joe Burrow 28.36
2 Daniel Jones 18.32
1 Baker Mayfield 29.66