DraftKings Main Slate for Week 6 - Quarterback (QB)

Green Bay Packers vs ARI:

Jordan Love - $6600

Jordan Love hit 17 (PHI) to start the season and, after being injured, landed 34 (MIN) & 16 (LAR) in the last two weeks. His price tag of 6.6k is fair, providing a mark of 26, which is well within his reach. The matchup vs. the #Cardinals is inconsistent with QBs, landing 7 points as a floor and 25 as a ceiling over the season. The positive is the floor of 15+ over the last three weeks. There is some appeal here, but the more I write, the less I love Love (lol). It's not a tough reach, but the data doesn't support the chase. #Packers
$6600 Jordan Love pts needed: 26.4
+100
$6500 16.96 pts wk5(LAR)
+500
$6000 34.16 pts wk4(MIN)
-400
$6400 17.40 pts wk1(PHI)
SEASON
snp%:
99
util%:
57.97
ppg:
22.84
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
99
util%:
57.97
ppg:
22.84
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
14.00 vs MIN -8.84 -8.84
HISTORY vs ARI
2024
26.62 points in Week 6

OPPONENTS vs. ARI

SEASON AVG vs ARI Rank
19.09 ppg 24th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs ARI Rank
18.55 ppg 19th
DIFF
-0.54
WK PLAYERS vs. ARI POINTS
5 Brock Purdy 15.06
4 Jayden Daniels 25.02
3 Jared Goff 15.56
2 Matthew Stafford 7.64
1 Josh Allen 32.18
Washington Commanders vs BAL:

Jayden Daniels - $7300

Jayden Daniels has shown he can produce, scoring 20+ in 4 of his last 5 games (13 vs. NYG). The matchup should produce, so a floor should be there. The challenge is the higher price tag, which marks 29, which he hasn't hit this season (28 is his ceiling (CIN & TB). I lean toward that mark being in sight, with the #Ravens allowing 32 (Dak) & 37 (Burrow) in the last two weeks. He's easily worth a build, but I'm not forcing him in there if I can't build something solid with it. #Commanders
$7300 Jayden Daniels pts needed: 29.2
+500
$6800 20.72 pts wk5(CLE)
+300
$6500 25.02 pts wk4(ARI)
+300
$6200 28.06 pts wk3(CIN)
0
$6200 13.44 pts wk2(NYG)
+500
$5700 28.16 pts wk1(TB)
SEASON
snp%:
97.04
util%:
59.38
ppg:
23.08
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
95.53
util%:
58.07
ppg:
24.6
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
35.78 vs ATL +11.18 +12.7
HISTORY vs BAL
2024
20.96 points in Week 6

OPPONENTS vs. BAL

SEASON AVG vs BAL Rank
21.82 ppg 29th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs BAL Rank
26.34 ppg 29th
DIFF
+4.52
WK PLAYERS vs. BAL POINTS
5 Joe Burrow 37.78
4 Josh Allen 8.30
4 Mitchell Trubisky 0.08
3 Dak Prescott 32.86
2 Gardner Minshew II 13.94
1 Patrick Mahomes 16.14
Atlanta Falcons vs CAR:

Kirk Cousins - $6200

Kirky exploded last week for 38 points vs. TB. Before that, his ceiling was 17, and he hit between 8 and 12 for the rest of the season. He has some great history vs. the #Panthers, but that's going way back to 20 & 21, so it doesn't provide much comfort. As you're reading, it doesn't align much with a great play, but the season is early and maybe last week was a glimpse of what the #Falcons can become. With Andy Dalton, the #Panther can keep it a game, allowing continued production. Over the last two weeks, the #Panthers have allowed 17 (Burrow) & 26 (Caleb), so Kirky's mark of 24 isn't a far reach. It's not a smash spot, but something to consider with a good build. #Falcons
$6200 Kirk Cousins pts needed: 24.8
+600
$5600 38.36 pts wk5(TB)
-200
$5800 8.52 pts wk4(NO)
-100
$5900 12.10 pts wk3(KC)
-100
$6000 17.54 pts wk2(PHI)
-100
$6100 8.20 pts wk1(PIT)
SEASON
snp%:
100
util%:
56.14
ppg:
16.94
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
59.47
ppg:
19.66
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
7.48 vs LV -12.18 -9.46
HISTORY vs CAR
2024
12.50 points in Week 6
2023
11.56 points in Week 4
2021
31.52 points in Week 6
2020
30.18 points in Week12

OPPONENTS vs. CAR

SEASON AVG vs CAR Rank
20 ppg 27th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs CAR Rank
21.89 ppg 27th
DIFF
+1.89
WK PLAYERS vs. CAR POINTS
5 Caleb Williams 26.56
4 Joe Burrow 17.28
3 Gardner Minshew II 14.96
3 Aidan OConnell 7.28
2 Justin Herbert 13.00
1 Derek Carr 21.30
Detroit Lions vs DAL:

Jared Goff - $6400

Like Dak's writeup, there's more to be desired on paper than "real life." Jared Goff had a floor of 12 and a ceiling of 15 in the first three weeks, but at least found 27 points before the bye week. The #Cowboys allowed 15 (Fields) and 10 (Daniel Jones) points over the last two weeks but did at least allow 22 (Carr) & 25 (LJ) points in the two weeks previous to that. The price is after a mark of 25 points, which isn't a hard reach, but the data doesn't overtly support it. Fair play. #Lions
$6400 Jared Goff pts needed: 25.6
-300
$6700 27.18 pts wk4(SEA)
+200
$6500 15.56 pts wk3(ARI)
+100
$6400 13.78 pts wk2(TB)
+100
$6300 12.38 pts wk1(LAR)
SEASON
snp%:
100
util%:
48.1
ppg:
17.23
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
48.3
ppg:
18.84
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
28.82 vs SF +9.98 +11.59
HISTORY vs DAL
2024
28.10 points in Week 6
2023
12.84 points in Week17
2022
5.52 points in Week 7
2020
11.50 points in Week 1
2019
18.56 points in Week15
2017
18.10 points in Week 4

OPPONENTS vs. DAL

SEASON AVG vs DAL Rank
17.68 ppg 18th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DAL Rank
17.74 ppg 16th
DIFF
+0.06
WK PLAYERS vs. DAL POINTS
5 Justin Fields 15.94
5 Kyle Allen 0.76
4 Daniel Jones 10.54
3 Lamar Jackson 25.98
2 Derek Carr 22.82
1 Deshaun Watson 12.66
Dallas Cowboys vs DET:

Dak Prescott - $6700

Over the last three weeks, Dak has produced 32, 16, & 22 points. The floor would appeal more without the 16, but his price isn't outrageous when comparing those numbers to his 26-point mark vs. the #Lions. The game aligns with a shootout, so it should be favored. While Geno hit 25 points last week, DET has only surrendered 19 or below in the previous three weeks. If this were later in the season with these trends, I'd lean toward a fade, but it's still early enough for the "expected" game script to arrive. #Cowboys
$6700 Dak Prescott pts needed: 26.8
-200
$6900 22.38 pts wk5(PIT)
0
$6900 16.74 pts wk4(NYG)
+300
$6600 32.86 pts wk3(BAL)
-100
$6700 14.92 pts wk2(NO)
-400
$7100 11.46 pts wk1(CLE)
SEASON
snp%:
98.82
util%:
57.8
ppg:
19.67
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
58.2
ppg:
23.99
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
12.32 vs ATL -11.67 -7.35
HISTORY vs DET
2024
5.22 points in Week 6
2023
24.30 points in Week17
2022
12.28 points in Week 7
2019
34.56 points in Week11
2018
18.40 points in Week 4

OPPONENTS vs. DET

SEASON AVG vs DET Rank
19.97 ppg 26th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DET Rank
20.39 ppg 24th
DIFF
+0.42
WK PLAYERS vs. DET POINTS
4 Geno Smith 25.60
3 Kyler Murray 15.78
2 Baker Mayfield 19.80
1 Matthew Stafford 18.68
New England Patriots vs HOU:

Drake Maye - $5000

Drake Maye is listed here due to the unknown. His price is cheap enough to build around, but as we know, the #Patriots' offense leaves much to be desired. With a 20-point mark, he's not a bad dart throw, where most will ignore him vs. the #Texans. The matchup should warrant enough passing from NE to give him a shot. Houston hasn't allowed much to QBs, limiting Lawrence & Allen to 14 in the last two weeks. Previous to that, they did allow 27 & 23 in two of the first three weeks to Richardson & Darnold, respectively. Full dart. #Patriots
$5000 Drake Maye pts needed: 20
0
$5000 2.08 pts wk3(NYJ)
SEASON
snp%:
30.8
util%:
62.5
ppg:
2.08
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
30.8
util%:
62.5
ppg:
2.08
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
10.88 vs LAC +8.8 +8.8
HISTORY vs HOU
2024
22.52 points in Week 6

OPPONENTS vs. HOU

SEASON AVG vs HOU Rank
17.82 ppg 19th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs HOU Rank
17.55 ppg 15th
DIFF
-0.27
WK PLAYERS vs. HOU POINTS
5 Josh Allen 14.64
4 Trevor Lawrence 14.76
3 Sam Darnold 23.24
2 Caleb Williams 9.36
1 Anthony Richardson 27.08
Tennessee Titans vs IND:

Will Levis - $4800

Will Levis practiced in full all week. It appears he'll go vs. the #Colts, who have allowed a floor of 23 and a ceiling of 35 over the last three weeks. The matchup and price are more of the allure since Levis hasn't produced more than 16 this season, below his mark of 19. We've seen splash with him, so while it is a tough trigger to pull, you'll be one of the rare few who roll him out. It's hard to warrant the single-entry with him, but it's not a bad risky dart if the rest of your lineups are solid in a multi-entry tournament. #Titans
$4800 Will Levis pts needed: 19.2
-300
$5100 0.50 pts wk4(MIA)
-100
$5200 16.60 pts wk3(GB)
0
$5200 13.48 pts wk2(NYJ)
-100
$5300 9.68 pts wk1(CHI)
SEASON
snp%:
79.23
util%:
56.93
ppg:
10.07
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
72.3
util%:
57.17
ppg:
10.19
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
-0.44 vs CIN -10.63 -10.51
HISTORY vs IND
2024
8.30 points in Week 6
2023
12.46 points in Week13

OPPONENTS vs. IND

SEASON AVG vs IND Rank
23.24 ppg 30th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs IND Rank
28.18 ppg 31st
DIFF
+4.94
WK PLAYERS vs. IND POINTS
5 Trevor Lawrence 25.24
4 Justin Fields 35.98
3 Caleb Williams 23.32
2 Malik Willis 12.98
1 C.J. Stroud 18.66
Chicago Bears vs JAX:

Caleb Williams - $5700

Caleb Williams has been up and down with his rookie campaign, which is expected. He scored 23+ points in two of his last three games and produced a ceiling of 26. He faces the #Jaguars, who let up that ceiling as their floor during the previous three weeks (Flacco, Stroud, Allen). His price warrants play, even with his lower floors of 7, 9, & 11, as his mark of 22 won't crush your lineup if he misses. #Bears
$5700 Caleb Williams pts needed: 22.8
-100
$5800 26.56 pts wk5(CAR)
+200
$5600 11.48 pts wk4(LAR)
0
$5600 23.32 pts wk3(IND)
-200
$5800 9.36 pts wk2(HOU)
-100
$5900 7.22 pts wk1(TEN)
SEASON
snp%:
99.2
util%:
54.7
ppg:
15.59
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
98.67
util%:
50.93
ppg:
20.45
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
7.58 vs SEA -12.87 -8.01
HISTORY vs JAX
2024
29.64 points in Week 6

OPPONENTS vs. JAX

SEASON AVG vs JAX Rank
N/A ppg