DraftKings Main Slate for Week 12 - Quarterback (QB)

Washington Commanders vs DAL:

Jayden Daniels - $7000

While the #Cowboys' defense has played better, this game presents as a get-right game for Daniels. While Stroud only landed 11 points last week, every other quarterback since Week 6 produced 18+ points and 26+ points in three games. The #Commanders' offense has been down, with Daniels producing 14 and 8 points in his last two games. While I lean toward the running game in this matchup, expect a healthy Brian Robinson to open things up for Daniels. His mark is 28 points, which limits the chase here. #Commanders
$7000 Jayden Daniels pts needed: 28
-500
$7500 14.44 pts wk11(PHI)
0
$7500 8.58 pts wk10(PIT)
0
$7500 19.86 pts wk9(NYG)
+200
$7300 25.24 pts wk8(CHI)
-300
$7600 5.24 pts wk7(CAR)
SEASON
snp%:
90.88
util%:
58.54
ppg:
19.07
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
55.1
ppg:
14.29
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
28.64 vs TEN +14.35 +9.57
HISTORY vs DAL
2024
32.40 points in Week12

OPPONENTS vs. DAL

SEASON AVG vs DAL Rank
20.58 ppg 28th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DAL Rank
20.88 ppg 22nd
DIFF
+0.3
WK PLAYERS vs. DAL POINTS
11 C.J. Stroud 11.88
10 Jalen Hurts 31.68
10 Kenny Pickett 0.30
9 Kirk Cousins 18.78
8 Brock Purdy 26.00
6 Jared Goff 28.10
6 Hendon Hooker 0.66
5 Justin Fields 15.94
5 Kyle Allen 0.76
4 Daniel Jones 10.54
3 Lamar Jackson 25.98
2 Derek Carr 22.82
1 Deshaun Watson 12.66
Indianapolis Colts vs DET:

Anthony Richardson - $5600

Anthony Richardson looked much better last week than starting the season. While it could be a one-game anomaly, he produced 29 points. He's priced at 5.6k, an excellent price for his upside (or garbage time) against the #Lions. Even though the #Colts usually land in the loss column, they always seem to compete. Whether fighting back or keeping it interesting, these stats should pan out better than the recent massacres of 11 points or fewer in the last three games. #Colts
$5600 Anthony Richardson pts needed: 22.4
+300
$5300 29.08 pts wk11(NYJ)
-500
$5800 13.50 pts wk8(HOU)
-200
$6000 9.76 pts wk7(MIA)
-300
$6300 5.24 pts wk4(PIT)
-400
$6700 7.08 pts wk3(CHI)
SEASON
snp%:
88.3
util%:
58
ppg:
14.94
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
99.47
util%:
59.57
ppg:
17.45
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
23.16 vs NE +5.71 +8.22
HISTORY vs DET
2024
12.98 points in Week12

OPPONENTS vs. DET

SEASON AVG vs DET Rank
15.38 ppg 6th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs DET Rank
9.64 ppg 2nd
DIFF
-5.74
WK PLAYERS vs. DET POINTS
11 Mac Jones 5.22
10 C.J. Stroud 11.78
9 Jordan Love 11.92
8 Mason Rudolph 21.54
7 Sam Darnold 17.26
6 Dak Prescott 5.22
6 Cooper Rush 1.04
4 Geno Smith 25.60
3 Kyler Murray 15.78
2 Baker Mayfield 19.80
1 Matthew Stafford 18.68
San Francisco 49ers vs GB:

Brandon Allen - $4000

It's hard to ignore QBs at 4k when their mark is only 16 points. Allen hadn't produced that mark since 2020, when he scored 26 points with the #Bengals against the #Texans and was priced at 4.8k. The #Packers have primarily limited QBs to 13 points or fewer since Week 5, but the outliers were 16 and 28 points to Caleb Williams last week and Trevor Lawrence three weeks ago. He may plug-n-play this solid offense, presenting a similar outcome to Purdy or be benched in favor of Josh Dobbs after two quarters. #49ers
$4000 Brandon Allen pts needed: 16
0
$4000 -0.10 pts wk1(NYJ)
SEASON
snp%:
1.4
util%:
100
ppg:
-0.1
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
1.4
util%:
100
ppg:
-0.1
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
10.46 vs GB +10.56 +10.56
HISTORY vs GB
2024
10.46 points in Week12

OPPONENTS vs. GB

SEASON AVG vs GB Rank
15.72 ppg 8th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs GB Rank
18.05 ppg 14th
DIFF
+2.33
WK PLAYERS vs. GB POINTS
11 Caleb Williams 16.24
9 Jared Goff 9.60
8 Trevor Lawrence 28.32
7 C.J. Stroud 5.34
6 Kyler Murray 12.96
5 Matthew Stafford 13.40
4 Sam Darnold 22.50
3 Will Levis 16.60
2 Anthony Richardson 12.86
1 Jalen Hurts 19.42
Tennessee Titans vs HOU:

Will Levis - $4900

Will Levis can make mistakes, but he also takes chances, which have produced 19 and 16 points since returning to the starting lineup. Those numbers aren't overtly appealing, but they present some consideration when his mark is 19 points against the #Texans, who allowed that number to Cooper Rush and Aaron Rodgers in two of the last three weeks. #Titans
$4900 Will Levis pts needed: 19.6
-200
$5100 16.60 pts wk11(MIN)
+200
$4900 19.10 pts wk10(LAC)
+100
$4800 8.30 pts wk6(IND)
-300
$5100 0.50 pts wk4(MIA)
-100
$5200 16.60 pts wk3(GB)
SEASON
snp%:
88.13
util%:
56.53
ppg:
12.04
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
56
ppg:
14.67
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
16.18 vs WAS +1.51 +4.14
HISTORY vs HOU
2024
18.12 points in Week12
2023
-0.36 points in Week17
15.46 points in Week15

OPPONENTS vs. HOU

SEASON AVG vs HOU Rank
17.85 ppg 22nd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs HOU Rank
17.5 ppg 11th
DIFF
-0.35
WK PLAYERS vs. HOU POINTS
11 Cooper Rush 19.36
10 Jared Goff 12.80
9 Aaron Rodgers 20.34
8 Anthony Richardson 13.50
7 Jordan Love 18.80
6 Drake Maye 22.52
5 Josh Allen 14.64
4 Trevor Lawrence 14.76
3 Sam Darnold 23.24
2 Caleb Williams 9.36
1 Anthony Richardson 27.08
Carolina Panthers vs KC:

Bryce Young - $4600

While Bryce Young is always a concern, he's scored 10+ points in the last three games. While he hasn't hit his mark of 18 points throughout the season, the #Chiefs have allowed 15+ points since Week 7. He's not a bad pivot if you want to save a quarterback and avoid the bare minimum options this week. #Panthers
$4600 Bryce Young pts needed: 18.4
-200
$4800 12.04 pts wk10(NYG)
+400
$4400 10.74 pts wk9(NO)
-500
$4900 15.56 pts wk8(DEN)
+200
$4700 -0.16 pts wk7(WAS)
-200
$4900 3.12 pts wk5(CHI)
SEASON
snp%:
73.36
util%:
63.14
ppg:
7.99
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
55.73
ppg:
12.78
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
23.62 vs TB +10.84 +15.63
HISTORY vs KC
2024
16.52 points in Week12

OPPONENTS vs. KC

SEASON AVG vs KC Rank
18.12 ppg 23rd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs KC Rank
19.69 ppg 20th
DIFF
+1.57
WK PLAYERS vs. KC POINTS
11 Josh Allen 24.98
10 Bo Nix 16.10
9 Baker Mayfield 18.00
8 Gardner Minshew II 15.96
7 Brock Purdy 20.18
5 Derek Carr 13.60
5 Jake Haener 1.78
4 Justin Herbert 11.16
3 Kirk Cousins 12.10
2 Joe Burrow 18.22
1 Lamar Jackson 29.12
Denver Broncos vs LV:

Bo Nix - $6300

Bo Nix has scored 16+ points in the last four games, including 31 last week against the #Falcons. The #Raiders have allowed 17+ points in all but three games this season, 23+ points in five games, and 19+ points in the last three games. Nix's mark is 25 points, which he scored 2 points shy of against the #Raiders in Week 5. #Raiders
$6300 Bo Nix pts needed: 25.2
+100
$6200 31.78 pts wk11(ATL)
+200
$6000 16.10 pts wk10(KC)
+100
$5900 18.72 pts wk9(BAL)
+300
$5600 29.76 pts wk8(CAR)
+200
$5400 14.06 pts wk7(NO)
SEASON
snp%:
99.28
util%:
60.03
ppg:
18.61
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
98.4
util%:
57.27
ppg:
22.2
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
14.16 vs CLE -8.04 -4.45
HISTORY vs LV
2024
19.42 points in Week12
23.14 points in Week 5

OPPONENTS vs. LV

SEASON AVG vs LV Rank
19.31 ppg 25th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs LV Rank
24.25 ppg 29th
DIFF
+4.94
WK PLAYERS vs. LV POINTS
11 Tua Tagovailoa 23.52
9 Joe Burrow 30.14
8 Patrick Mahomes 19.18
7 Matthew Stafford 4.96
6 Justin Fields 23.70
5 Bo Nix 23.14
4 Deshaun Watson 13.24
3 Andy Dalton 27.56
2 Lamar Jackson 17.38
1 Justin Herbert 10.36
New England Patriots vs MIA:

Drake Maye - $5500

Drake Maye has a floor of 11+ points in the last five games, including 18+ in three. The #Dolphins have allowed that number or better in three of the last four games. He's a decent play for his 22-point mark. #Patriots
$5500 Drake Maye pts needed: 22
-100
$5600 19.98 pts wk11(LAR)
-200
$5800 12.76 pts wk10(CHI)
+300
$5500 18.74 pts wk9(TEN)
0
$5500 11.52 pts wk8(NYJ)
+200
$5300 20.84 pts wk7(JAX)
SEASON
snp%:
80.1
util%:
57.81
ppg:
15.49
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
57.63
ppg:
17.16
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
20.42 vs IND +3.26 +4.93
HISTORY vs MIA
2024
15.48 points in Week12

OPPONENTS vs. MIA

SEASON AVG vs MIA Rank
13.32 ppg 3rd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs MIA Rank
17.6 ppg 13th
DIFF
+4.28
WK PLAYERS vs. MIA POINTS
11 Gardner Minshew II 18.98
10 Matthew Stafford 10.72
9 Josh Allen 23.10
8 Kyler Murray 25.18
7 Anthony Richardson 9.76
5 Jacoby Brissett 7.40
4 Mason Rudolph 3.40
4 Will Levis 0.50
3 Geno Smith 13.36
2 Josh Allen 9.76
1 Trevor Lawrence 11.28
Miami Dolphins vs NE:

Tua Tagovailoa - $5800

The #Patriots have continually provided a safe floor of 15+ points outside of three games this season to the struggling #Bears two weeks ago, the #Dolphins without Tua, and the #Bengals to open up the season. With Drake Maye improving the offense, this game can become better than the anticipated defensive bout you expect with the #Patriots, as they allowed Stafford to hit 27 points last week. At a fair price of 5.8k, a mark of 23 points is in line. #Dolphins
$5800 Tua Tagovailoa pts needed: 23.2
-200
$6000 23.52 pts wk11(LV)
-300
$6300 10.18 pts wk10(LAR)
+100
$6200 17.54 pts wk9(BUF)
+100
$6100 14.66 pts wk8(ARI)
-500
$6600 8.50 pts wk2(BUF)
SEASON
snp%:
95.4
util%:
53.75
ppg:
16
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
52.27
ppg:
17.08
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
28.20 vs GB +11.12 +12.2
HISTORY vs NE
2024
31.48 points in Week12
2023
26.76 points in Week 8
13.26 points in Week 2
2022
14.80 points in Week 1
2021
12.16 points in Week18
17.18 points in Week 1
2020
19.70 points in Week15

OPPONENTS vs. NE

SEASON AVG vs NE Rank
16.13 ppg 10th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs NE Rank
17.53 ppg 12th
DIFF
+1.4
WK PLAYERS vs. NE POINTS
11 Matthew Stafford 27.80
10 Caleb Williams 6.30
9 Mason Rudolph 18.50
8 Aaron Rodgers 17.32
7 Trevor Lawrence 15.02
6 C.J. Stroud 19.38
5 Tyler Huntley 7.46
4 Brock Purdy 15.62
3 Aaron Rodgers 21.04
2 Geno Smith 20.88
1 Joe Burrow 8.06
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs NYG:

Baker Mayfield - $6100

Baker Mayfield has competed his ass off since losing his top-two WRs, but only scored 18 and 8 points in the last two games. While the 18 points appear fair, it's significantly down from his solid production throughout the season. With the return of Mike Evans, it should offer stability and balance to the offense. Baker is priced reasonably for a 24-point mark against the #Giants, who have limited QBs throughout the season, including 19 points or fewer in the last three weeks. #Buccaneers
$6100 Baker Mayfield pts needed: 24.4
-300
$6400 8.94 pts wk10(SF)
-100
$6500 18.00 pts wk9(KC)
-200
$6700 27.30 pts wk8(ATL)
+100
$6600 32.00 pts wk7(BAL)
+100
$6500 31.90 pts wk6(NO)
SEASON
snp%:
99.69
util%:
58.42
ppg:
23.24
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
62.9
ppg:
18.08
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
12.20 vs CAR -5.88 -11.04
HISTORY vs NYG
2024
19.66 points in Week12
2022
13.30 points in Week 2
2020
20.98 points in Week15

OPPONENTS vs. NYG

SEASON AVG vs NYG Rank
17.62 ppg 19th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs NYG Rank
15.57 ppg 8th
DIFF
-2.05
WK PLAYERS vs. NYG POINTS
10 Bryce Young 12.04
9 Jayden Daniels 19.86
8 Russell Wilson 14.82
7 Jalen Hurts 22.76
6 Joe Burrow 19.82
5 Geno Smith 22.56
4 Dak Prescott 16.74
3 Deshaun Watson 18.44
3 Jameis Winston 0.10
2 Jayden Daniels 13.44
1 Sam Darnold 15.62
New York Giants vs TB:

Tommy Devito - $4000

By the numbers, Tommy DeVito lands the best matchup against the #Buccaneers, who allowed 24+ points since Week 7. At 4k, a QB only needs 16 points to hit his mark. He started six games last season and produced that mark in two games, including 22 points vs. the #Commanders and 17 points against the #Packers. It's not a layup, but you're buying him to stack the rest. #Giants
$4000 Tommy Devito pts needed: 16
SEASON
LAST 3 GAMES
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
10.76 vs TB -7.32 -12.48
HISTORY vs TB
2024
10.76 points in Week12

OPPONENTS vs. TB

SEASON AVG vs TB Rank
24.68 ppg 32nd
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs TB Rank
26.67 ppg 32nd
DIFF
+1.99
WK PLAYERS vs. TB POINTS
10 Brock Purdy 26.82
9 Patrick Mahomes 24.54
8 Kirk Cousins 28.64
7 Lamar Jackson 35.44
6 Spencer Rattler 14.42
5 Kirk Cousins 38.36
4 Jalen Hurts 17.32
3 Bo Nix 19.34
2 Jared Goff 13.78
1 Jayden Daniels 28.16
Houston Texans vs TEN:

C.J. Stroud - $6500

CJ Stroud has been quiet, scoring 13 points or fewer in the last five weeks. The #Titans are better against the run, which should create more demand through the air, which is present with QBs scoring 15+ points in the last four weeks. There isn't much ceiling, but it arrived from Darnold with 24 points last week. The price isn't ideal, but it's within reach for Stroud to find his 26-point mark. #Texans
$6500 C.J. Stroud pts needed: 26
-200
$6700 11.88 pts wk11(DAL)
-100
$6800 11.78 pts wk10(DET)
0
$6800 12.54 pts wk9(NYJ)
-100
$6900 13.40 pts wk8(IND)
-200
$7100 5.34 pts wk7(GB)
SEASON
snp%:
97.83
util%:
53.75
ppg:
15.14
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
100
util%:
52.4
ppg:
12.07
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
14.38 vs JAX +2.31 -0.76
HISTORY vs TEN
2024
17.68 points in Week12
2023
12.92 points in Week17

OPPONENTS vs. TEN

SEASON AVG vs TEN Rank
17.81 ppg 21st
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs TEN Rank
21.05 ppg 23rd
DIFF
+3.24
WK PLAYERS vs. TEN POINTS
11 Sam Darnold 24.64
10 Justin Herbert 19.76
9 Drake Maye 18.74
8 Jared Goff 15.50
8 Hendon Hooker 0.24
7 Josh Allen 24.02
6 Joe Flacco 14.66
4 Tyler Huntley 12.84
3 Malik Willis 25.38
2 Aaron Rodgers 15.14
1 Caleb Williams 7.22
Dallas Cowboys vs WAS:

Cooper Rush - $5000

Cooper Rush scored 11, 0, and 19 points since becoming the starter for the #Cowboys. While the volatility and zero-point game provide significant concerns, at least his production is trending up, with 19 points in his last game. He faces the #Commanders, who allowed 18+ points in the previous three games, including 25 points from the recently-released Daniel Jones. It's not an easy play, but he's cheap enough to build around. #Cowboys
$5000 Cooper Rush pts needed: 20
0
$5000 19.36 pts wk11(HOU)
-100
$5100 0.00 pts wk10(PHI)
+800
$4300 11.00 pts wk9(ATL)
0
$4300 1.04 pts wk6(DET)
-300
$4600 0.24 pts wk2(NO)
SEASON
snp%:
41
util%:
79.62
ppg:
5.26
LAST 3 GAMES
snp%:
71.33
util%:
70.33
ppg:
10.12
LAST GAME
Points vs L3 vs S
11.80 vs NYG +1.68 +6.54
HISTORY vs WAS
2024
17.98 points in Week12
2023
1.20 points in Week18
2022
0.00 points in Week18
17.62 points in Week 4
2021
6.80 points in Week16

OPPONENTS vs. WAS

SEASON AVG vs WAS Rank
17.65 ppg 20th
LAST 3 GAMES AVG vs WAS Rank
21.07 ppg 24th
DIFF
+3.42
WK PLAYERS vs. WAS POINTS
11 Jalen Hurts 18.74
10 Russell Wilson 19.10
9 Daniel Jones 25.36
8 Caleb Williams 10.34
7 Andy Dalton 2.02
6 Lamar Jackson 22.92
5 Deshaun Watson 9.40
5 Jameis Winston 0.34
4 Kyler Murray 9.98
3 Joe Burrow 28.36
2 Daniel Jones 18.32
1 Baker Mayfield 29.66