DraftKings Main Slate for Week 11 - Tight End (TE)

Pat Freiermuth was almost promoted due to his solid matchup against the #Commanders last week, but it didn't arrive due to his lower snap count dwindling and his counterpart's uptick. That downtrend has continued, with Freiermuth snapping 70%, 65%, and 58% in the last three weeks. Darnell Washington outsnapped Freiermuth, snapping 63% in the last three weeks and 64% last week. It makes it challenging to roll with either piece, but there should be production here, including the odd dart of Connor Heyward, as the #Ravens have allowed 10+ in four of the last five weeks and 16+ in three of the last four weeks. #Steelers

Since De'Andre Hopkins's arrival, Travis Kelce has looked like his former self, scoring 20+ points in the last three weeks. However, the matchup against the #Bills isn't appealing from a stat perspective, as they have limited all tight ends to 9 points or fewer since Week 3. The significant disregard of those numbers is the lack of top-tier TEs landing in those matchups. #Chiefs

The #Bears have allowed 9+ points in the last four weeks and 12+ points in three games. Kraft's production isn't always reliable, but his 93% snap count and 12+ points in three of the last five games present strong consideration for his 17-point mark. Fairly priced. #Packers

As mentioned with Ray-Ray McCloud, since the #Saint allowed production inside, Kyle Pitts is favorable with that analysis against the #Broncos and the 20 points to Travis Kelce in the last game. Pitts scored 10, 13 and 25 points to start his latest five-week trend, dudding with 2 points but bouncing back to 9 points last week. His snap count is down 17% to 51% over the last three weeks compared to his 68% season average. It comes with more risk than expected. #Falcons

While his mark is 20 points, Evan Engram has found a steady floor of 10 in his last three games. The #Lions haven't allowed much to TEs, limiting the production of 10 points or fewer all season. Oddly, Engram scored 14 points against the #Lions in the three times he's faced them. The #Jaguars will continue to need him, but we'll need a ceiling with the higher price tag. #Jaguars

Tyler Conklin has fallen out of favor since Devante Adams arrived in NY, scoring 1.8 and 0.70 in the last two weeks. Before that production, he delivered 10 & 13 points in Weeks 7 & 8. He's still seeing the field at 78% of the snaps over the last three weeks, which should continue against the #Colts. Indy has allowed 9+ points during the previous four weeks, which requires a combination between Knox and Kincaid, who disappointed with 6 and 4 points last week. The boom-or-bust potential makes him a high risk this week, but that is baked into his low 3.2k price tag. #Jets

With Sam LaPorta out, Brock Wright has a solid matchup against the #Jaguars. Jacksonville has allowed 16+ points in four of the last five weeks, with Grant Calcaterra as the outlier with 8 points. Brock Wright has produced a few games in LaPorta's presence and is a solid tight end. Expect a high snap rate and a solid opportunity for Wright to hit his mark of 13 points. Solid play. #Lions

By the numbers, Dawson Knox lands the best matchup against the #Chiefs. While Adam Trautman only scored 4 points last week, the #Chiefs have allowed 10+ in the previous three weeks. Dalton Kincaid is out. Before Dalton Kincaid was drafted, Dawson Knox was a solid-producing TE. With the matchup, wide receiver injuries, and Dalton Kincaid out, Knox has a strong chance of hitting his 14-point mark. #Bills

While it's light production of 7 and 6 points, it's not a deal-breaker in output for Jonnu Smith and AJ Barner against the #Rams. Before that lower production, Los Angeles allowed a floor of 11 points in the previous three weeks. Hunter Henry dudded last week with 2 points but has scored 9+ points in the previous four weeks and 12+ points in three of those games. Expect a good shot at his 15-point floor in a game that assumes his need. #Patriots

Jonnu Smith has found a 6-point floor in the last five weeks and a 9-point floor in three of the last four weeks. His price is appealing against the #Raiders, who allowed 25+ points in the last two weeks. The main concern is Smith's snap share, which has been 59% during the previous three weeks, including 43% last week. #Dolphins

Trey McBride's production of 24 points is the only appeal against the #Dolphins for Brock Bowers. Matchup aside, he scored 10+ in the last five games and 15+ in four of those games. He's still priced for use toward his 23-point mark. #Raiders

Davis Allen, priced at 2.5k, has overtaken Colby Parkinson. With only needing a 10-point mark, it lands him in consideration to stack the rest of your build. He snapped 80% last week and scored 8.4 points against the #Dolphins. My usual promotion of Cole Kmet didn't land last week against the #Patriots, but they have allowed 6+ points since Week 3, which includes 11+ points in five games. Nice dart and find by @str8cashhomie21. #Rams

Mark Andrews's price still hasn't moved at the pace of his 14+ point output in four of the last five games. He's up 11% of snaps compared to his season average, snapping 87% last week. I'd expect more of the same against the #Steelers, but Isaiah Likely practiced in full this week and should return. The #Steelers are in the middle of the pack and allowed 7 and 6 points in the last two weeks to Zach Ertz and Theo Johnson but allowed Jake Ferguson, Brock Bowers, and Tyler Conklin to score 13, 16 and 10 points in the previous three weeks to that. Andrews's history against the #Steelers is not too exciting across the board, but appealing, scoring 12 points in 2023 and splitting with 22 and 3 points in 2022. #Ravens

Noah Fant was out last week, so AJ Barner was assumed to take the lead role, which he did at 91%. However, he only scored 6 points with that opportunity, and with DK Metcalf returning, the receiver room became busier. He's up above the 3k mark, which makes him less appealing against the #49ers. They've allowed 8-12 points over the last five games, which keeps Barner in consideration toward the ceiling mark against the #49ers of 12 points. #Seahawks