DraftKings Main Slate for Week 10 - Running Back (RB)

Alvin Kamara lands as a pure volume play, which I missed last week with the chase of Taysom Hill. That should continue against the #Falcons, who allowed 15+ points since Week 6. That floor seems highly probable, but you'll need a ceiling, which Kamara found last week with 30 points, adding to his 18+ points in three of the previous four weeks. His mark is 32 points, which he hasn't seen against the #Falcons since Week 3 of 2018. His recent output of 24 points in Week 4 against Atlanta provides comfort toward the high price tag. #Saints

By the numbers, Jonathan Taylor lands the best matchup against the #Bills. Oddly, they have given up the most production all season, which comes in bunches, landing them as the 18th worst against RBs over the last three weeks, at -5.46 ppg under their 30.63 ppg season average. Those bunches are 29 and 32 points to Achane, 21 points to Justice Hill, 38 to Derrick Henry, and 24 to Breece Hall. Outside of those four games, RBs have scored 14 points or fewer. JT must land with the former group with a hefty 30-point mark. In four of his last five games that he was healthy, he produced 18-29 points. The outlier arrived last week with 8.9 points, but he snapped 72%. He's not a must-have, but he's definitely in the chase. #Colts

The #Bears have limited RBs to 18 points or fewer since Week 5 and 8 points or fewer in two games. Rhamondre Stevenson landed back in good graces, scoring 19+ in three of the last four weeks, including 22 and 23 points in the previous two weeks. Expect more of the same opportunity, with Stevenson snapping 68% over the previous three weeks and 74% last game. He's priced for a 25-point mark. Fair play. #Patriots

The #Broncos kept most RBs quiet, scoring 11 points or fewer, except for Kenneth Walker (21), JK Dobbins (18), and Derrick Henry (29). Henry's matchup was last week, so Kareem Hunt has the opportunity to continue some of that trend, along with pacing his own. He's scored 21 and 22 points in three of the last four weeks since taking the job as the lead back with the #Chiefs. His outlier was 13 points, so there are some limitations toward his 26-point mark. His price tag is still reachable in a strong build. Keep using him. #Chiefs

Based on his up-and-down production, Aaron Jones presents as a matchup play, scoring 12 points or fewer in three of the last five weeks (two in the previous two weeks) and 17 points or more in the outlier weeks (20 points as a ceiling). Last week, Saquon Barkley (36 points) against the #Jaguars, who allowed 15+ since Week 3. While 36 points would be lovely, we are looking for 26. His snap share of 79% during the last three games and 75% last week provides comfort toward an 18-point floor with the upside. Solid play. #Vikings

D'Andre Swift slowed his trend of 20+ points over the last four games, landing 14 points last week. With a price of 6.5k and a mark of 26 points, that isn't a horrible floor to bust on. He remains a strong play against the #Patriots, who allowed 21+ points in three of the last four games, including 26 to Tank Bigsby and 30 to Joe Mixon. Continue to use him. #Bears

Bijan Robinson's just rolling, but so is his price tag. He's scored 21+ in the last four weeks and snapped 70% in the previous three weeks. The #Saints allowed 21+ points in four of the last five weeks, with Dobbins at 16 points as the outlier. That floor or better is likely, but the price tag is looking for a 30-point mark. His history last year of 27 & 29 points offers extreme appeal, but his 11 points in Week 4 offer some hesitation. The price is the only real deterrent, so fit him if you can get him. #Falcons

James Conner is usually safe to find a floor with his usage, but his recent three-week snap count of 70% was down to 48% last week. Both backups looked good, with Trey Benson landing 12 points and 28% of the snaps and Emari Demercado landing 16 points and 24% of the snaps. While it may be an anomaly, the production against the #Jets is here, allowing 18+ points to RBs since Week 6. #Cardinals

Running Backs against the #Steelers have performed this year, producing 17 points or more since Week 4. While he's out, Brian Robinson would've been a phenomenal play this week. Ekeler becomes the apparent choice with him out, scoring 17 points in his absence last week. The challenge arrives with his snap count of 46% in that game. If that continues, it doesn't mean he's out of play, but it's hard to have significant comfort when two other backs are in play around that usage. Unfortunately, those two backs may assist in limiting Ekeler's upside and the potential darts of each other. While Jeremy McNichols presented a great fill-in, oddly, he only produced with Robinson and Ekeler active. He hasn't scored over 4 points in the last four weeks, only snapped 23% in the previous three weeks and 39% last week. While Chris Rodriguez landed 5 points last week (not enthralling, but better than McNichols), he only snapped 32%. Those darts could surprise you, but I'll need better clarity or reports that justify their usage outside Ekeler. #Commanders

CMC is priced a little high for the comeback tour, but due to that, most will take a wait-and-see approach. While he's usually in the 9-10k price range, this does land as a discount toward his 32-point mark. The #Buccaneers have allowed 17+ points in the last four weeks and 21+ points in the previous three weeks. Due to his time with the #Panthers, CMC has some history against Tampa Bay, which includes a 21+ point floor since 2019. Try to get some news on the potential usage, but If you can squish him in there, I'd roll. #49ers

The #Titans have allowed 22 and 23 points over the last two weeks. JK Dobbins is priced a little heftily at a 28-point mark, but his 16-point floor in three of the previous four games and 74% snap share warrant consideration. If his usage continues, I welcome the play, but there is a catalyst with Gus Edwards potentially returning this week. If he doesn't, I like the chase toward Dobbins. If he does, I like the potential dart of Edwards's minimum price and 16-point mark. I tend to chase these areas a little early, so move at your own pace, but I'm reading good news about his health and welcome the low price-tag consideration for a robust build...even with a dud. #Chargers

The #Commanders have been sporadic against RBs, allowing 21+ points every other week since Week 4 and limiting 11 points or fewer in between. If you like odd superstitions, this does qualify as a 21+ week, which favors your pursuit of Najee Harris or Jaylen Warren. I was high on Warren coming into this year, but his production of 8 points or fewer in the last five games is hard to consider at a 21-point mark price tag. Another variable is the return of Cordarrelle Patterson, who hasn't played since Week 4. That aside, the obvious consideration is Najee Harris, who has a fair mark of 24 points and has scored 19+ in his last three games, even on a low snap count of 56%. #Steelers